Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) Holds Near $82; Foundry Unit Losses Offset AI-Driven Recovery

Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) Holds Near $82; Foundry Unit Losses Offset AI-Driven Recovery

NEW YORK, July 30, 2026, 07:02 EDT – Shares of Intel were little changed around $82 on Thursday as persistent losses from its foundry business continued to weigh on gains fueled by AI demand.

  • Intel was at $82.29 in premarket activity, rising 0.5%. The stock slid 5.12% on Wednesday.
  • The stock is down 22.4% over six consecutive sessions, but it is still up 121.9% in 2026.
  • Intel Foundry reported a quarterly loss amounting to 43% of Intel Products’ operating profit.

Intel stock rose slightly in premarket trading on Thursday. The uptick was limited. As of 7:02 a.m. EDT, U.S. markets had yet to open.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:INTC

The figures indicate that demand is likely not the primary issue. Intel surpassed expectations for the second quarter and issued guidance ahead of consensus forecasts. The tougher question remains whether earnings from its products can support its manufacturing growth.

Semiconductor shares were broadly under pressure at the close on Wednesday. Intel’s decline, however, outpaced that of the overall market.

SecurityWednesday closeDay change
Intel Corporation $81.88-5.12%
Advanced Micro Devices $429.56-5.60%
Nvidia Corporation $190.01-3.36%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing $374.67-4.52%
S&P 5007,316.15-1.52%

The extended comparison highlights further weakness. Intel lagged the S&P 500 by close to 20 percentage points over its recent six-day losing streak. Despite this decline, shares are still among the top performers for 2026.

Period ending July 29IntelS&P 500Intel versus S&P 500
One day-5.1%-1.5%-3.6 points
Six days-22.4%-2.6%-19.8 points
21 days-37.8%-1.7%-36.1 points
Year so far+121.9%+6.9%+115.0 points

The earnings report exceeded forecasts, with revenue, adjusted earnings, and gross margin all surpassing estimates. Early guidance for the third quarter also topped predictions.

MetricIntel result or outlookConsensus estimateVariance
Q2 revenue$16.13 billion$14.42 billion+11.8%
Q2 adjusted EPS$0.42$0.21+100.0%
Q2 adjusted gross margin41.8%38.8%+3.0 points
Q3 revenue midpoint$16.30 billion$15.10 billion+7.9%
Q3 adjusted EPS$0.38$0.27+40.7%

*Initial management projections. Intel forecast revenue in a range of $15.8 billion to $16.8 billion. Final outcomes could vary.

The GAAP net loss of $11.03 billion reflects a $12.53 billion mark-to-market expense related to escrowed shares. Adjusted net income totaled $2.20 billion.

Segment economics illustrate market caution. Revenue rose most quickly in Data Center and AI. Foundry also saw higher sales, though the unit continued to post significant losses.

Q2 segmentRevenueYear-on-year changeOperating income/(loss)Operating margin
Client Computing and Physical AI$8.88 billion+12.8%$2.34 billion26.4%
Data Center and AI$6.26 billion+59.0%$2.47 billion39.5%
Intel Foundry†$5.77 billion+30.5%$(2.09) billion-36.2%

†Foundry revenue accounts for internal sales. Intel reported total intersegment eliminations of $5.48 billion.

The foundry segment reported a loss equivalent to 43.4% of Intel Products’ $4.82 billion in operating profit. This loss shrank by 34% compared to a year earlier. Meanwhile, Data Center and AI operating income almost multiplied by four. The contrast is still pronounced.

Intel increased its projected 2026 capital expenditures to $20 billion, up from $18 billion. The company expects a significant rise in spending again the following year. Adjusted free cash flow, as defined by Intel, registered at negative $8.42 billion, compared to negative $1.05 billion a year ago. This figure included a net partner outflow of $12.22 billion.

At the end of the quarter, cash and short-term investments amounted to $29.73 billion, while combined short- and long-term debt was approximately $50.54 billion. Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner stated that a share sale has not been authorized, but did not exclude the possibility.

Synopsys announced on July 27 that it has certified updated design flows and intellectual property for Intel’s 14A process, enhancing overall design readiness. The company’s statement did not mention any new wafer customers.

