DigitalOcean (NYSE:DOCN) pops as AI cloud trade shifts on new backlog math

DigitalOcean (NYSE:DOCN) pops as AI cloud trade shifts on new backlog math

New York, July 7, 2026, 14:04 EDT

  • DigitalOcean jumped roughly 9% during the session after the company said its Q2 RPO would be above $800 million.
  • New RPO is now over 15 times higher than the $53 million the company reported this time last year.
  • The stock moved more than Cloudflare and Snowflake. CoreWeave dropped.
  • The main thing now is delivery for investors: average RPO life went above three years.

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. climbed 9.3% to $143.64 Wednesday afternoon after the company forecasted its Q2 remaining performance obligations topping $800 million. That puts focus on backlog and capacity instead of just stronger AI revenue. Shares touched $157.99 at their high and 3.28 million shares changed hands as of 1:50 p.m. EDT, valuing DigitalOcean near $16.1 billion.

DigitalOcean reported a big jump in its RPO for its size. RPO for Q2 2025 was $53 million, with revenue at $219 million. A July 7 update suggests RPO is now at least 15.1 times what it was a year ago, while revenue growth is set to pick up to around 29%, compared with 14% growth in the same period a year earlier. The company also said its weighted average obligation life rose from 1.6 years to over three years.

MetricQ2 2025 actualQ2 2026 update / impliedChange
Revenue$219 mlnRoughly $283 mln implied+29%
RPO$53 mlnOver $800 mlnAt least 15.1x
RPO / quarterly revenue0.24xAbove 2.8xAbout 12x higher
Weighted average RPO life1.6 yearsOver 3 yearsNearly doubled

Why it matters: DigitalOcean isn’t just getting priced on short-term cloud spend by SMB developers. Now, the market is watching if longer AI and inference deals will bring steadier revenue. That also means longer RPO terms can push revenue out, so shares could take a hit if delivery or customers slow down.

DigitalOcean had told investors in May to expect Q2 revenue between $272 million and $274 million, an increase of 24% to 25%. Now, after lifting its growth forecast to 29%, the company’s new figure comes to around $283 million. That’s about $9 million more than the previous high end. The company also said it now expects adjusted EBITDA margin and non-GAAP EPS at or above its earlier high targets.

Q2 itemMay 5 guideJuly 7 updateInvestor read-through
Revenue growth24%-25%Close to 29%Above earlier range
Revenue dollars$272 mln-$274 mlnAbout $283 mln impliedNearly $9 mln over prior high
Adjusted EBITDA margin37%-38%At or north of top endMargin holding, no cut for growth
Non-GAAP EPS$0.20-$0.23At or higher than high endNo new EPS figure yet

CEO Paddy Srinivasan said customers are looking for DigitalOcean’s cost edge and that “demand continues to accelerate.” He referenced the company’s Inference Router, which DigitalOcean claims balances price and performance between closed and open-source models. DigitalOcean Investor Relations

DigitalOcean said it booked several new annual customer deals worth at least nine figures each for its inference and cloud products last quarter. The company also locked in another 20 MW of data center capacity to be delivered in late 2027 and early 2028, bringing total committed capacity to about 155 MW.

That capacity figure is the other piece of the trade. DigitalOcean said in May it brought on about 60 MW of additional committed data center capacity for 2027. Then on July 7, it secured another 20 MW. The company lifted its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 26% and said 2027 revenue growth would top 50% in the Q1 release, ahead of a stronger Q2 update Tuesday.

DigitalOcean joined a new index-owner base last week. The company said after the U.S. open on June 29, it moved from the Russell 2000 Index over to the Russell 1000 Index during FTSE Russell’s semi-annual reshuffle.

SecurityPriceIntraday moveMarket cap / fund size
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. $143.64up 9.3%$16.1 bln
CoreWeave Inc. $83.28down 3.7%$43.9 bln
Cloudflare Inc. $268.70gained 8.5%$94.8 bln
Snowflake Inc. $268.58rose 2.5%$92.8 bln
Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 $713.01slipped 1.4%$339.9 bln
iShares Russell 2000 ETF $297.27off 0.5%$77.3 bln

The Russell reshuffle matters because it affects who needs to hold the stock. Reuters said ahead of the reconstitution that fund managers were moving portfolios for new FTSE Russell weights, and Stephens analyst Melissa Roberts called it a “key liquidity day.” Reuters

DigitalOcean tweaked its balance sheet before the backlog surged. Back in March, the company sold 10.4 million shares for $77 each, pulling in roughly $773 million before expenses. It said the funds would go to ramping up infrastructure, repaying Term Loan A, and for general corporate needs. As of Tuesday, shares traded about 86% higher than that $77 offer.

Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments across global markets. He graduated from the Cracow University of Economics and worked in investment research and corporate finance before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Roman Perkowski on Google News.

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