Reddit Shares Fall Following Q2 Earnings Beat as U.S. User Numbers Flatten

Reddit Shares Fall Following Q2 Earnings Beat as U.S. User Numbers Flatten

NEW YORK, July 30, 2026, 5:07 p.m. EDT — With regular U.S. trading closed, after-hours activity continued.

  • After the close, Reddit’s stock dropped 9.3% to $161.55. The shares previously ended the session at $178.04.
  • Revenue increased by 61% to reach $805 million. The third-quarter midpoint suggests about 48% growth.
  • An initial estimate indicates that increased monetization accounted for approximately 65% of revenue growth in the quarter.

Shares of Reddit Inc. fell 9.3% in after-hours trade on Thursday, despite the company reporting earnings that topped expectations and providing upbeat guidance for the third quarter.

Stock chart for NYSE:RDDT

The results highlighted an increasing divide between user engagement and revenue generation. U.S. daily active uniques (DAUq) fell compared to the prior period, yet average revenue per user saw a sharp increase.

The midpoint for the third quarter suggests year-over-year revenue growth of about 47.9%, marking an end to Reddit’s streak of eight quarters with growth exceeding 60%.

Q2 resultsQ2 2026Q2 2025Difference
Total revenue$804.9 million$499.6 million+61%
Net earnings$252.8 million$89.3 million+183%
Adjusted EBITDA$343 million$167 million+106%
Adjusted EBITDA margin42.6%33.4%+9.2 points
Free cash flow$261 million$111 million+135%

Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow are non-GAAP metrics that are defined by the company.

Revenue for the second quarter surpassed analyst expectations by $74.5 million, a rise of 10.2%. Advertising sales increased by 64% to reach $762 million, accounting for almost 95% of overall revenue.

Both prices and ad impressions rose. Diluted earnings were $1.25, compared to $0.45 in the same period last year.

Operating metricQ2 2026Year-on-yearQ1 2026Sequential change
Global DAUq130.3 million+18%126.8 million+2.8%
U.S. DAUq53.2 million+6%53.5 million-0.6%
International DAUq77.1 million+28%73.3 million+5.2%
Global ARPU$6.18+36%$5.23+18.2%
U.S. ARPU$11.85+51%$9.63+23.1%
International ARPU$2.26+31%$2.02+11.9%

ARPU stands for average revenue per user. Sequential differences are based on rounded numbers from the company.

The sequential comparison showed a notable contrast. Global revenue climbed by 21.3%, while global DAUq saw a rise of just 2.8%.

U.S. DAUq declined by 300,000 compared to the previous quarter, while international DAUq increased by 3.8 million, resulting in overall global growth.

Initial global revenue growth breakdownEstimated contributionPercentage
Growth in audience$106.6 million35%
Increase in ARPU$198.6 million65%
Sum of identified growth$305.1 million100%

This estimate applies a symmetric two-factor breakdown for DAUq and ARPU. Due to rounding of the inputs, there is a $0.2 million variance from the actual $305.3 million rise in reported revenue.

The initial assessment indicates a quarter driven by monetization. This momentum also increases exposure to fluctuations in ad pricing and campaign demand.

Chief Operating Officer Jen Wong reported a 70% year-on-year increase in the number of advertisers. “We continue to onboard a lot more new advertisers onto Reddit,” she said. Reuters

Chief Executive Steve Huffman noted that search referrals had been “choppy” and that traffic had become more unpredictable. However, he stated that the commercial side of the business was still performing well. Reuters

Q3 company estimates — preliminaryCompany rangeMidpointAnalyst consensus or comparisonMidpoint reading
Revenue$860 million-$870 million$865 million$829.1 millionExceeds consensus by 4.3%
Adjusted EBITDA$385 million-$395 million$390 million$369 millionBeats consensus by 5.7%
Revenue growth47.0%-48.7%47.9%Q2 growth: 61%Growth slows sharply
Adjusted EBITDA margin45.1%Q2 margin: 42.6%Sequential rise of 2.5 points

Guidance reflects management expectations and is not assured. There is no GAAP reconciliation for forward adjusted EBITDA due to uncertainties in reconciling items.

The margin guide provides a balancing perspective. Adjusted EBITDA margin stands at 45.1% at the midpoint, representing a sequential increase of 2.5 percentage points.

