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FedEx stock gets a tug-of-war: downgrade meets $350–$355 targets as freight spin-off looms
22 January 2026
2 mins read

FedEx stock gets a tug-of-war: downgrade meets $350–$355 targets as freight spin-off looms

NEW YORK, Jan 22, 2026, 05:00 (EST)

  • Rothschild Redburn cut its rating on FedEx to Neutral from Buy, setting a price target of $317, Investing.com South Africa reported.
  • Argus boosted its FedEx price target to $350 from $250 and reaffirmed its buy rating, MarketBeat reported.

Rothschild & Co Redburn lowered its rating on FedEx to Neutral from Buy, arguing that the stock’s current valuation already “fairly reflect[s]” the expected value from the planned spin-off of its freight division. TipRanks

The move follows a solid rally in FedEx shares, which have climbed roughly 37% over the last three months. The stock has hovered just below its 52-week peak, data from Investing.com shows.

Investors are wagering that spinning off FedEx Freight, the company’s less-than-truckload (LTL) segment— which consolidates smaller shipments from various customers onto a single truck—will unlock hidden value. Barron’s highlighted FedEx Freight as investors benchmark it against LTL rival Old Dominion Freight Line. The outlet estimated FedEx Freight’s fiscal 2025 revenue at $8.9 billion, alongside $1.3 billion in operating income.

Argus turned more optimistic, boosting its FedEx price target to $350 from $250 while sticking with a buy rating, MT Newswires reported. Price targets reflect where analysts expect a stock to trade roughly a year out.

Wolfe Research raised its price target to $355 from $347 and kept an Outperform rating after digging into FedEx Freight’s Form 10 filing ahead of the planned spin-off, according to Investing.com. The firm pointed out that FedEx Freight posted $546 million in operating income in the first half of fiscal 2026, the report noted.

Redburn has revised its target on FedEx, lifting the price target to $317 from $271 but maintaining a neutral rating, MT Newswires reported.

FedEx shares climbed 1.97%, closing Wednesday at $306.95, ahead of United Parcel Service and ZTO Express during a solid session for U.S. stocks, MarketWatch reported. The stock remains roughly 3.7% shy of its 52-week peak of $318.83 hit on Jan. 9, the report added.

FedEx plans to finalize the FedEx Freight spin-off by June 1, 2026, according to a Reuters brief. The new entity is set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker FDXF.

CEO Raj Subramaniam described the Form 10 filing as a sign of “strong progress” in spinning off FedEx Freight into its own company. The soon-to-be FedEx Freight CEO, John Smith, labeled the move a “key milestone.” FedEx said the split will result in “two world-class companies.” FedEx Newsroom

A Filmogaz compilation identified 22 analysts covering FedEx, noting that eight are bullish while 10 remain indifferent over the past three months. The average 12-month price target stands at $305.91, with forecasts spanning from $210 to $360.

The message remains mixed, and the road ahead isn’t straightforward. MarketBeat lists the consensus rating as Hold, with an average price target of $303.03. It also pointed out that Redburn’s $271 target suggests downside risk from current levels; a setback in the freight segment or a cooling shipping cycle could challenge the stock’s recent valuation.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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