Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) raises 2026 guidance as five key brands counter $772 million decline

Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) raises 2026 guidance as five key brands counter $772 million decline

NEW YORK, August 4, 2026, 18:12 EDT — U.S. cash trading ended; notable activity continues in after-hours.

  • Second-quarter revenue totaled $10.054 billion, surpassing the LSEG consensus by 6.7%. Adjusted earnings per share were 11.9% above forecasts.
  • Five top growth brands reported a year-over-year gain of $923 million, while five significant decliners posted a combined loss of $772 million.
  • Amgen increased its 2026 revenue midpoint by $1 billion, and lifted the adjusted EPS midpoint by $0.50.

Amgen Inc. increased its 2026 revenue midpoint forecast by $1 billion. Five key brands delivered a combined $923 million in year-over-year quarterly sales gains, accounting for 120% of the company’s $766 million rise in product sales.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:AMGN

The shortfall was significant. Five struggling brands saw losses of $772 million, wiping out 84% of the combined gains of the five outperformers. Nevertheless, total product sales increased by 9%.

Revenue was $10.054 billion, exceeding LSEG’s forecast by 6.7%. Adjusted earnings per share surpassed consensus by 11.9%. Both figures were higher than expected.

Quarterly performance report

MetricQ2 2026Q2 2025Street estimateChange or surprise
Revenue$10.054 bln$9.179 bln$9.42 blnUp 9.5% YoY; 6.7% above forecast
Product sales$9.537 bln$8.771 blnIncrease of 8.7% YoY
Adjusted EPS$6.29$6.02$5.624.5% up YoY; 11.9% over estimate
GAAP EPS$4.37$2.65Up 64.9% YoY
Adjusted operating margin48.4%48.9%Decrease of 0.5 percentage point
Free cash flow$3.5 bln$1.9 blnJump of 84.2% YoY

Amgen disclosed the results; Reuters cited LSEG consensus figures. Percentage change calculations are included.

Chief Executive Robert Bradway reported that six primary growth drivers increased by 26%, accounting for almost 70% of product sales. “We remain confident in our ability to deliver growth well into the next decade,” he said. Amgen Inc.

Amgen’s global markets and policy head, Murdo Gordon, underscored the balance on pricing. “Amgen is growing because we are serving more patients at lower unit prices,” he told Reuters. Reuters

Sales replacement test — $ millions

Growth brandQ2 salesYoY changeDeclining brandQ2 salesYoY change
Repatha953+257Prolia759-363
Evenity714+196Xgeva352-180
Uplizna335+159Otezla491-127
Pavblu287+157Kyprolis314-64
Imdelltra288+154Mvasi153-38
Five-brand sum2,577+923Five-brand sum2,069-772

Figures are based on Amgen’s disclosed product sales for the two periods.

The top five performers increased by 56% and accounted for 27% of product revenue. The rest of the portfolio contributed an additional $615 million. Amgen reported that 22 of its products saw growth of at least 10%.

The composition continued to pressure adjusted profits. Operating costs increased by 11%, with research expenditures up 10%. The adjusted margin declined by 0.5 percentage points to 48.4%.

Free cash flow increased to $3.5 billion, up from $1.9 billion. The prior period reflected a final repatriation-tax payment. Debt was unchanged at $57.3 billion, with cash holdings at $14.0 billion.

2026 outlook revised

MetricPrevious rangeNew rangePrevious midpointNew midpointMidpoint change
Revenue$37.1–$38.5 bln$38.2–$39.4 bln$37.8 bln$38.8 bln+$1.0 bln; +2.6%
Adjusted EPS$21.70–$23.10$22.30–$23.50$22.40$22.90+$0.50; +2.2%
GAAP EPS$15.62–$17.10$15.80–$17.08$16.36$16.44+$0.08; +0.5%
Capital spendingAbout $2.6 blnAbout $2.6 blnNo change
Share-buyback ceiling$3.0 bln$3.0 blnNo change

Amgen’s latest and earlier outlook figures serve as the basis for midpoints and percent change calculations.

