Saudi Economy Rockets: IMF Ups Forecast, 5% GDP Growth on the Table – and a Nobel Laureate Boosts Innovation
IMF Forecast and Growth Outlook Saudi Arabia’s outlook brightened this week after the IMF lifted its 2025 GDP forecast to 4.0% reuters.com. Reuters notes this upgrade is driven by faster-than-expected unwinding of OPEC+ oil cuts and rebounding output reuters.com. IMF Middle East director Jihad Azour has warned that oil price recoveries significantly improve the Kingdom’s finances – each additional 1 million barrels/day adds ~3.2% of GDP to the fiscal balance worldoil.com. In practical terms, breakeven oil prices remain high (around $94/bbl excluding extra spending) worldoil.com, so the recent rise of Brent back toward ~$70 supports the budget. Finance Minister Mohammed