Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Shares Top $200 as Amazon Pushes Higher AI Investment

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Shares Top $200 as Amazon Pushes Higher AI Investment

NEW YORK, August 2, 2026, 10:08 a.m. EDT — U.S. cash markets have finished trading.

  • Nvidia closed at $200.75 on Friday, up 2.9% on the day, though it fell 2.9% over the week.
  • According to reported figures, data centers accounted for 92.1% of Nvidia’s most recent quarterly revenue.
  • Amazon.com Inc. increased its projected capital expenditure for 2026 by 10% to $220 billion.

NVIDIA Corporation ended Friday’s session at $200.75, rising 2.9%. Over the week, however, the stock declined 2.9%.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:NVDA

The importance of that division is underscored by the fact that data centers accounted for 92.1% of the most recent quarterly revenue. Nvidia now serves as an immediate indicator of cloud capital strength.

Amazon delivered reassurances but issued a caution as well. AWS revenue increased by 37% to reach $42.2 billion. The company also raised its projected capital expenditures to $220 billion. Despite this, trailing free cash flow shifted to a $7.6 billion deficit.

Nvidia income segmentQ1 FY2027 salesPortion of overallAnnual increase
Data Center$75.2 billion92.1%92%
Edge Computing$6.4 billion7.8%29%
Total$81.6 billion100.0%85%

Company-reported data forms the basis for revenue share calculations.

Nvidia dropped 9.0% from Monday’s $208.75 peak to Wednesday’s close, before rebounding 5.7% by the end of Friday. The closing price ended $6.09 lower than the previous Friday.

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy stated, “We have a deep partnership with Nvidia.” Jassy noted that AWS clients are expected to keep seeking Nvidia systems. He added that Amazon’s in-house chip division has now reached an annualized run rate topping $25 billion. Versant Press Room

Amazon AI investment indicatorPrevious valueMost recent valueDifference
AWS revenue per quarter$30.873 billion$42.232 billion36.8%
AWS operating profit per quarter$10.160 billion$16.621 billion63.6%
Trailing free cash flow$18.184 billion inflow$7.604 billion outflow$25.788 billion shift downward
Cash and capital expenditure target for 2026$200 billion$220 billion10.0%

Quarterly data is reported by the company and remains unaudited. Variations are computed.

The comparison highlights Nvidia’s latest challenge with investors. While demand is surging, customers are depleting cash reserves and developing alternatives. This dynamic may sustain shipments but could cap further gains in valuation.

“The new dividing line is whether unprecedented spending is producing visible, near-term revenue and margin expansion,” REX Financial managing director Bill Birmingham said. Amazon cleared that hurdle on Friday, sending its shares up 15.3%. Reuters

Semiconductor securityFridayWeek
NVIDIA Corporation 2.93%-2.94%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. -1.90%-8.77%
Broadcom Inc. 0.37%1.93%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. 0.23%0.21%
PHLX Semiconductor Index (INDEXNASDAQ:SOX)0.07%-4.30%

Weekly returns reflect the closing prices from July 24 and July 31.

Nvidia surpassed AMD and the chip index in performance last week, while Broadcom proved more resilient. The variance indicates investors did not withdraw from semiconductor stocks across the board.

Nvidia continues to show robust fundamentals. Revenue for the first quarter surged 85% to $81.6 billion. The company projects revenue of $91 billion for the second quarter, with a margin of plus or minus 2%. This forecast excludes any data-center compute sales from China.

Nvidia on Monday revealed it had invested in Safe Superintelligence Inc., without specifying the size of the investment. The collaboration aims to expand SSI’s computing capability by a factor of ten.

Date and timeCatalystInvestor relevance
Monday, August 3, 10 a.m. ETJuly ISM manufacturing indexMeasures economic pace and affects rate-exposed valuations
Tuesday, August 4, after closeAMD second-quarter resultsKey indicator for accelerators and data-center consumption
Friday, August 7, 8:30 a.m. ETJuly U.S. employment reportPotential driver of yields and tech stock valuations

AMD forecasts second-quarter revenue at $11.2 billion, give or take $300 million. The midpoint would reflect a 46% year-over-year increase. The chipmaker projects a non-GAAP gross margin of 56%.

Nvidia will release its second-quarter earnings on August 26, with the call scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. In the meantime, trading is expected to be driven by customer results.

Risks: Key risks include custom chip development, Chinese regulatory limits, and tightening customer budgets. Any reduction in infrastructure spending could rapidly impact Nvidia’s data center-focused revenue.

Friday’s results reaffirmed that Nvidia continues to benefit from AI demand. However, last week’s decline indicated that expenditures alone are no longer decisive.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What must NVIDIA deliver on August 26?
NVIDIA guided fiscal Q2 revenue to $91 billion, plus or minus 2%. Consensus is about $91.9 billion and $2.08 per share. The midpoint implies 12% sequential growth and 95% annual growth. Expectations remain high. NVIDIA Newsroom
How should investors read NVIDIA’s valuation?
At July 31’s $200.75 close, NVIDIA was worth about $4.90 trillion. The stock trades near 22 times fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS consensus. That falls near 16 times fiscal 2028 estimates. Q1 GAAP earnings included $16.4 billion of other income, mostly investment gains. MarketWatch
What upside does analyst consensus imply?
The median 12-month target is $300, about 49% above Friday’s close. Average targets vary by provider, clustering around $304 to $314. Consensus remains bullish. It is not precise. The Wall Street Journal
Can Vera Rubin extend growth beyond Blackwell?
Vera Rubin is in full production, with partner systems due during 2026’s second half. NVIDIA forecasts over $1 trillion in Blackwell and Rubin revenue through 2027. That figure is management’s forecast, not contracted backlog. Execution now matters. NVIDIA Newsroom
How much China risk remains?
Fiscal Q2 guidance assumes no China Data Center compute revenue. Q1 had no Hopper shipments there, versus $4.6 billion last year. NVIDIA says current rules effectively foreclose China’s data-center compute market. For Q2, licensed sales would be incremental. Policy remains unstable. SEC
What could break the demand thesis fastest?
Three direct customers generated 54% of fiscal Q1 revenue. Data Center supplied $75.2 billion, about 92% of total sales. NVIDIA also reported $27 billion of contingent investment commitments. One AI company contributed meaningfully through cloud purchases, but NVIDIA gave no amount. A few capital budgets carry outsized weight. SEC

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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