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Inflation 18 December 2025 - 3 January 2026

U.S. attack on Venezuela: Gas prices, inflation and the U.S. economy

U.S. attack on Venezuela: Gas prices, inflation and the U.S. economy

U.S. forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro overnight, President Donald Trump announced Saturday. Oil prices closed at $60.75 for Brent and $57.32 for WTI on Friday. Venezuelan oil exports fell to about half of November’s 950,000 barrels per day after a U.S. blockade and cargo seizures. PDVSA’s production and refining continued normally after the strike, but its administrative systems remain affected by a December cyberattack.
3 January 2026
Venezuela’s bolivar sinks as official dollar price jumps nearly 480% in a year

Venezuela’s bolivar sinks as official dollar price jumps nearly 480% in a year

Venezuela’s central bank set the official exchange rate at 301.37 bolivars per U.S. dollar, up from 52.02 a year ago, while the parallel market rate neared 560. The bolivar has lost nearly 480% of its value over 12 months. Most currency exchanges now occur on crypto-based platforms as U.S. sanctions squeeze oil revenues and limit dollar inflows. Everyday prices increasingly follow the parallel rate, eroding real wages.
3 January 2026
Kalshi’s inflation prediction market claims to beat Wall Street — scrutiny rises

Kalshi’s inflation prediction market claims to beat Wall Street — scrutiny rises

Kalshi claims its inflation prediction markets outperformed Wall Street forecasts by 40%, but outside analysts question the transparency of its methods and benchmarks. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release December CPI data on Jan. 13. Prediction market activity hit over $4 billion in weekly trading volume in December, driven by crypto firms and platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
3 January 2026
EV Stocks Today (Dec. 19, 2025): Tesla, Rivian, Lucid in Focus as Softer Inflation Lifts Rate-Cut Hopes in Premarket

EV Stocks Today (Dec. 19, 2025): Tesla, Rivian, Lucid in Focus as Softer Inflation Lifts Rate-Cut Hopes in Premarket

Rivian shares surged about 15% premarket Friday after Baird upgraded the stock to Buy and raised its price target, citing optimism over the upcoming R2 platform and autonomy efforts. U.S. inflation data came in below expectations, pushing S&P 500 futures up 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.4% as of 03:30 a.m. ET. Regulatory scrutiny and policy uncertainty remain headwinds for the EV sector.
Gold Price Today (Dec. 19, 2025): Spot Gold Near $4,330 as Softer US Inflation, Firm Dollar and Fed-Cut Bets Collide

Gold Price Today (Dec. 19, 2025): Spot Gold Near $4,330 as Softer US Inflation, Firm Dollar and Fed-Cut Bets Collide

Spot gold traded at $4,328.24 per ounce at 06:15 GMT, down 0.1% on the day but up 0.6% for the week, according to Reuters. US gold futures slipped 0.2% to $4,356.80. Prices hovered just below October’s record high near $4,381 as traders weighed cooler-than-expected US inflation data and a firm US dollar. Fed rate-cut odds for January rose slightly after the CPI report.
19 December 2025
Sensex Today (Dec 19, 2025): Nifty 50 Near 26,000 as Dalal Street Rebounds on Softer US Inflation, Stronger Rupee; Pharma, IT Lead

Sensex Today (Dec 19, 2025): Nifty 50 Near 26,000 as Dalal Street Rebounds on Softer US Inflation, Stronger Rupee; Pharma, IT Lead

India’s Sensex rose 383 points to 84,864.55 and the Nifty 50 gained 115 points to 25,930.40 by midday Friday, rebounding after four lackluster sessions. Gains followed softer U.S. inflation data, a firmer rupee near 90 per dollar, and weaker crude prices. Market breadth was positive, with advances outpacing declines on the NSE. Midcaps and smallcaps also traded higher.
19 December 2025
US Stock Market Today (Dec. 18, 2025, 4:18 p.m. ET): S&P 500 and Nasdaq Rebound as Softer Inflation and Micron Spark a Tech-Led Rally

US Stock Market Today (Dec. 18, 2025, 4:18 p.m. ET): S&P 500 and Nasdaq Rebound as Softer Inflation and Micron Spark a Tech-Led Rally

U.S. stocks closed higher Thursday, with the S&P 500 up 0.78%, the Nasdaq rising 1.37%, and the Dow adding 0.14%. November’s Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year over year, below expectations, but lacked month-to-month data due to a government shutdown. Bond yields fell, and traders increased bets on Fed rate cuts. Semiconductor earnings drove gains in tech shares.
Gold Price Today (Dec. 18, 2025): Spot Gold Holds Near $4,330 After Soft U.S. CPI as Fed-Cut Bets Clash With Inflation-Hedge Demand

Gold Price Today (Dec. 18, 2025): Spot Gold Holds Near $4,330 After Soft U.S. CPI as Fed-Cut Bets Clash With Inflation-Hedge Demand

Spot gold slipped 0.12% to $4,332.10 per ounce in New York late Thursday, staying near record highs after U.S. inflation data showed a 2.7% annual rise in November, below forecasts. U.S. gold futures settled at $4,364.50. Softer inflation boosted rate-cut expectations but reduced gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. The CPI report was affected by a federal data disruption.
US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Rally on Cooler Inflation as Micron Reignites Tech — Nike and FedEx Report After the Bell (Updated 4:15 PM EST, Dec. 18, 2025)

US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Rally on Cooler Inflation as Micron Reignites Tech — Nike and FedEx Report After the Bell (Updated 4:15 PM EST, Dec. 18, 2025)

