NYSE:VALE 7 January 2026 - 19 March 2026

Vale’s U.S.-listed shares fell 2.5% to $14.68 Friday after RBC downgraded the stock, citing valuation concerns despite strong operational updates. The company more than doubled iron ore recovered from waste in 2025, reaching 26.3 million tons. Vale’s 2025 output hit 336.1 million tons, its highest since 2018. RBC now sees Vale’s 2026 dividend yield at about 8%, but no longer expects further upside.

Vale’s U.S. shares fell 5.1% to $16.07 after Minas Gerais state inspectors ordered its Viga mine to stay shut over environmental concerns and fined the company $324,000. China’s manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.3 in January, fueling demand worries. The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF dropped 2.8%. Baowu Resources took control of Guinea’s Simandou Blocks 1 and 2, aiming for major iron ore shipments.

Vale’s U.S.-listed shares rose 1.1% to $16.94 after Minas Gerais authorities ordered the Viga mine to shut down due to erosion from recent overflows. The company has been fined 1.7 million reais over the incident. Iron ore prices held steady as traders await Vale’s quarterly results on Feb. 12. Heavy rain is forecast to continue in the region next week.

Vale S.A.’s U.S. shares rebounded 4% to $16.34 midday after halting two Minas Gerais iron ore units due to water overflows that led to permit suspensions. The overflow reached the Maranhao River, causing environmental damage and flooding a CSN site. Vale said only sediment-laden water was released, not tailings. The company reaffirmed its 2026 iron ore guidance and will report Q4 results Feb. 12.

Vale shares fell 1.6% in U.S. trading Monday after a water-and-sediment overflow at its Fábrica mine in Minas Gerais reached a competitor’s facilities and local streams. Vale reported no injuries and said the incident was unrelated to its dams, keeping production guidance unchanged. Rival miners Rio Tinto and BHP rose up to 2%. Local officials confirmed a second overflow at Vale’s Viga mine within 24 hours.