NEW YORK, Jan 4, 2026, 09:32 ET — Market closed
Tesla (TSLA) shares ended Friday down 2.6% at $438.07, after swinging between $435.33 and $462.42 on volume of about 85.5 million shares. U.S. markets are closed on Sunday and the stock will next trade on Monday, Jan. 5.
The move followed Tesla’s early-January update on production and deliveries, a closely watched snapshot of demand that feeds directly into quarterly revenue. For investors, the print helps set expectations for the year ahead as the EV market gets more competitive.
It also lands at a sensitive moment for Tesla’s narrative. Bulls have leaned on growth in autonomy, robotics and energy, but the car business still drives the bulk of sales and cash flow.
Tesla said it delivered 418,227 vehicles in the fourth quarter and produced 434,358, while deploying 14.2 gigawatt-hours (GWh) — a unit of electricity — of energy storage products, a quarterly record. For 2025, Tesla reported deliveries of 1,636,129 vehicles and energy storage deployments of 46.7 GWh, and said it will report earnings on Jan. 28 after the market closes. 1
Tesla’s fourth-quarter deliveries missed analysts’ expectations of 434,487 vehicles, Visible Alpha data cited by Reuters showed; for 2025 it delivered about 1.64 million vehicles versus 1.79 million in 2024, ceding the annual EV sales lead to China’s BYD, even as its shares rose about 11% in 2025. Investors have been digesting the end of the $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit in September and Tesla’s move to roll out cheaper “Standard” versions of the Model Y and Model 3 in Europe. “Investors are so focused on the future with Tesla that they are ignoring delivery numbers,” said Dennis Dick, a trader at Triple D Trading. 2
Data from several European markets underscored the pressure: Tesla registrations — a proxy for sales — fell 66% in France and 71% in Sweden in December, Reuters reported, even as they jumped 89% in Norway. Tesla’s market share across Europe, Britain and the European Free Trade Association fell to 1.7% through November from 2.4% a year earlier, the European auto lobby ACEA said, with full-year regional data due later this month. 3
The chill is not limited to Tesla. Rivian reported 2025 deliveries fell 18% and said investors are looking ahead to its lower-priced R2 SUV, expected to compete with Tesla’s best-selling Model Y, as the company targets deliveries in the first half of 2026. 4
A U.S. securities filing showed Tesla submitted a Form 8-K — a current report companies use to disclose major events — on Jan. 2 attaching the production-and-delivery release as an exhibit. 5
Friday’s drop left Tesla shares near the bottom of their day’s range after an early pop faded, a pattern traders often read as weak near-term momentum. The stock’s $435 area — the session low — is the next level some short-term investors will watch for signs of a break or a bounce.
Macro conditions may matter as much as company headlines for high-valuation stocks. Investors head into the first full week of 2026 with the U.S. jobs report due Jan. 9 and consumer price data due Jan. 13, Reuters reported — releases that can swing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. 6
But Tesla bears argue the next leg depends on whether demand stabilises without deeper discounts, and on what the company says about auto gross margin — profit after production costs — at the Jan. 28 report. A stronger-than-expected run of jobs or inflation data would also raise the risk of higher bond yields, a backdrop that has tended to pressure growth stocks.
Monday’s trading will show how much of the delivery disappointment is already priced in after last week’s slide, and whether investors lean into the energy-storage upside highlighted in the report. The next major catalyst for Tesla shares is the Jan. 28 earnings release and management webcast, where guidance on 2026 deliveries and the pace of autonomy and robotics initiatives will be front and center.