The midpoint for revenue was raised by 2.6%, while the midpoint for adjusted EPS climbed 2.2%. This outlook maintains most of the sales uplift at the adjusted earnings level.

MariTide is still the primary obesity catalyst. Phase 3 trials are evaluating dosing intervals of one month, eight weeks, and three months. The first comprehensive data are due in 2027. Amgen has discontinued any further progress with AMG 513.

The stock advanced 2.4% over the week ending July 31. On Tuesday, it climbed 2.94% to close at $390.02. A late price quote indicated a level of $390.99 at 18:07 EDT, reflecting a 0.25% gain after the market closed.

With that closing price, Amgen traded at roughly 27 times its trailing GAAP earnings. This valuation multiple is higher than those of the two large biotech peers listed below.

Overview of leading biotech company valuations

CompanyLatest priceMarket valueTrailing GAAP P/E
Amgen $390.02$212.2 bln27.1x
Gilead Sciences $135.25$169.6 bln18.4x
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals $760.66$80.6 bln18.8x
Biogen $208.45$31.0 bln37.0x

The most recent August 4 market snapshots are shown. Trailing ratios do not reflect adjustments for portfolio or accounting differences.

The valuation remains moderate for the biotech sector. This keeps execution as a key factor. Setbacks with MariTide or a quicker decline from biosimilar competition could lower the premium.

The initial full cash-session reaction arrives on Wednesday. Eli Lilly and Company will report at 10:00 EDT. Novo Nordisk A/S schedules its call for 07:00 EDT. Updates from both on obesity could shift MariTide expectations.

Risks: Quarterly sales from Prolia and Xgeva dropped by a combined $543 million. Adjusted margin declined even as revenue rose. With AMG 513 discontinued, obesity pipeline focus shifts to MariTide. Outstanding debt stands at $57.3 billion.

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Further analysis

Has the second-quarter outperformance had a significant impact on Amgen’s 2026 profit outlook?
Yes. Revenue came in at $10.05 billion, surpassing the $9.43 billion consensus by 6.6%. Adjusted EPS stood at $6.29, topping the $5.62 estimate by 11.9%. Amgen lifted its 2026 revenue forecast to $38.2–$39.4 billion, while guidance for adjusted EPS rose to $22.30–$23.50. The midpoints rose by $1.0 billion and $0.50 from April. Investors
Has the stock already priced in much of that potential gain?
Amgen finished trading on August 4 at $390.02, which is around 2% off its 52-week peak. With the midpoint of guidance at $22.90, the stock trades at nearly 17.0 times adjusted earnings. Analysts’ latest average target is approximately $357, suggesting an estimated 8% downside. Most of these targets were set before Amgen's August 4 earnings release. MarketWatch
Will expanding products continue to outpace declines in older drugs?
Yes so far. Combined sales from Repatha, Evenity, Uplizna, Tezspire, Blincyto and Imdelltra rose by $998 million from a year ago. Prolia, Xgeva, Otezla and Enbrel were down by $694 million. Overall product revenue increased 9%. Biosimilars and price pressure continue to represent significant risks. PR Newswire
Which pipeline catalyst is most significant for the stock?
Amgen has identified nine named Phase 3 MariTide studies. The company plans three further diabetes trials for 2026. The regimen is designed to enable monthly administration and potentially just four doses per year. But, significant results were previously projected for 2027. Discontinuing AMG 513 development also increases obesity exposure on MariTide. PR Newswire
Is Amgen’s ability to return value to shareholders affected by its debt?
Net debt stood at approximately $43.3 billion as of June 30. Free cash flow in the second quarter increased to $3.5 billion, up from $1.9 billion. The outlook permits up to $3.0 billion in buybacks for 2026, though there were none in the second quarter. With a share price of $390.02, the quarterly dividend of $2.52 represents a yield near 2.6%. PR Newswire

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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