Marvell Shares Drop 10.3%, Wiping Out $22 Billion After Google AI Revenue Delayed Beyond 2029

Marvell Shares Drop 10.3%, Wiping Out $22 Billion After Google AI Revenue Delayed Beyond 2029

SANTA CLARA, California, August 30, 2026, 09:42 (EDT)

  • Marvell stock ended Friday at $216.62, falling 10.28%, even as the company reported its highest-ever quarterly revenue.
  • Data-center sales totaled $2.17 billion, accounting for 79% of revenue, and increased 46% from a year earlier.
  • Significant revenue from Marvell’s custom-chip project with Google is now expected mainly in fiscal 2029.
  • The shares are trading at almost 52 times the consensus earnings estimate for fiscal 2027.

Marvell Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MRVL) shares slid 10.28% on Friday, wiping out close to $22.4 billion in implied equity value.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MRVL

The decline came after Marvell reported its best quarter to date. However, investors concentrated on when a significant Google custom-chip deal would have a substantial impact.

The timing is significant as Marvell is already valued for growth. Shares ended Friday trading at roughly 51.6 times the consensus estimate for fiscal 2027 earnings per share.

Revenue for the second quarter increased by 37% to $2.739 billion. Non-GAAP earnings were $0.94 per share, and operating cash flow totaled $605.5 million Marvell results.

Data-center revenue rose by 46% to $2.17 billion. This segment accounted for 79% of total sales, focusing both the potential gains and the execution risk.

Investor measureCurrent readingWhy it matters
Friday close$216.62, fell 10.28%About $22.4 billion in market value erased
Trading volume48.98 million121% of the 65-day average
Q2 revenue$2.739 billion, climbed 37%Highest quarterly result
Data-center revenue$2.17 billion, grew 46%Makes up 79% of company total
Q3 revenue guide$3.15 billion, plus or minus 5%Signals another sequential increase
FY2027 EPS estimate$4.20Current share price translates to 51.6x earnings
Average analyst target$291.2634.5% higher than Friday’s close

Marvell expects third-quarter revenue to reach $3.15 billion, with a possible variance of 5% either way. The company also anticipates adjusted earnings per share of $1.10, with a margin of error of five cents.

The company maintains its projection for fiscal 2027 revenue at around $12 billion. For fiscal 2028, it aims for approximately $18 billion, driven by demand for custom compute and interconnect solutions.

The Google deal has the potential to bring in up to $120 billion by fiscal 2033. But executives currently anticipate a significant impact will start in fiscal 2029 Reuters.

The market sent a clear signal. Near-term demand remains solid, yet future revenue is discounted more sharply as expectations rise.

Trading volume on Friday totaled 48.98 million shares, around 21% higher than the 65-day average, indicating widespread involvement in the repricing.

Wall Street sentiment stays positive. Analysts most recently issued 37 Buy or Overweight ratings, alongside six Holds and zero Sell ratings. The mean price target stood at $291.26 WSJ market data.

Despite the decline, Marvell is still trading at approximately 32.4 times its projected fiscal 2028 earnings per share. Competitor Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) was recently priced at around 32 times anticipated earnings.

Margins present a further challenge. Marvell projected an adjusted gross margin between 57.5% and 58.5%, lower than the 58.9% recorded in the second quarter.

Risks are still focused. Estimate forecasts may face pressure due to Google-related timing, reliance on key customers, and the integration process for Celestial AI and XConn. Marvell finalized these two acquisitions in February SEC filing.

Marvell’s upcoming investor day on October 6 is the next key date. Investors will be watching for updates on program milestones that link its current data-center performance to projected fiscal 2029 revenue.

Marvell Technology — Investor Dashboard

Record AI demand meets a delayed revenue bridge

Market data: Aug. 28, 2026, 16:00 EDT
Dashboard: Aug. 30, 2026, 09:42 EDT
MRVL close
$216.62
−10.28% Friday
Value erased
≈$22.4B
Using ~900M guided shares
Volume
48.98M
121% of 65-day average
After-hours
$216.40
−0.10% at 19:59 EDT
Q2 revenue
$2.739B
+37% year over year
Data center
$2.17B
+46%; 79% of sales
Q3 guide
$3.15B
±5%; EPS $1.10 ±$0.05
Cash generation
$605.5M
Q2 operating cash flow

Revenue scale and mix

Q2 total
$2.739B
Data center
$2.17B
Q3 midpoint
$3.15B
FY27 target
$12.0B
FY28 target
$18.0B

Valuation and expectations

MeasureReadingSignal
FY2027 EPS estimate$4.2051.6× P/E
FY2028 EPS estimate$6.6932.4× P/E
Average target$291.2634.5% upside
Median target$295.0036.2% upside
Rating mix37 Buy/Overweight6 Hold, 0 Sell

What changed

$241.45 prior close$216.62 FridayTiming repriced despite record results

Catalyst timeline

Oct. 6, 2026Investor Day: program milestones and long-range targets
Nov. 26, 2026Expected Q3 earnings checkpoint
FY2028Company revenue target near $18B
FY2029Meaningful Google custom-chip revenue expected

Investor read-through

Marvell’s current AI business is accelerating, but the market is discounting a longer bridge to Google revenue. The stock can recover if near-term custom compute and interconnect growth preserve the $18 billion fiscal 2028 target without sacrificing gross margin.

Key risks: customer concentration, Google schedule slippage, a 51.6× fiscal 2027 earnings multiple, and integration of Celestial AI and XConn.

Sources: Marvell Q2 FY2027 release; Reuters, Aug. 28, 2026; WSJ/FactSet market data and research ratings; SEC filings. Estimates are not company guarantees.

Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments affecting global markets. He graduated from Humboldt University of Berlin and worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist.

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