Archer Aviation (NYSE:ACHR) Up 7% on Week as Defense Contract Priced Orders Remain Pending
26 July 2026
2 mins read

Archer Aviation (NYSE:ACHR) Up 7% on Week as Defense Contract Priced Orders Remain Pending

NEW YORK, July 26, 2026, 16:00 EDT — U.S. markets have finished trading for the day.

  • Archer ended Friday at $4.77, maintaining a 7.4% rise for the week.
  • The stock gave up 62% of its Monday gain after Halo revealed it had not disclosed the order value.
  • As of March, cash and investments accounted for 48.6% of the company’s market value as of Friday.

Archer shares ended last week up 7.4% following its Farnborough defense push, though this increase hid a steep drop in momentum. The stock dropped 6.7% on Friday, closing at $4.77.

The stock climbed 19.6% on Monday, rising by 87 cents to close at $5.31. By Friday, it had lost 54 cents of those gains, wiping out 62% of the initial increase.

Investor response followed the announcement of Thunder, an autonomous hybrid-electric rotorcraft created in partnership with Anduril. Designed for military attack operations, cargo transport, and remote logistics tasks, the platform is slated for its maiden flight in 2027.

Archer later introduced Halo, its commercial iteration of the platform. Marubeni Aerospace was named as its strategic launch partner. The arrangement is focused on market research, exploring use cases, and a possible future deployment. No specific details regarding the number of aircraft, pricing, or confirmed order value were provided.

CompanyJuly 24 closeWeekly moveMarket value
Archer Aviation $4.77up 7.4%$3.66 billion
Joby Aviation $6.93down 4.1%$6.54 billion
Eve Holding (NYSE:EVEX)$2.29up 5.0%$0.80 billion

Weekly changes are based on closing prices from July 17 and July 24. Market capitalizations are as of Friday’s close.

Archer outperformed Joby by 11.6 percentage points for the week and exceeded Eve’s performance by 2.4 points. In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.1%. The gains did not reflect a general air-taxi sector surge.

Anduril has recognized a clear military requirement, Chief Executive Adam Goldstein said. “They identified a need, and we built a very specific aircraft for that need,” he told Reuters. Reuters

Archer’s expansion remains backed by its balance sheet. As of March 31, the company reported $1.7759 billion in cash, equivalents and short-term investments, representing 48.6% of its $3.66 billion market capitalisation as of Friday.

Archer Aviation reported $149.1 million in operating cash outflows for the first quarter, with capital expenditures contributing an additional $32.6 million. Combined, the total represented 10.2% of cash and investment holdings at the end of the quarter.

Archer expects an adjusted EBITDA loss between $170 million and $200 million for the second quarter, based on its preliminary estimates. The midpoint of $185 million represents 10.4% of its liquid assets as of March. Adjusted EBITDA differs from cash burn.

The buffer allows Archer to focus on obtaining certification and defense contracts. It also increases the importance of binding deals compared to partnership disclosures.

As trading reopens Monday, investors will focus on those economic indicators. Archer anticipates announcing additional Halo partners and incremental government contract wins. A firm order would be seen as more significant than simply naming another launch partner.

Risks are still elevated. Delays in certification, an extended award process, or quicker cash burn may undermine the defense premium. Archer reported first-quarter revenue of only $1.6 million.

Archer finished the week outperforming its nearest publicly traded competitors. The pullback from a 62% surge illustrates that further gains depend on contract announcements rather than unveiling another aircraft.

Where did Archer shares finish, and how much of Monday’s rally survived?

Archer closed at $4.77 on Friday, July 24, down 6.65% that day. The stock still gained 7.43% for the week, rising from $4.44. Shares jumped 19.59% Monday after Thunder’s unveiling, closing at $5.31. By Friday, Archer had surrendered 10.17% from Monday’s closing level. The latest price stands only 10.9% above its 52-week low. It remains a steep 67.4% below the $14.62 yearly high. Archer Aviation

Did Thunder and Halo add real orders or near-term revenue?

Archer and Anduril unveiled Thunder, the defense variant, on July 20. Archer then introduced Halo, the commercial variant, two days later. Marubeni Aerospace became Halo’s first disclosed strategic launch partner. The agreement covers market research, use cases and possible future introduction. Archer disclosed no aircraft quantity, contract value or revenue timetable. Thunder’s first official flight is currently planned for sometime in 2027. The near-term commercial impact therefore remains unproven. Archer Aviation

Is Archer’s balance sheet strong enough for continued development?

At March 31, Archer held $1.776 billion in cash and short-term investments. It carried about $80 million of debt, leaving roughly $1.70 billion net cash. Q1 operating cash use was $149.1 million, plus $32.6 million of capital spending. That single-quarter outflow equals roughly $182 million in combined cash use. At that unchanged pace, current liquidity would cover roughly ten quarters. That calculation is simple arithmetic, not formal management runway guidance. Spending could rise during certification, production and commercial rollout. Archer Aviation

Is the stock cheap after falling near its yearly low?

At $4.77, Archer’s current market capitalization is roughly $3.6 billion. Net cash therefore represents about 47% of that equity value. The implied enterprise value is approximately $1.9 billion today. Yet Q1 revenue was only $1.6 million, including $1.0 million from lease-related revenue. The same quarter produced a $217.7 million net loss. Any valuation case still depends heavily on certification and aircraft economics. Archer Aviation

What should investors expect from the next earnings report?

Archer guided Q2 adjusted EBITDA to a $170 million-$200 million loss. Q1’s reported adjusted EBITDA loss was $172.5 million. Investors will compare cash burn with the $188.8 million sequential liquidity decline. They will also watch Phase 4 testing and UAE operating milestones. Archer has not yet confirmed its official Q2 reporting date. Third-party calendars currently point to August 6 through August 10. Those estimated dates remain uncertain and sit outside the coming week. Archer Aviation

How close is Midnight to FAA certification and U.S. operations?

Archer said it completed Phase 3 of the FAA’s four-phase process in April. Phase 4 requires formal testing and analysis against airworthiness requirements. Archer also joined selected pilot projects in New York, Texas and Florida. The FAA said public pilot operations could begin during summer 2026. Those flights would gather operational safety data under a controlled program. They would not, by themselves, establish unrestricted type certification. Timing remains the central uncertainty. Archer Aviation

Can Archer still begin paid operations in the UAE during 2026?

The UAE regulator moved Midnight into a Restricted Type Certificate program in May. That pathway is intended to support limited commercial operations. Archer plans to operate there with Abu Dhabi Aviation. However, joining the program is not equivalent to receiving final certification. No paid-service start date or approved operating scale has been disclosed. A 2026 launch remains possible, but it is not assured. Archer Aviation

How serious is dilution for existing shareholders?

Archer had 759.6 million Class A shares outstanding on May 6, 2026. A year earlier, the comparable official count was 549.0 million shares. That represents a 38.4% year-over-year increase in outstanding shares. Q1 stock-based compensation reached $70.4 million, versus $30.1 million one year earlier. Another 66.3 million potentially dilutive securities were excluded from diluted EPS. Many outstanding warrants carry an $11.50 exercise price, above Friday’s close. Dilution therefore remains a substantial issue for existing shareholders. SEC

Could short covering drive another sharp move next week?

Short interest totaled 95.1 million Archer shares on July 15. Providers calculate roughly 13%-15% of float, using different float definitions. Monday’s 98.3 million-share volume was nearly triple recent average trading volume. That combination can amplify both rallies and reversals. It still cannot prove Monday’s move was a short squeeze. Fresh defense awards or certification progress would matter more fundamentally. MarketBeat

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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