Bristol Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) faces valuation test Monday as report of potential partnership emerges

Bristol Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) faces valuation test Monday as report of potential partnership emerges

NEW YORK, August 2, 2026, 17:00 EDT

  • Bristol Myers ended Friday at $65.31, up 5.2% for the week. The stock settled 0.5% shy of its 52-week peak.
  • The revised outlook indicates 2.7% revenue growth for this year, compared to the earlier midpoint suggesting a 3.0% decrease.
  • The Financial Times said discussions with AstraZeneca had taken place. Both firms declined to confirm the talks, and Reuters was unable to verify the report independently.

Bristol Myers Squibb Company started Monday following reports of a potential major deal. According to the Financial Times, AstraZeneca PLC considered a merger valued at close to $400 billion. AstraZeneca declined to comment. Bristol Myers did not immediately provide a response, and Reuters was unable to independently confirm the story. U.S. financial markets were closed Sunday.

Stock chart for NYSE:BMY

Market values as of Friday highlight the reported interest. Bristol accounted for 33.7% of the total equity value between the two companies. It also generated 45.7% of their total revenue in the second quarter.

MeasureBristol MyersAstraZenecaCombined
Market value on Friday$133.4 billion$263.0 billion$396.4 billion
Total revenue in Q2$12.97 billion$15.38 billion$28.36 billion
Proportion of combined equity value33.7%66.3%100%
Proportion of combined second-quarter revenue45.7%54.3%100%
Market value to annualized Q2 revenue2.6 times4.3 times3.5 times

Market capitalizations are based on Friday’s U.S. closing levels. Revenue is sourced from each firm’s reported quarterly totals. Shares and multiples have been computed and are not company projections.

AstraZeneca’s straightforward sales measure was approximately 66% greater. Such a difference would make the exchange ratio a key factor if discussions proceed. This is derived from market data, not an announced deal condition.

Bristol completed a robust week for earnings, with its share price climbing from $62.09 on July 24 to $65.31 by Friday’s close. The stock gained 2.8% during Thursday’s earnings report, and increased a further 0.7% on Friday.

The quarter topped Wall Street expectations on almost all key metrics. Revenue surpassed the LSEG consensus by $1.22 billion. Adjusted earnings came in 45 cents above forecasts. Multiple newer medicines also performed ahead of estimates.

Q2 measureReportedLSEG estimateBeat
Revenue$12.97 billion$11.75 billion$1.22 billion, or 10.4%
Adjusted EPS$2.04$1.59$0.45, or 28.3%
Eliquis sales$4.48 billion$4.06 billion$421 million, or 10.4%
Reblozyl sales$735 million$664 million$71 million, or 10.7%
Camzyos sales$416 million$365 million$51 million, or 14.0%
Breyanzi sales$484 million$422 million$62 million, or 14.7%

Reuters reports estimates based on LSEG data. Percentage changes have been calculated.

The composition is more significant than the headline result. Growth-portfolio revenue was $7.56 billion, accounting for 58.3% of total sales. Legacy revenue fell 4%, with Eliquis up 22%. Revlimid sales decreased 49% due to generic competition.

Q2 portfolioRevenueYear-on-year changeApproximate revenue share
Growth portfolio$7.56 billion+15%58.3%
Legacy portfolio$5.42 billion-4%41.8%
Other revenue-$9 millionNot material-0.1%
Total$12.97 billion+6%100%

Bristol credited gains to Opdivo Qvantig, Reblozyl, Camzyos, Breyanzi and Opdualag.

Chief Executive Christopher Boerner stated that the growth portfolio “continues to deliver.” Chief commercial officer Adam Lenkowsky reported that nine products are experiencing double-digit growth. “These are all medicines that are early in their life cycle,” he said. Bristol Myers Squibb

Management revised the full-year earnings outlook. The midpoint for revenue was lifted by 5.9%. The midpoint for adjusted EPS climbed 10.9%. Based on Friday’s share price, the midpoint corresponds to roughly 9.5 times projected adjusted earnings for 2026.

