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Energy Markets News 27 September 2025 - 5 November 2025

Global Market Turmoil: Asia’s Factories Stumble, US Tariffs Bite, Oil Soars – What’s Next?

Global Market Turmoil: Asia’s Factories Stumble, US Tariffs Bite, Oil Soars – What’s Next?

In-Depth Analysis: Asia’s Manufacturing Slowdown: Business surveys on Nov 3–4 revealed broad weakness. China’s S&P Global (private) PMI dipped to 50.6 in October reuters.com as new export orders fell sharply amid tariff concerns. Official data also showed China’s factory output contracting for the 7th straight month. Japan’s manufacturing PMI was even weaker – 48.2 in October (from 48.5), its lowest since Mar 2024 reuters.com. Pollyanna De Lima of S&P noted, “demand weakness, particularly in the automotive and semiconductor sectors, weighed on Japanese manufacturing” reuters.com, though firms are optimistic that U.S. tariffs’ “detrimental impact… will fade” and future output will recover
Shell’s $2 Billion Nigeria Gas Gamble Ignites LNG Boom Amid $8 B Investment Surge

Shell’s Surprise Hedge Deal Supercharges Bulgaria’s Battery Boom — and Sends a Big Signal to Europe’s Power Markets

What was announced — and why it matters Sunotec (a Germany/Bulgaria‑based developer and EPC) signed a five‑year, cross‑border spread hedge with Shell Energy Europe B.V. covering 600+ MWh of Bulgarian BESS now under development. The hedge locks in price spreads across borders and underwrites merchant revenue for the assets, which are planned to reach COD by Q2 2026. Enery Portfolio Optimisation helped arrange the deal. Sunotec calls it “among the first of its kind in Central Eastern Europe.” SeeNews+1 Trade press and regional outlets corroborate the structure and scale; Renewables Now reports the agreement secures financial viability and diversifies Shell’s
Shell’s $2 Billion Nigeria Gas Gamble Ignites LNG Boom Amid $8 B Investment Surge

Shell’s Surprise Hedge Deal Turbocharges Bulgaria’s Battery Boom — Sunotec Locks 5‑Year Price Shield on 600+ MWh; Sungrow Secures 2.4 GWh Supply

Key facts (Nov 5, 2025): What happened — and why now On Nov. 4, Sunotec announced a cross‑border spread hedge with Shell Energy Europe for its Bulgarian 600+ MWh BESS. The arrangement, facilitated by Enery Portfolio Optimisation, gives the project long‑term price certainty by locking in revenues against market spreads between bidding zones. Sunotec says the facility is already under development and aims to reach COD in Q2 2026. Renewables Now A spread hedge manages the difference between prices in two connected wholesale electricity markets (or zones). In Europe’s coupled power system, such hedges are a recognized way to tame
Halliburton’s Big Comeback? Why Experts Say Oil Services Are ‘Down But Not Out’ in 2025

Halliburton’s Big Comeback? Why Experts Say Oil Services Are ‘Down But Not Out’ in 2025

Oilfield Services: “Down But Not Out” After a Tough Year Halliburton, one of the world’s top oilfield services companies, has faced a challenging environment in 2025. U.S. shale producers cut back on drilling budgets as oil prices slipped (West Texas crude has been trading around the low-$60s reuters.com), and international projects largely stalled. This downturn hit Halliburton’s North America-centric business hard – the company even slashed its 2025–26 earnings forecasts by up to 25% earlier in the year amid the shale slowdown gurufocus.com. Industry-wide, rig counts fell and profit margins tightened, prompting talk of an extended slump for oilfield service
Putin’s Oil Nightmare: Ukraine’s Drone Blitz Cripples 20% of Russia’s Refining – Oil Markets Rally

Putin’s Oil Nightmare: Ukraine’s Drone Blitz Cripples 20% of Russia’s Refining – Oil Markets Rally

Ukraine’s Deep-Strike Oil Campaign Ukraine has dramatically expanded its drone and missile strikes against Russia’s energy sector. Since early 2025 Kyiv has carried out dozens of long-range raids “hundreds of kilometers” inside Russia, deliberately targeting refineries, pipelines and fuel depots ts2.tech. In an Oct. 24 speech Zelenskyy noted, “We hit a certain number of their refineries… When they started to restore and saw the queues of cars, they redistributed the volumes to other refineries.” He vowed to keep up pressure on every spare plant that is boosting output eenews.net. Independent analysis confirms the scope of the campaign. BBC Verify finds
Gundremmingen Cooling Towers Implode – Who Wins & Loses on Energy Stocks?

