TeraWulf (NASDAQ:WULF) surges 18% after Maryland power agreement receives federal go-ahead
31 July 2026
2 mins read

TeraWulf (NASDAQ:WULF) surges 18% after Maryland power agreement receives federal go-ahead

NEW YORK, July 30, 2026, 19:01 EDT

  • The stock finished at $17.82, rising 18.1%, though still 3.5% under its value on July 24.
  • FERC has cleared the acquisition of four Morgantown generation units with a combined capacity of approximately 216 megawatts.
  • Initial calculations on the contract indicate a revenue-density benefit as high as 35% compared to the latest peer agreement.

TeraWulf Inc. ended Thursday’s session up 18.1% at $17.82 after receiving federal clearance for its acquisition of a Maryland power plant, providing a fresh catalyst for the stock.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:WULF

The decision is significant as access to the power grid is now the key limiting factor for AI. It enables TeraWulf’s Chesapeake Data division to secure roughly 216 MW of current generation capacity.

However, the stock lagged behind four key AI-infrastructure peers, whose average increase was 24.9%—6.8 points higher than TeraWulf.

Bitcoin climbed 1.5%, undermining a crypto-centric rationale for Thursday’s market shift.

AssetPrice or levelThursday move
TeraWulf Inc. $17.82up 18.1%
Nasdaq Composite25,122.18gained 2.78%
Bitcoin$64,791added 1.46%

Shares of Microsoft Corp. climbed over 15% following a positive outlook. Capital spending came in below expectations, helping to allay broader concerns about profits from AI. The Philadelphia semiconductor index rose 8.2%.

Shares of infrastructure companies tied to the power sector rose more sharply.

CompanyCloseDay moveMarket value
TeraWulf Inc. $17.82+18.1%$7.54 billion
Core Scientific Inc. $21.81+20.4%$7.10 billion
IREN Ltd. $38.26+30.7%$12.77 billion
Cipher Digital Inc. $22.66+28.1%$9.18 billion
Applied Digital Corp. $27.97+20.4%$7.89 billion

Looking at contracts, TeraWulf appears stronger. The company’s lease with Anthropic posts a greater headline revenue density compared to the minimum disclosed by Core.

Infrastructure agreementCritical loadInitial termHeadline revenueRevenue per MW-year
TeraWulf–AnthropicRoughly 401 MW20 yearsApproximately $19 billionRoughly $2.37 million
Core Scientific–Advanced Micro Devices Inc. frameworkRoughly 530 MW15 yearsOver $14 billionOver $1.76 million

Initial reporter estimates, not yet adjusted.

TeraWulf is priced at approximately $2.37 million per MW-year. Core’s disclosed floor is above $1.76 million. As a result, the visible margin is capped at roughly 35%.

The comparison leaves out escalators, customer funding and operating expenses. It does not account for varying construction timelines or contract safeguards.

Chief Executive Paul Prager said the Anthropic lease “validates our strategy and establishes a long-duration revenue stream.” The 401-MW campus is expected to begin operations in late 2027, with full capacity anticipated by early 2028. TeraWulf Inc.

FERC approved just the transfer of ownership. Approvals for state permits, zoning, and the planned switch to gas are still pending. TeraWulf has proposed a one-gigawatt power project at Morgantown.

The rebound failed to offset the earlier decline. TeraWulf rose 1.7% over the past week, but was down 3.5% as of Thursday.

Trading windowClosing-price pathChange
Previous full week, July 17–24$18.16 to $18.46Rise of 1.7%
Since July 24$18.46 to $17.82Decline of 3.5%
Wednesday, July 29$17.09 to $15.09Down 11.7%
Thursday, July 30$15.09 to $17.82Increase of 18.1%

The upcoming test is scheduled for Wednesday, August 5. TeraWulf plans to release its second-quarter earnings ahead of its 8 a.m. EDT conference call. Early consensus estimates indicate a projected loss of $0.24 per share.

Investors are monitoring funding, construction outlays, and initial billing dates. Bitcoin mining exposure remains relevant until the new AI campuses begin operations.

Risks: The FERC decision leaves environmental, zoning, and grid matters unresolved. PJM’s market monitor cautioned that retiring current capacity may transfer costs to consumers. The Anthropic campus will not reach full operation before early 2028.

The next hurdle is cash. Investors require a clear, financed transition from signed megawatt agreements to generating billable capacity.

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Further analysis

Why did WULF rally sharply, and where does the stock trade now?