Outside pressure continues to be significant. Alphabet’s Google is able to shift referral patterns by adjusting its search algorithms. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms is introducing new community-focused offerings.

Key risks include reliance on search, softer U.S. traffic, and ad-cycle fluctuations. After-hours trading volumes are limited and could shift ahead of Friday’s opening bell.

The investor focus is now clearer. Can Reddit maintain premium monetization as traffic gains level off? The Q3 guidance points to margins potentially offsetting the slowdown. The market response indicates investors expect both.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What is RDDT’s share price following its most recent earnings release?
RDDT ended the July 30 main trading session at $178.04 a share. In after-hours trade, the stock hovered around $163.64, representing an approximate 8.1% decrease from the closing price. Shares were volatile as investors reacted to slower growth among U.S. users. The reported earnings were strong.
By how much did Reddit surpass earnings expectations in the second quarter?
Revenue for the second quarter was $804.9 million, up 61% from a year earlier. This exceeded consensus expectations of around $731 million by approximately 10%. Diluted EPS was $1.25, topping estimates that ranged from $0.95 to $1.01. Net income rose 183% to $252.8 million, demonstrating significant operating leverage. The earnings beat spanned multiple metrics.
Does Reddit’s third-quarter outlook show sufficient strength?
Management set its third-quarter revenue guidance in a range of $860 million to $870 million, with the midpoint of $865 million about 4% above Wall Street’s pre-report consensus. This guidance suggests approximately 48% year-on-year growth for the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA is expected between $385 million and $395 million, reflecting a midpoint margin near 45%. Growth continues to be strong, though the rate has evidently slowed.
Is Reddit experiencing a deceleration in user growth?
Global daily active unique users climbed 18% to reach 130.3 million. Weekly active unique users were up 24% to 514.6 million, surpassing the half-billion mark. Still, U.S. DAUq declined on a sequential basis to 53.2 million from 53.5 million. Logged-in U.S. DAUq was up just 1% year over year. International DAUq posted stronger growth, jumping 28% to 77.1 million.
Could higher monetization balance out slower growth among U.S. users?
At present, available data provides robust support for that outcome. U.S. revenue climbed 56% while domestic DAUq advanced just 6%. U.S. ARPU jumped 51% to reach a new quarterly high of $11.85. International revenue expanded 84%, with international ARPU rising a further 31%. Reddit’s advertiser numbers increased approximately 70% year-on-year.
What is Reddit's current profitability and cash generation status?
GAAP net income totaled $252.8 million, resulting in a net margin of 31.4%. Adjusted EBITDA surged to $342.8 million, representing a 42.6% margin. Free cash flow amounted to $260.7 million, accounting for 32.4% of revenue for the quarter. At the end of the period, cash and marketable securities stood at $2.79 billion. Adjusted EBITDA, however, did not include $106.8 million in stock-based compensation and related taxes.
What is the level of risk posed by AI and search traffic?
Executives reported uneven search referrals, with traffic showing greater volatility later in the quarter. SEO headwinds outpaced Reddit’s user-growth initiatives during the same period. This is notable since advertising contributed $762 million, accounting for almost 95% of overall revenue. Meanwhile, other revenue reached just $43 million, although that figure rose 24% from a year earlier. Licensing connected to AI may provide a boost, but contract terms remain unclear.
Is Reddit’s stock repurchase delivering significant backing?
Reddit bought back 1.5 million shares in the second quarter for $235 million, with an average price of $157.57 per Class A share. That’s just below the most recent after-hours quote of around $164. Despite this, fully diluted shares increased 0.2% from a year earlier, reaching 207 million. The repurchase program is counteracting dilution but not significantly reducing the overall share count.
Does RDDT remain costly, and what do predictions suggest?
Reddit’s market value stood at about $36.1 billion with shares priced at $178.04, representing nearly 13 times its revenue over the previous four quarters. After hours, with shares at $163.64, that multiple drops to around 12 times. Business Wire Analyst price targets prior to the report averaged between $227 and $230, spanning a published low of $120 and a high of $303. That valuation continues to demand strong performance, and forecasts may shift after the second quarter.
Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and semiconductors to AI and the broader global markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and worked in investment analysis before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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