2026 measureApril guidanceJuly guidanceCalculated change
Revenue$46.0-$47.5 billion$49.0-$50.0 billionMidpoint rises 5.9%
Implied growth versus 2025-3.0%+2.7%Moves to growth
Adjusted EPS$6.05-$6.35$6.75-$7.00Midpoint increases 10.9%
Price/adjusted EPS midpoint10.5 times9.5 timesReduction by one turn
Eliquis revenue growth10%-15%20%-25%10 percentage point gain
Operating expensesAbout $16.3 billionAbout $16.5 billionIncrease of 1.2%

The revenue growth figure is based on Bristol’s projected $48.2 billion in sales for 2025. Earnings multiples are determined with Friday’s closing price and the company’s non-GAAP guidance.

The upgrade continues to rely significantly on Eliquis. The anticoagulant, co-marketed with Pfizer Inc. , accounted for 34.5% of Bristol’s revenue in the quarter. The company lifted its projected 2026 growth range by 10 percentage points. Milvexian and some Cobenfy trial results were postponed to 2027.

Monday’s open marks the first key test. Investors are set to monitor for confirmation, denial, or any regulatory filings. The following scheduled pipeline milestone is the August 17 FDA decision on iberdomide. Trading in the interim may react to estimate revisions and news of deals.

Risks: The talks, as reported, could be postponed, called off, or remain unconfirmed. Any potential deal might encounter obstacles in regulation, funding, integration, or politics. Additionally, Bristol contends with risks from generic competition, postponed trial data, and high reliance on Eliquis.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

Does the rumored AstraZeneca merger act as a genuine driver for the stock?
There is no confirmed transaction, following reports of a potential $400 billion merger. According to Reuters, the talks may not result in an agreement. AstraZeneca declined to provide a comment, while Bristol Myers had not issued a response before this was published. BMY ended trading on Friday at $65.31, ahead of the weekend report. With no deal terms disclosed, investors are unable to assess a reliable takeover premium. Reuters
Has the Q2 outperformance significantly strengthened 2026 earnings potential?
BMS increased its revenue outlook to $49–$50 billion, up from its prior forecast of $46–$47.5 billion. The company also raised its adjusted EPS guidance to $6.75–$7.00, previously $6.05–$6.35. Second-quarter revenue climbed 6% to $12.97 billion, and adjusted EPS was $2.04. The earnings per share figure beat analysts’ forecasts by $0.45. The midpoint of its second-half adjusted EPS forecast implies $3.26, less than the $3.62 reported for the first half. SEC
Does BMY remain undervalued following its rally this year?
BMY is trading at $65.31, close to 9.5 times the management’s adjusted EPS midpoint. The stock has risen 21.1% so far in 2026, but the consensus potential for further gains has vanished. Among 27 analysts, the average price target stands at $64.91, representing a 0.6% discount to Friday’s finish. Price targets span a broad range from $40 to $80, indicating significant uncertainty about what comes next. MarketScreener
Are recent drugs able to balance out losses from Eliquis and older products?
The growth portfolio generated $7.56 billion, rising 15% and making up 58% of overall sales. Camzyos, Breyanzi and Reblozyl posted increases of 60%, 41% and 29%, respectively. Revlimid and Pomalyst both posted declines, dropping 49% and 71% respectively. Eliquis accounted for 35% of total revenue, leading to notable concentration risk. Management projects Eliquis revenue to decrease by $1.5–$2.0 billion in 2027. SEC
What upcoming pipeline events could impact the valuation?
The FDA is set to rule on iberdomide first, with a decision expected on August 17. Camzyos’s adolescent indication faces a regulatory deadline on September 30. Other major 2026 data updates include readouts for milvexian in stroke, admilparant in IPF, and Sotyktu in lupus. Milvexian atrial-fibrillation results are now projected for the first quarter of 2027. Cobenfy data for Alzheimer’s psychosis is also slated to begin coming in during 2027. These revisions push two major catalysts past this year. SEC

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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