The S&P 500 rose 0.78% to 6,773.91 and the Nasdaq gained 1.37% Thursday after U.S. inflation slowed to 2.7% and Micron issued a strong profit forecast. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.11%. Jobless claims fell, signaling a cooling but stable labor market. Lululemon and Trump Media both jumped on deal and stake news.
Dow Jones Today: DJIA Closes Higher on Cooler Inflation, Micron-Fueled Tech Rebound (Updated 4:15 PM EST, Dec. 18, 2025)

Dow Jones Today: DJIA Closes Higher on Cooler Inflation, Micron-Fueled Tech Rebound (Updated 4:15 PM EST, Dec. 18, 2025)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 69.36 points, or 0.14%, to 47,955.33 on Thursday. The S&P 500 gained 0.78% and the Nasdaq climbed 1.37%, boosted by Micron’s strong outlook and softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data. November CPI rose 2.7% year-over-year, below forecasts, but data collection was disrupted by a government shutdown.
Silver Price Today at 1:57 PM GMT (Dec. 18, 2025): XAG/USD Near $66 After Record High as CPI, Fed Cut Bets and Profit-Taking Collide

Silver Price Today at 1:57 PM GMT (Dec. 18, 2025): XAG/USD Near $66 After Record High as CPI, Fed Cut Bets and Profit-Taking Collide

Spot silver traded between $64.64 and $66.63 per ounce on December 18, pausing just below Wednesday’s record high of $66.88. Prices fluctuated sharply across market feeds, with midday quotes ranging from $65.83 to $66.31. U.S. inflation data came in softer than forecast, fueling rate-cut bets but prompting profit-taking in an overbought market. Silver remains up about 129% year-to-date.
Global Stock Markets Today (18 December 2025, 1:55): Stocks Rebound on Softer US Inflation as BoE Cuts and ECB Holds; AI Trade Still Volatile

Global Stock Markets Today (18 December 2025, 1:55): Stocks Rebound on Softer US Inflation as BoE Cuts and ECB Holds; AI Trade Still Volatile

Global stocks rebounded Thursday after softer U.S. inflation data revived rate-cut hopes, despite missing monthly details due to a government shutdown. Japan’s Nikkei dropped 1.4% on AI-linked tech selloffs, while Micron’s strong forecast lifted U.S. chipmakers. Oil prices rose on geopolitical risks. European central banks mostly met expectations, with the Bank of England cutting rates and the ECB holding steady.
18 December 2025
US Stock Market Today (Dec. 18, 2025, 1:52 p.m. ET): Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Jump on Cooler CPI as Micron Ignites Tech Rebound

US Stock Market Today (Dec. 18, 2025, 1:52 p.m. ET): Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Jump on Cooler CPI as Micron Ignites Tech Rebound

U.S. stocks climbed Thursday afternoon after inflation data came in below expectations, reviving hopes for Fed rate cuts in early 2026. At 1:52 p.m. ET, the Dow rose 0.39%, the S&P 500 gained 1.06%, and the Nasdaq jumped 1.72%. Micron’s outlook steadied tech shares. The CPI report was clouded by missing October data due to a government shutdown.
Big Tech Stocks Today: Magnificent Seven Rally Near Noon ET as Soft Inflation and AI Demand Reset the Narrative

Big Tech Stocks Today: Magnificent Seven Rally Near Noon ET as Soft Inflation and AI Demand Reset the Narrative

Big Tech stocks rebounded by midday Thursday, December 18, 2025, with the Magnificent Seven all higher after a benign November inflation report and strong Micron earnings. Nasdaq rose about 2% by late morning, S&P 500 up 1.4%, and Dow up 1%. The 10-year Treasury yield dipped to 4.12%. CPI data was limited due to a 43-day government shutdown, leaving investors with less clarity on near-term trends.
Silver Price Today at 9:58 (Dec. 18, 2025): Spot Silver at $65.66 Near Records as CPI and Fed Rate-Cut Bets Keep Traders on Edge

Silver Price Today at 9:58 (Dec. 18, 2025): Spot Silver at $65.66 Near Records as CPI and Fed Rate-Cut Bets Keep Traders on Edge

Silver spot price fell $0.82 to $65.66/oz at 9:58 a.m. ET Thursday, according to APMEX, after hitting a record near $66.88 in the prior session. The market traded in a tight, elevated range as traders booked profits and awaited U.S. inflation data. A stronger dollar pressured prices. Silver remains near all-time highs.
US CPI Report: Inflation Cools to 2.7% in November as Stock Futures Jump, Jobless Claims Fall, and Fed Rate-Cut Bets Reprice

US CPI Report: Inflation Cools to 2.7% in November as Stock Futures Jump, Jobless Claims Fall, and Fed Rate-Cut Bets Reprice

U.S. inflation slowed to 2.7% in November, but the data followed a government shutdown that disrupted October’s figures, complicating comparisons. Stock futures rose and Treasury yields slipped Thursday after the report and upbeat news from a major AI chipmaker, reversing losses from a tech-led selloff the previous day.
U.S. Inflation Report Today: November CPI Arrives After Shutdown, With Tariffs and Fed Policy in Focus

U.S. Inflation Report Today: November CPI Arrives After Shutdown, With Tariffs and Fed Policy in Focus

The November 2025 U.S. Consumer Price Index report, delayed by a 43-day federal shutdown, is missing most month-to-month data due to gaps in October’s figures. Economists expect annual inflation to reach 3.1%, the highest since May 2024, with core inflation at 3.0%. The Bureau of Labor Statistics warns it cannot fully reconstruct lost data. Markets and policymakers will rely on year-over-year comparisons.
18 December 2025
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