Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Shares Gain $781 Million Over Two Days Ahead of Earnings Release

Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Shares Gain $781 Million Over Two Days Ahead of Earnings Release

NEW YORK, August 5, 2026, 06:09 EDT

Ondas Inc. saw its equity value rise by about $781 million across two sessions, raising expectations ahead of next week’s earnings report. The stock was quoted down 0.5%, at $8.82, in delayed premarket trading on Wednesday. U.S. markets had yet to open for regular trading.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:ONDS

Shares rose 18.3%, moving from $7.49 at Friday’s close to $8.86 by Tuesday’s end. Based on current outstanding shares, this jump represents 1.49 times Ondas’ stated minimum revenue goal for 2026. This represents a comparative valuation calculation and does not constitute company guidance.

Ondas is set to announce its second-quarter results on August 13, covering the period that concluded on June 30. DZYNE Technologies finalized its transaction on July 2, meaning any business activity following the closing will be excluded from the Q2 revenue figures.

SessionClose or indicationChangeVolume
July 31 close$7.49-1.19%59.69 million
August 3 close$8.37+11.75%55.79 million
August 4 close$8.86+5.85%73.36 million
August 5 premarket$8.82-0.45%0.30 million

Premarket indication, delayed, as of 5:59 a.m. EDT. Market data, both historical and current, sourced from Investing.com and MarketWatch.

Monday saw the biggest move after Ondas named ex-Mossad chief David Barnea as global president and chair of Ondas Defense. Barnea will oversee global growth, government affairs, tech strategy and acquisition integration.

Barnea stated that achieving operational edge now depends more on the merger of “intelligence, artificial intelligence, resilient communications, autonomous platforms and precision capabilities.” This represents a directive for integration. Ondas Inc.

The gains on Tuesday were mirrored by two other significant drone and autonomous-defense companies, both of which posted comparable increases. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.6%.

August 4 sessionCloseChange
Ondas Inc. $8.86+5.85%
AeroVironment Inc. $169.02+6.18%
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. $51.87+5.41%
Nasdaq Composite26,584.99+2.59%

MarketWatch supplied the final prices and index figures.

The parallel trend among peers challenges a solely company-specific rationale for Tuesday. Monday’s 11.8% surge still stands as the clearer indicator linked to Barnea’s appointment.

Order activity provides basic backing. Ondas reported $70 million in new orders over a span of four weeks, with the total counting a $6.9 million Australian contract for counter-drone technology. Orders must still be delivered and recognized as revenue.

Investor comparisonValue
Equity value on August 4$5.05 billion
Equity-value increase over two sessions (estimated)$780.7 million
Estimated DZYNE deal value$875 million
Share of DZYNE value from two-session gain89.1%
2026 minimum revenue goal$525 million
Ratio of equity value to revenue goal9.6 times
Ratio of two-session increase to revenue goal1.49 times

The calculations are based on 569.86 million outstanding shares and the closing share price from Tuesday. The ratios reflect equity value versus revenue, and are not enterprise-value multiples.

Ondas lifted its minimum 2026 revenue outlook to $525 million, up from $390 million, after completing acquisitions of DZYNE and Omnisys. Management projects DZYNE will contribute $191 million in revenue this year. These numbers represent company forecasts.

Projecting Q1 results across the year implies $474.9 million remains for the next three quarters, or an average of $158.3 million each quarter. This calculation is straightforward math, not an official quarterly forecast.

First-quarter revenue was $50.1 million, yielding a gross margin of 49.2%. The quarter saw an operating loss of $42.7 million, with operating cash usage totaling $51.3 million. The upcoming August report will indicate if revenue quality is on an upward trend.

Prior to the latest transaction, liquidity remained strong. As of March 31, cash and short-term investments were $1.47 billion, not including restricted cash. Ondas subsequently completed a $200 million payment and distributed nearly 40 million shares for DZYNE. A further 45 million shares are scheduled for issuance on January 4, 2027.

Share-base comparisonShares outstandingChange from May 13
May 13 reported figure495.76 million
Latest market figure569.86 million+14.9%
January 2027 basic pro forma614.86 million+24.0%

The pro forma includes the scheduled delivery of 45 million shares under contract. It does not factor in any additional issuances, exercises, cancellations or repurchases.

Risks: Integration involves a wide range of technologies and customer segments. In the first quarter, 69% of revenue came from three customers. Delays in converting orders are possible, and upcoming share distributions and employee grants may dilute current stockholders.

The August 13 report is able to evaluate the pre-DZYNE platform but does not yet provide evidence of DZYNE’s impact. Barnea’s appointment adds momentum to the integration narrative; margins, cash conversion and order timing now need to support the current valuation.

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Further analysis

Does the August 13 report provide backing for the $525 million revenue goal?
The upcoming second-quarter results are the primary upcoming trigger. Analysts’ revenue projections are concentrated around $68 million, while forecasts for EPS indicate a loss between $0.06 and $0.10. DZYNE closed on July 2, which was after the quarter ended. Q2 is expected to confirm the performance of the platform prior to DZYNE, rather than the outlook for the full year. Ondas Inc.
Is the backlog able to generate revenue quickly enough?
Pro forma backlog stood at $457 million as of March 31, representing a 570% increase, and accounted for recently acquired Mistral and World View operations. Ondas disclosed more than $150 million in second-quarter orders through June 22. The $525 million goal further factors in DZYNE and Omnisys. Investors seek specifics on delivery timelines, profit margins, and underlying growth. Ondas Inc.
Are operating losses set to reach their highest point in the second quarter?
The $361.2 million net income reported for Q1 was not from operations. This figure factored in a $389.5 million noncash warrant gain. The company posted an operating loss of $42.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA showed a $10.9 million loss. Management forecasts that Q2 will represent the highest point in adjusted EBITDA losses, though this assertion awaits verification. Ondas Inc.
Is there flexibility in the valuation to accommodate potential missteps?
Ondas ended August 4 with a share price of $8.86 and an equity valuation near $5.05 billion, which is 9.6 times the company’s 2026 revenue goal set by management. Cash and investments totaled $1.48 billion in March, not counting subsequent acquisitions. The basic share count grew 49.7% from the end of the year to reach 569.86 million. Delivering per-share returns will depend on successful integration and margin performance. The Wall Street Journal
What does the analyst consensus suggest regarding the stock price?
According to FactSet, there are nine Buy ratings, with an average price target of $19.81. The targets range between $16 and $25. The consensus target points to a potential gain of 124% from $8.86. However, FactSet still projects a $0.17 per-share loss in 2027. These price targets are based on execution rather than present operating earnings. The Wall Street Journal

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and emerging industries. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and previously worked in market research before moving into financial journalism. Her coverage focuses on the companies, innovations and economic trends influencing global investors. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

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