National Grid share price edges up in London trade as rate outlook and UK grid approvals stay in focus

London, 09:11 GMT, January 30, 2026 — Regular session

• National Grid shares edged up roughly 0.1% early Friday, hovering close to their 52-week high
• Investors are focused on UK rate forecasts and the upcoming phase of regulated grid investment
• Sea Link’s planning hearings will continue until Friday, with a consent decision anticipated by mid-2026

National Grid NG.L ticked up slightly in early London trade Friday, last seen climbing 0.1% to 1,231.5 pence. The shares fluctuated between 1,222.8 and 1,235.0 pence during the session. Its 52-week range stands at 910.8 to 1,237.5 pence.

The shift was minor, yet the context is key. National Grid operates in a sector that usually tracks interest-rate forecasts closely, given that a large chunk of its profits stem from regulated networks and long-term investment projects.

That sensitivity resurfaced this week as global equities saw a rollercoaster ride. Investors grappled with big-tech earnings reports, volatile oil prices, and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move to hold interest rates steady.

National Grid slipped on Thursday, finishing just below the previous close at 1,230.0 pence.

London’s broader market showed patchy moves. The FTSE 100 dropped 0.5% Wednesday, weighed down by banks and healthcare stocks, before bouncing back to close 0.2% higher on Thursday, after reaching a record peak earlier in the day.

National Grid is zeroing in on delivery risks tied to major UK transmission projects while it navigates the consent process. The Sea Link project is currently under examination hearings this week, set to run through Friday. The company expects a development consent decision by mid-2026.

The regulatory timeline is narrowing. Ofgem’s upcoming price control for electricity transmission and gas networks—RIIO-3—will cover April 2026 through March 2031, laying out the rules for permitted returns and investment incentives.

Investors are keeping a close eye on how changing rate expectations are impacting defensive, yield-driven stocks in the short term. “There seems to have been a rotation out of European and U.K. stocks in favour of U.S. technology stocks,” said Axel Rudolph, senior financial analyst at IG, earlier this week. Reuters

The path isn’t set in stone. Higher gilt yields, delays in greenlighting major grid projects, or stricter regulatory limits could dent sentiment in a stock hovering near recent peaks. National Grid noted that Ofgem’s RIIO-T3 Final Determination for its UK electricity transmission arm sets a real allowed cost of equity at 6.12%, with 60% gearing.

Traders are eyeing the Bank of England’s rate decision on Feb. 5 next, a pivotal moment for UK sectors sensitive to interest rates. After that, the focus shifts to National Grid’s full-year earnings, due May 14.

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