Gundremmingen Cooling Towers Implode – Who Wins & Loses on Energy Stocks?

Key Facts: On Oct 25, 2025 at 12:00, Germany will detonate the two 160 m cooling towers of the former Gundremmingen nuclear plant in Bavaria sueddeutsche.de. In a matter of seconds the 56,000 tons of reinforced concrete will collapse and be recycled as aggregate sueddeutsche.de. A large exclusion zone surrounds the site (violators face up to €3,000 fines) sueddeutsche.de. About 10,000 spectators are expected (no official festival will be held) merkur.de merkur.de. Engineers have cut structural slots and will trigger water-jet fountains to force the towers to collapse inward and bind dust merkur.de. Gundremmingen was one of Germany’s first atomic power
Oil Prices Rollercoaster: Trade War Fears & OPEC Moves Spark 5-Month Lows

Oil Prices Skyrocket: Brent Nears $66 on U.S. Sanctions – Experts Weigh In

Current Oil Prices As of mid‑October 23, 2025, benchmark crude prices have rebounded from recent lows. Brent crude (the global benchmark) was trading near $66 per barrel reuters.com reuters.com, up sharply after news of sanctions. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was around $62. OPEC’s reference basket of 15 fuels – a key price gauge – stood near $63.4 (Oct 22) countryeconomy.com. In short, oil is roughly 5–7% higher than a few days earlier. This comes after a selloff in prior weeks that had sent prices to five‑month lows due to oversupply concerns. Geopolitical and Supply Factors Sanctions on Russia.
Oil Prices Rollercoaster: Trade War Fears & OPEC Moves Spark 5-Month Lows

Oil Tanks to ~$59 as Glut Fears Mount – Experts Warn “Super Glut” Looming

Key facts: Oil prices have plunged to five-month lows amid a supply glut and demand worries. U.S. WTI crude recently hit about $58.7/barrel (Nov futures) and Brent ~$62.7 tradingnews.com rigzone.com – the weakest levels since May. Traders say the slide was triggered by rising OPEC+ output and a U.S.–China trade war scare (Trump’s 100% tariffs triggered a rapid selloff) tradingnews.com rigzone.com. The IEA now forecasts an unprecedented ~4 million barrels/day supply surplus in 2026 rigzone.com. OPEC’s Secretary-General Haitham al Ghais warns $18.2 trillion of new oil investment is needed through 2050 to avoid future shortages tradingnews.com. Banks and analysts are growing
Natural Gas Prices Soar: Will America’s Energy Boom Fuel a New Price Spike in 2026?

Natural Gas Prices Soar: Will America’s Energy Boom Fuel a New Price Spike in 2026?

Key Facts (October 1 2025 snapshot, updated: 3:00 PM EDT) Current Prices and Recent Trends Natural‑gas markets entered October 2025 on an upswing. U.S. futures rallied to about $3.47/MMBtu, a level not seen since mid‑July, reflecting supply tightness and shifting expectations tradingeconomics.com. The Lower‑48 output declined to about 107.4 bcf/d, down roughly 1 bcf/d from August, while robust storage injections kept inventories 6 % above the five‑year average tradingeconomics.com. This combination of lower production and relatively full storage suggested that producers were moderating output in response to weak summer prices but may need to increase supply if winter demand spikes. Demand conditions also contributed to the
Commodity Shockwaves: Oil Soars, Gold Shines, Crops Sway as War, Weather & Policy Roil Markets

Commodity Shockwaves: Oil Soars, Gold Shines, Crops Sway as War, Weather & Policy Roil Markets

Key Facts: Energy: War Drives Oil Higher, Gas Steadies, Renewables Reshuffled Oil – War and Output Cuts: Crude markets rallied sharply to close the week, propelled by geopolitics. Brent oil settled at $70.13/bbl (▲1.0%) while WTI ended at $65.72 (▲1.14%), with both benchmarks posting their biggest weekly gain since June reuters.com. Traders pinned the surge on escalating war disruptions: Ukraine’s stepped-up drone strikes have knocked out portions of Russia’s refining capacity, forcing Moscow to halt diesel exports through year-end and extend a gasoline ban reuters.com. “Markets continued to be focused on the situation between Russia and Ukraine,” said John Kilduff
27 September 2025
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