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Interest Rates 28 November 2025 - 6 December 2025

Canada Stock Market Today, December 5, 2025: TSX Slips From Record High as Jobs Shock Reshapes Rate Expectations

Canada Stock Market Today, December 5, 2025: TSX Slips From Record High as Jobs Shock Reshapes Rate Expectations

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index slipped 0.3% to 31,375 at midday Friday, pulling back from Thursday’s record close. Tech and health-care stocks led declines, while energy and retail shares limited losses. The Canadian dollar hit a 10-week high after November jobs data showed a gain of 53,600 positions and unemployment falling to 6.5%. Markets expect the Bank of Canada to hold its rate at 2.25% next week.
5 December 2025
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Bank of Canada Rate Cuts Are Likely Over: What a 2.25% Policy Rate Means for Mortgages, Housing and TSX Mid‑Cap Stocks

Bank of Canada Rate Cuts Are Likely Over: What a 2.25% Policy Rate Means for Mortgages, Housing and TSX Mid‑Cap Stocks

The Bank of Canada is expected to hold its policy rate at 2.25% on December 10, after 275 basis points of cuts since the start of its easing cycle. A Reuters poll of 33 economists shows no further cuts are likely until at least 2027. Unemployment fell to 6.5% in November, the lowest in 16 months. Variable mortgage rates are seen staying steady as affordability improves from 2022–23 peaks.
5 December 2025
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UK Stock Market Today: FTSE 100 Hovers Near Record High as Rate-Cut Hopes Offset Weak UK Data (5 December 2025)

UK Stock Market Today: FTSE 100 Hovers Near Record High as Rate-Cut Hopes Offset Weak UK Data (5 December 2025)

The FTSE 100 traded near 9,725 late Friday morning, up about 0.15%, leaving it 1.9% below its record close. Investors weighed weak UK construction and jobs data against expectations of interest rate cuts from the Bank of England and US Federal Reserve this month. European markets also edged higher. Ocado shares jumped after a $350 million settlement with Kroger.
5 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News Today: Markets Price In December Rate Cut as Trump Teases New Fed Chair Pick

Federal Reserve News Today: Markets Price In December Rate Cut as Trump Teases New Fed Chair Pick

Markets expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 9–10 meeting, with economists and futures pricing showing strong consensus. President Donald Trump signaled plans to name a new Fed chair in early 2026, with Kevin Hassett seen as the leading candidate. The Fed last cut rates on October 29 and ended quantitative tightening on December 1.
5 December 2025
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RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% Amid ‘Goldilocks’ Economy: How the December 2025 Policy Will Hit EMIs, Rupee and Markets

RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% Amid ‘Goldilocks’ Economy: How the December 2025 Policy Will Hit EMIs, Rupee and Markets

The Reserve Bank of India cut its policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% on Friday, with all six Monetary Policy Committee members voting in favor. The central bank maintained a neutral policy stance and announced open market bond purchases and a $5 billion forex swap for liquidity. The rupee slipped past 90 per dollar after the decision. Inflation remains below the RBI's 2% floor, while GDP growth is near 8%.
5 December 2025
Federal Reserve News Today: Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Trump Eyes New Fed Chair

Federal Reserve News Today: Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Trump Eyes New Fed Chair

Markets see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its December 10 meeting, following weak jobs data and a recent 0.25-point cut. Donald Trump is moving to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair, with Kevin Hassett now the leading candidate. The Fed has also ended quantitative tightening and stopped losing money amid growing political scrutiny. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75% to 4.00%.
4 December 2025
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U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

U.S. jobless claims rose to 219,000, slightly above forecasts, while Gallup reports economic confidence at its lowest since mid-2024. Stock futures held steady near record highs as traders anticipate a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The dollar weakened on those expectations. Fitch and the OECD raised 2025 U.S. growth forecasts, citing strong AI investment.
4 December 2025
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Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as Miners Rally and RBA Rate-Hike Bets Build – 4 December 2025

Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as Miners Rally and RBA Rate-Hike Bets Build – 4 December 2025

The S&P/ASX 200 closed Thursday up about 0.3% at 8,618, lifted by strong gains in copper and diversified miners as LME copper futures hit record highs. Capstone Copper surged nearly 8%, while South32 and Rio Tinto rose 3–4%. Lithium and gold stocks lagged, with Liontown Resources down 5.6%. Market volatility fell to a one-month low.
4 December 2025
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Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as GDP Data, Rate Bets and Bond Yields Collide – 3 December 2025

