NEW YORK, Jan 5, 2026, 03:46 ET — Market closed
- Trump said U.S. oil companies were ready to spend billions to restore Venezuela’s crude output after Maduro was captured
- Exxon ended Friday up 1.9%, with energy shares tracking oil’s headlines-driven swings
- Investors are watching Venezuela policy signals alongside U.S. jobs data due Jan. 9
Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares are in focus ahead of Monday’s session after President Donald Trump said U.S. oil companies would spend “billions of dollars” to restore Venezuela’s “badly broken” oil infrastructure, hours after Nicolás Maduro was captured and removed by U.S. forces. Analysts cautioned that the effort would run into years of repairs and a U.S. embargo that Trump said remains in place. “It will take tens of billions of dollars to turn that industry around,” said Peter McNally, global head of sector analysts at Third Bridge. 1
The news matters because any shift in Venezuela’s oil policy can quickly change expectations for global supply, pushing crude prices up or down and feeding straight into how investors value large producers like Exxon. Even without direct assets in the country today, Exxon’s stock tends to move with oil because higher crude prices typically lift upstream profits and cash flow.
The geopolitical jolt is also landing as investors look for direction in the first full trading week of 2026, with U.S. employment data due Jan. 9 and inflation readings due Jan. 13 that could reset bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Lower interest rates generally support equities, but a renewed oil spike can complicate the inflation picture.
Oil markets were already unsettled. Brent crude futures were last down 0.7% at $60.33 a barrel after swinging between gains and losses, as traders weighed the Venezuela intervention and an OPEC+ decision on Sunday to keep output unchanged; OPEC+ is the OPEC cartel plus allies including Russia. 2
Exxon shares ended Friday up 1.9% at $122.65, after trading between $119.66 and $122.78 in the session. Trading volume was about 14.2 million shares.
Chevron and Occidental Petroleum also rose on Friday, underscoring how quickly energy stocks can respond when crude headlines dominate the tape.
For Exxon investors, the immediate watch is whether Washington offers any concrete timeline or legal framework for private investment in Venezuela, and whether restrictions on Venezuelan exports change. Absent that clarity, traders say day-to-day moves may keep tracking Brent and U.S. crude benchmarks.
Attention is also turning to Exxon’s next quarterly report, when management typically updates investors on production growth, refining margins and capital returns. MarketBeat estimates Exxon will report fourth-quarter results on Jan. 30 before the market opens, based on past schedules. 3
The risk for bulls is that the Venezuela story fades into a long, uncertain rebuild while crude prices drift lower on ample supply. In that scenario, energy stocks that gained early in the year can give back ground, especially if broader markets pivot back to rate and growth concerns.
Technically, traders will be watching whether Exxon holds above the $120 area after Friday’s dip and whether it can clear the recent high near $123. Breaks on either side could set the tone into the U.S. open.
