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Nike (NYSE:NKE) earnings beat masks tariff-driven profit as direct sales fall again
30 June 2026
2 mins read

Nike (NYSE:NKE) earnings beat masks tariff-driven profit as direct sales fall again

BEAVERTON, Oregon, June 30, 2026, 14:04 PDT

  • Nike’s fiscal fourth-quarter revenue was $10.97 billion, ahead of the $10.86 billion LSEG estimate, but down 1% from a year earlier.
  • A $986 million expected tariff recovery added 52 cents to EPS and about 900 basis points to gross margin.
  • Wholesale rose 4%; Nike Direct fell 7%, with Nike Brand Digital down 12%.
  • The stock feed last showed Nike at $41.05, 45 cents below its previous close, with the latest trade at 20:48 UTC.

NIKE, Inc. beat quarterly revenue estimates on Tuesday, but the cleaner read for investors was less kind: most of the profit jump came from tariff recovery, while Nike’s own stores and digital channel kept falling.

Revenue was $10.97 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter ended May 31, down 1% on a reported basis and down 4% on a currency-neutral basis. Nike reported diluted EPS of 72 cents, including a 52-cent benefit tied to expected recovery of International Emergency Economic Powers Act tariffs. The company said the recovery became probable after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling found those tariffs unauthorized.

The tariff line changes the quality of the beat. On a simple subtraction basis, EPS was about 20 cents before the benefit, and gross margin was about 40.2%, nearly flat with last year’s 40.3%.

Q4 metricReportedEx-tariff recovery estimateYear earlier
Diluted EPS$0.72About $0.20$0.14
Gross margin49.2%About 40.2%40.3%
Gross profit$5.39 blnAbout $4.41 bln$4.47 bln

That matters because investors are paying for a turnaround in demand and product heat, not a refund. Nike’s gross profit, stripped of the $986 million recovery, was slightly below last year despite lower cost of sales.

The channel split was also hard to call clean. Wholesale revenue rose 4% to $6.6 billion, a sign that Chief Executive Elliott Hill is repairing retail relationships. Nike Direct fell 7% to $4.1 billion, hurt by a 12% drop in Nike Brand Digital and a 7% fall in Nike-owned stores.

Area watched by investorsQ4 revenueReported changeCurrency-neutral change
Wholesale$6.6 bln+4%+1%
Nike Direct$4.1 bln-7%-9%
North America$4.83 bln+3%+3%
Greater China$1.30 bln-12%-17%
Converse$244 mln-32%-34%

Hill said Nike still faces “top-line headwinds” but cited progress in performance products. Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said “sell-through remains challenged” and Nike is cutting costs for better efficiency. Business Wire

Greater China stayed weak. Revenue in the region fell 17% on a currency-neutral basis, better than the 20% drop Nike had projected in March but worse than the prior quarter’s 10% fall, Reuters reported. Greater China is Nike’s third-largest market and about 15% of annual sales; local rivals Anta Sports Products and Li Ning (HKG:2331) have added pressure.

Inventories were $7.5 billion, flat from a year earlier, as higher units were offset by product mix shifts. Cash, equivalents and short-term investments were $9.0 billion, down about $100 million from last year. Nike returned $609 million through dividends in the fourth quarter; full-year buybacks were only $123 million under its $18 billion authorization.

The latest stock feed showed a $60.8 billion market value and a last price of $41.05, below the previous close, after regular results timing. Reuters said Nike shares were down 35% this year before the post-results move.

For investors, the next test is narrow: whether wholesale strength can grow without more pressure in Nike Direct, and whether the China decline slows before the tariff benefit drops out of the comparison.

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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