Australia Stock Market Today: ASX 200 Climbs as GDP Data, Rate Bets and Bond Yields Collide – 3 December 2025

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 closed up 15.5 points, or 0.18%, at 8,595.2 on Wednesday after September-quarter GDP rose 0.4%, missing forecasts. The index jumped after the data but gave up gains as bond yields and rate expectations weighed. Market breadth was slightly positive, and the VIX fell to a one-month low near 10.9. Private business investment surged 7.6%, while household discretionary spending remained weak.
3 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The Federal Reserve ended its balance-sheet tightening on December 1, 2025, halting reductions to its securities portfolio. Markets now price in a nearly 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Internal divisions have surfaced within the FOMC, with up to five members reportedly skeptical of further cuts. Regulators released a new banking system assessment as Vice Chair Bowman described banks as “sound and resilient.”
2 December 2025
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Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

The Federal Reserve ended its quantitative tightening program on December 1, after more than $2.2 trillion in securities runoff. Futures markets now price in an 85–88% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75%–4.00%. At least five of 12 voting members oppose further cuts, signaling deep divisions.
2 December 2025
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Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Traders now see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its December 9–10 meeting, according to CME FedWatch futures. Major banks including JPMorgan and Bank of America have shifted to expecting a cut. Fed minutes and recent commentary show deep internal divisions, raising the risk of multiple dissents and a muddled policy message.
1 December 2025
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NS&I £1bn Budget Shake-Up: What It Means for Premium Bonds, Interest Rates and UK Savers in 2025

NS&I £1bn Budget Shake-Up: What It Means for Premium Bonds, Interest Rates and UK Savers in 2025

The UK government raised National Savings & Investments’ net financing target for 2025–26 from £12 billion to £13 billion in the Autumn Budget, leaving NS&I over £9 billion short as of September. The Premium Bonds prize fund rate stands at 3.60% after three cuts in 2025, with odds unchanged at 22,000 to 1. No changes have been made to Premium Bonds payouts following the Budget.
1 December 2025
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Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s “Fed decision in December” market showed 88% odds of a 25-basis-point rate cut as of Nov. 30, 2025, with over $25 million traded. Founder Shayne Coplan, 27, became the world’s youngest self-made billionaire after a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange. Polymarket recently secured U.S. regulatory approval after a four-year ban. The December FOMC meeting remains deeply divided.
1 December 2025
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World Stock Markets Poised for December 1, 2025 Open as Fed Ends QT and Rate‑Cut Bets Surge

World Stock Markets Poised for December 1, 2025 Open as Fed Ends QT and Rate‑Cut Bets Surge

The U.S. Federal Reserve ends its quantitative tightening program Monday, halting balance-sheet runoff and boosting expectations for a December rate cut. Global equity indices hover near record highs after strong November gains, but U.S. equity funds saw $4.56 billion in outflows last week as some investors moved to de-risk. European stocks posted their longest winning streak since March 2024.
30 November 2025
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Premium Bonds Rate Rise Looms as Budget 2025 Hands NS&I a £1bn Target – What Savers Need to Know Today

Premium Bonds Rate Rise Looms as Budget 2025 Hands NS&I a £1bn Target – What Savers Need to Know Today

The UK Autumn Budget raised NS&I’s 2025–26 net financing target by £1 billion to £13 billion, prompting speculation about higher rates on Premium Bonds and savings products. From April 2027, the cash ISA allowance drops to £12,000 and tax on savings interest rises by 2 points. NS&I’s Premium Bonds prize rate remains 3.60%. Fixed-rate British Savings Bonds now pay up to 4.20% AER.
28 November 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • New Zealand Shares Dip; Santana Minerals Raises AU$4.1 Million via Share Plan
    March 20, 2026, 1:29 AM EDT. New Zealand's S&P/NZX 50 Index declined 0.5% to 13,989.99 as regional markets followed Wall Street's losses. The U.S. indices fell on Thursday, with the S&P 500 down 0.3%. Recent data showed New Zealand's goods trade deficit narrowed to NZ$257.5 million in February from January's NZ$626.8 million. Vehicle registrations dropped by 19,668 units, while job ads rose 0.9%. Credit card spending decreased 1.4% month-on-month to NZ$4.25 billion. Corporates saw activity: Santana Minerals raised about AU$4.1 million through its share purchase plan. Genesis Energy closed a NZ$300 million rights offer with 81% uptake, including backing from the New Zealand government, which retains a 51% stake.
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