Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) Reports Surge in Cash Flow, Majority Attributed to Working Capital

Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) Reports Surge in Cash Flow, Majority Attributed to Working Capital

SAO PAULO, August 1, 2026, 16:14 BRT – Ambev saw a significant increase in cash flow, with 79% of the rise stemming from working capital adjustments.

  • Operating cash flow for the second quarter increased by 54.5% to R$4.71 billion.
  • Company data show that working-capital relief accounted for 79% of the rise.
  • The ADR rose 1.6% over the past week. Brazil’s central bank is scheduled to convene August 4-5.

Ambev S.A. (NYSE:ABEV; BVMF:ABEV3) reported operating cash flow of R$4.71 billion for the second quarter, representing a 54.5% rise. However, the company’s filing indicates that 79% of this growth was attributable to working-capital relief.

Stock chart for NYSE:ABEV

Cash flow before changes in working capital increased by only 1.3%. The impact from receivables, inventories and payables reduced by R$1.32 billion. The rate of operating-cash conversion improved by 24.3 percentage points to 73.9% of normalized EBITDA.

The document provides this reconciliation. The working-capital and conversion numbers are derived from company information.

Q2 cash-flow measure20252026Change
Cash pre working capitalR$6.21 blnR$6.29 bln+1.3%
Working capital drag on cashR$2.27 blnR$0.95 blnR$1.32 bln decrease
Operating cash flowR$3.05 blnR$4.71 bln+54.5%
Operating cash flow as % of EBITDA49.6%73.9%+24.3 pp

Markets did not operate on Saturday. The New York ADR finished Friday at $3.11, an increase of 1.6% compared to the previous Friday. Ambev’s shares in São Paulo settled at R$15.99, up 2.2%.

Shares on both listings rose by under 1% on the day results were announced. The weekly trend stayed positive, though the reaction to the increase in cash was muted.

ListingJuly 31 closeWeekly moveJuly 30 moveFriday volume
NYSE ADR$3.11up 1.6%gained 0.65%57.17 mln
B3 common sharesR$15.99advanced 2.2%increased 0.38%38.24 mln

Based on closing prices from July 24.

On Friday, ADR turnover reached 2.1 times the 65-day average. Despite the increased activity, no distinct rerating was observed. Investors appear to be distinguishing between growth in recurring earnings and the timing of the balance sheet.

Underlying performance outpaced total reported revenue. Organic revenue advanced by 6.1%, compared with a 0.3% rise in reported revenue. The gap was mainly due to currency movements and changes in scope.

Q2 group measure20252026Growth
Volume39.57 mln hl39.73 mln hl+1.4% organic
RevenueR$20.09 blnR$20.15 bln+6.1% organic
Normalized EBITDAR$6.15 blnR$6.38 bln+8.9% organic
EBITDA margin30.6%31.6%+80 bps organic
Normalized profitR$2.83 blnR$3.49 bln+23.3% reported

Chief Executive Carlos Lisboa stated the strategy delivered “another quarter of beer volume growth.” Overall consolidated volume grew 1.4% on an organic basis. Normalized earnings per share climbed 24.2% to R$0.22.

Brazil Beer accounted for the primary increase in volume. Premium volumes advanced by the mid-twenties percent, while no-alcohol beer expanded roughly 30%. Gross merchandise value at Brazil’s BEES Marketplace climbed 87%.

Brazil segmentVolumeRevenueNormalized EBITDAEBITDA margin
Beerup 5.0%increased 8.9%rose 12.8%improved 110 bps
Non-alcoholic beveragesfell 4.4%gained 1.4%jumped 13.8%up 320 bps

Data reflects organic fluctuations.

The listed subsidiary recorded higher growth than parent company Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (EBR:ABI; NYSE:BUD). The parent’s organic volume grew 0.9%, revenue increased 5.6% and EBITDA was up 5.8%. Ambev achieved 1.4% organic volume growth, a 6.1% rise in revenue and an 8.9% increase in EBITDA, respectively.

Ambev continues to deliver significant cash returns. As of Thursday, it had distributed about R$5.9 billion to shareholders, with close to 95% of its share buyback executed. The board has also authorized approximately R$1.1 billion in additional interest on capital to be paid out by December.

Attention turns to Brazil’s central bank next week. The Copom is scheduled to meet on August 4-5, while the Selic rate currently stands at 14.25%. Inflation for mid-July eased to 4.52%, which came in lower than any forecast in a Reuters survey.

Liam Peach, economist at Capital Economics, commented that the figures “provide scope for another 25-basis-point interest rate cut.” Reduced rates could help boost consumer confidence. This might also have implications for the real and Ambev’s ADR conversion. Reuters

Risks: Improvements in cash flow could diminish should working capital return to typical levels. Non-alcoholic volume in Brazil continues to show softness. Fluctuations in currency may still mask organic growth within reported figures.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Will Brazil beer sales maintain momentum following the World Cup surge?
Brazil Beer volume increased by 5.0% in Q2, supporting a 1.4% rise in total volume. Premium brands posted growth in the high teens, while no-alcohol beer climbed in the low twenties. However, Brazil NAB declined by 4.4%, LAS dropped 2.9%, and Canada was down 1.8%. Demand tied to the World Cup provided a boost. Management’s share gain statement is still labeled as an estimate.
Is Ambev able to maintain its current margin level?
Normalized EBITDA increased by 8.9%, pushing the margin up by 80 basis points to 31.6%. Cash cost per hectoliter for Brazil Beer climbed 4.5%. Net revenue per hectoliter, excluding marketplace, was up 4.4%. Full-year cost guidance stands at 4.5% to 7.5%. The top end of that range will require pricing, mix and productivity to compensate.
Is there significant upside at the current valuation?
ABEV closed July 31 at $3.11, giving Ambev a market value of close to $49.0 billion. The ADR is trading at about 15.6 times the $0.20 per share 2026 EPS estimate. Analysts are forecasting $0.21 in 2027, representing a 5% rise. Consensus price targets stretch from $3.09 to $3.33, indicating potential upside between 0% and 7%. The variance comes from different analyst groups.
Could capital returns help sustain the share price following the buyback?
Ambev distributed around R$5.9 billion on July 30. Nearly 95% of its October 2025 buyback is now finished. A R$1.9 billion interest-on-capital payment is scheduled for October 6, with another R$1.1 billion expected by December. Cash distributions continue at a robust pace. Buyback funds are close to exhaustion.
Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company working with customers worldwide. His experience spans satellite communications, telecommunications and technology ventures. He graduated from the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and writes about space technology, artificial intelligence, stocks and the technology companies and industries he follows. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook or LinkedIn.

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