BigBear.ai’s 300% Defense AI Stock Surge: Next Palantir or Overhyped Gamble?
BigBear.ai shares surged over 300% year-on-year, spiking 22% on Oct. 13 after announcing a defense AI deal, then retreating to the mid-$6 range amid volatility. Q2 2025 revenue dropped 18% to $32.5 million, with a $228.6 million net loss and a lowered sales forecast. Analysts remain cautious, with most rating the stock “Hold” and a $6 price target, despite bullish calls citing government AI demand.