The latest verified quote was $17.82, up 18.1% during July 30 trading. Volume reached 44.1 million shares, with an intraday range of $15.28 to $18.59. The rally followed FERC’s approval of the Morgantown asset transfer. Several former bitcoin miners also rallied, so the move was not purely company-specific. Volatility remains severe for both traders and long-term investors right now. Benzinga

What does the Morgantown approval actually unlock?

FERC cleared the ownership transfer of about 216 megawatts of operating generation. The order does not authorize data-center construction, repowering, or new behind-the-meter arrangements. TeraWulf’s stated ambition is roughly one gigawatt at the Maryland site. Environmental, zoning, pipeline, and PJM interconnection approvals could still be required. The approval removes one major federal obstacle. It does not eliminate schedule or permitting risk. Benzinga

How valuable is the $19 billion Anthropic lease?

The contract covers 401 megawatts over an initial 20-year term. TeraWulf estimates approximately $19 billion of contracted lease revenue. Simple division gives $950 million annually, but that is not immediate revenue. Rent starts phase by phase from late 2027 through early 2028. Anthropic holds two additional five-year extension options beyond the initial term. The filing expects investment-grade credit support but does not identify its provider. SEC

What should investors expect from the August 5 earnings report?

TeraWulf will release Q2 results before its 8:00 ET conference call. TeraWulf Inc. Published forecasts differ, with revenue estimates around $44.7 million to $49.0 million. EPS estimates range roughly from losses of $0.19 to $0.24 per share. Yahoo Finance Q1 revenue was $34.0 million, while adjusted EBITDA was negative $4.1 million. Investors will focus on HPC rent commencement, project timing, and post-offering liquidity. TeraWulf Inc.

Is the AI and HPC pivot already working?

Q1 HPC lease revenue reached $21.0 million, representing 62% of total sales. Bitcoin mining supplied $13.0 million, down from $34.4 million one year earlier. Each segment reported roughly $10.2 million of segment profit. Corporate expenses then overwhelmed those positive segment contributions. The pivot is real. It is not yet proven at the consolidated earnings level. TeraWulf Inc.

Was the $427.7 million first-quarter loss as bad as it looked?

The GAAP loss overstated immediate cash damage, but underlying profitability remained weak. Warrant remeasurement created a $216.3 million non-cash accounting loss. Stock compensation added another $101.4 million of non-cash expense. That compensation still dilutes existing shareholders over time. Interest expense reached $67.1 million, while adjusted EBITDA remained negative $4.1 million. Operating cash outflow was comparatively modest at $17.6 million. Investing outflow was far larger, reaching $712.8 million. TeraWulf Inc.

Can TeraWulf fund the buildout without another capital raise?

March-end cash and restricted cash together totaled $3.093 billion. Equity sales through May 8 generated approximately $1.227 billion gross. TeraWulf repaid its $100 million bridge and established a $250 million revolver. The Abernathy agreement calls for $530 million through three staged payments. Q1 investing outflow reached $712.8 million before the Anthropic lease announcement. Near-term liquidity looks substantial, but complete campus funding remains uncertain. TeraWulf Inc.

How much shareholder dilution is already embedded?

TeraWulf had 425.05 million shares outstanding on March 31. Known post-quarter equity sales added 64.84 million shares, about 15.3% more. Google warrants cover 73.58 million shares at a one-cent exercise price. March-end unvested employee and director awards totaled another 47.3 million shares. Convertible notes may also settle partly in common shares. Not every instrument will vest or convert, so exact dilution remains conditional. TeraWulf Inc.

Does bitcoin still matter to the investment case?

Bitcoin generated 38% of Q1 revenue, with 168 coins mined. Reported cash cost was an unusual negative $381 per coin. That result reflected $14.1 million of demand-response credits and heavy curtailment. Including miner depreciation raised the disclosed cost to $79,464 per bitcoin. Bitcoin currently trades near $64,783, below that depreciation-inclusive measure. That comparison is imperfect because power conditions changed after quarter-end. Mining remains relevant, but the equity thesis increasingly depends on HPC delivery. TeraWulf Inc.

What does Wall Street forecast for WULF shares?

One current aggregator shows 18 analysts averaging a $37.94 price target. The published range runs from $30 to a $72 high. The average stands about 113% above the latest $17.82 quote. Even the low target implies roughly 68% upside from current levels. Investing.com Those forecasts depend heavily on projects scheduled for 2027 and 2028. SEC Short interest was about 104.37 million shares on July 15. Depending on float definitions, that represented roughly 25% to 27%. MarketBeat

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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