Chief Executive Lip-Bu Tan stated he is “increasingly confident” in the competitiveness of 14A. Shay Boloor at Futurum Group noted that additional revaluation hinges on improved “foundry economics” and more wins with external customers. Reuters

Risks: Intel faces the challenge of achieving strong 14A manufacturing yields, attracting external orders, and managing its funding requirements. Continued chip sector selloffs, export limits or supply disruptions may mask progress in operations.

For investors, the focus now shifts to cash conversion. Even another revenue beat may fall short. Intel has to demonstrate reduced foundry losses, solidify external orders and show more consistent spending.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What is Intel’s stock price in premarket trading ahead of Thursday’s U.S. session?

Intel ended the regular session on July 29 at $81.88, down roughly 5.1%. The stock traded between $81.79 and $88.47 during the day. Volume was 152.4 million shares, reflecting ongoing volatility after the company’s earnings release. Premarket activity on July 30 saw shares near $82.14. The company’s market capitalisation was close to $418 billion based on the latest closing figure. Yahoo Finance

Did Intel actually exceed Wall Street forecasts with its second-quarter results?

Intel outperformed expectations. Revenue came in at $16.13 billion, compared to analyst forecasts of $14.42 billion. Adjusted earnings per share totaled $0.42, about twice the $0.21 consensus. Revenue increased 25%, and adjusted gross margin rose by 12.1 points to 41.8%. Operating cash flow reached $7.0 billion. Reuters

What are the implications of Intel’s third-quarter outlook for upcoming earnings?

Management projects revenue in the range of $15.8 billion to $16.8 billion, setting the midpoint at $16.3 billion, around 1.2% above revenue from the second quarter. Guidance for adjusted EPS stands at $0.38, with gross margin forecast at 42.0%. The outlook topped Wall Street forecasts, lifting expectations for performance. The bar has now been set higher. Intel Corporation

Is Intel’s revenue momentum genuinely being fueled by demand for AI?

Yes, but what makes up that growth is important. Data Center and AI sales climbed 59% to reach $6.3 billion. Average server prices gained 48%, while the total number of units shipped grew 9%. Most of that expansion was driven by premium offerings and higher pricing. Client and physical-AI revenues also rose 13% to $8.9 billion. Intel Corporation

Is Intel Foundry now demonstrating a believable recovery?

Progress can be tracked, though supporting evidence is still scarce. Foundry revenue increased by 31% to $5.8 billion for the quarter. The operating loss was reduced to $2.1 billion from $3.2 billion. Of the total, $5.5 billion was generated from intersegment revenue, with only $293 million from external sources. Intel is aiming for 14A volume production in 2028, yet substantial external commitments have not been secured. Intel Corporation

What led Intel to post an $11 billion GAAP loss, even as it reported an adjusted profit?

The gap was mainly due to accounting factors. Intel posted a $12.5 billion mark-to-market loss on U.S. government escrowed shares. This charge was triggered as Intel’s share price rose during the quarter. Non-GAAP net income reached $2.2 billion, or $0.42 per share. Fluctuations in share price may continue to make GAAP earnings highly volatile. Intel Corporation

Is Intel able to support its expanded capital plan without putting pressure on its balance sheet?

Liquidity is sufficient but not robust. Intel reported $29.7 billion in cash and investments, compared with $50.5 billion in debt. The company increased its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $20 billion, previously $18 billion. Operating cash flow in Q2 was $7.0 billion. Adjusted free cash flow came in at negative $8.4 billion, a figure impacted by $12.2 billion in net outflows related to partners, marking an atypical quarter. Ongoing losses in the foundry business continue to weigh on funding flexibility. Intel Corporation

What is the current Wall Street prediction for Intel’s stock price?

As of July 27, a poll of 49 analysts assigns Intel a Hold rating rather than a Buy. Their mean 12-month price target is $107.93, representing a 31.8% premium compared to $81.88. Price targets range broadly from $50 to $200, indicating a significant divergence in expectations around foundry performance and AI expansion. Consensus projections may shift rapidly. MarketBeat

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global financial markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and previously worked in investment analysis before moving into financial journalism. His daily coverage focuses on the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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