Dow Climbs While Chip Selloff Widens Divide in US Stocks
28 July 2026
2 mins read

Dow Climbs While Chip Selloff Widens Divide in US Stocks

NEW YORK, July 28, 2026, 12:00 EDT — The Dow advanced, lifting broad US equities, but a sharp decline in semiconductor shares further fractured the market.

  • The S&P 500 gained 0.41% to trade at 7,443.91 just before midday.
  • The Dow rose roughly 1.1%, while the Nasdaq was little changed.
  • Equal-weighted stocks outperformed the S&P 500 tracker by 0.86 percentage point.

U.S. equities reversed earlier losses and climbed by midday Tuesday, with the initial drop in technology stocks fading. The S&P 500 advanced 0.41% to 7,443.91 as of 11:55 EDT. The Dow was up around 1.1%, and the Nasdaq was little changed. Trading in cash equities continued.

All price changes occurred within the day and are initial.

Stock chart for INDEXDJX:.DJI

The rebound did not signal a revival of previous AI-themed trades. Investors rotated toward firms showing real-time profits and strong pricing power. Consumer staples rose 3.5%, while semiconductor shares continued to drop sharply.

At 11:45 EDT, synchronized ETF prices highlighted the split:

Market proxyPriceIntraday move
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust $742.10up 0.41%
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF $217.91rising 1.27%
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:DIA)$527.78gains 1.25%
Invesco QQQ Trust $678.31drops 0.56%
iShares Semiconductor ETF $496.12down 3.90%

The equal-weight fund outperformed SPY by 0.86 percentage point. DIA surpassed QQQ by 1.81 points. These figures suggest increased participation within the S&P 500. However, they do not reflect widespread risk-taking across all segments.

The Dow’s price-weighted structure also magnified the impact of two strong earnings reports. Coca-Cola rose $5.03, while Sherwin-Williams advanced $26.25. Given that each dollar move represents 5.94 Dow points, their combined gains contributed roughly 186 points, accounting for about one-third of the Dow’s 579-point advance as of 11:36.

Coca-Cola gained 6.0% after reporting a 6% rise in quarterly revenue to $13.37 billion. The beverage company updated its yearly outlook, projecting roughly 5% organic revenue growth and earnings growth of 9%-10%.

Sherwin-Williams rose 8.0% after reporting adjusted earnings of $3.70 per share, surpassing the $3.52 consensus estimate. Revenue climbed 7.5% to $6.79 billion, with management raising its guidance.

Boeing gained 3.9% following a revenue report of $24.6 billion. Free cash flow swung to a positive $631 million. Chief Executive Kelly Ortberg stated operations were “more stable.” Major certification efforts stayed on schedule. Boeing Investors

The chip sector reflected a different trend.

Micron Technology slipped 8.4%. Advanced Micro Devices declined 6.6%. Applied Materials retreated 7.1%. Nvidia rebounded for a 0.7% advance.

The Philadelphia semiconductor index dropped 4.35%. Over the past month, it has declined 22.4%, though it is still up 56% for the year.

The decline in shares highlights uncertainty about the scale and returns of AI spending. “These huge dollar amounts feel irresponsible at this point,” Robert Pavlik of Dakota Wealth said. Reuters

Macro data provided limited respite. The Conference Board’s confidence index decreased to 90.8 from July’s 92.2. Brent crude declined 4.2% to $82.24. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.59%.

The Federal Reserve will announce its rate decision on Wednesday. Early market estimates placed the likelihood of a hike at about 36%-37%. Microsoft and Meta Platforms are scheduled to release results later in the week. Reports from Amazon.com and Apple are also expected.

The danger is a rapid turnaround. An unexpected interest rate increase by the Fed would lift discount rates. If AI returns disappoint, it could intensify the chip sector’s decline.

Tuesday’s message for investors is more limited than the Dow’s jump suggests. Typical S&P shares are outperforming the megacap index. However, a handful of expensive Dow stocks account for most of the main increase.

This is a shift, not a surrender.

What is the current trading position of the major U.S. indexes?

Recent verified index snapshots cover 11:36 to 11:55 a.m. ET. The Nasdaq Composite was at 24,946.25, registering a 0.06% gain from Monday’s closing level. The Wall Street Journal The S&P 500 traded at 7,439.97, up 0.36% at the most recent check. The Wall Street Journal The Dow climbed to 52,788.78, advancing 1.11% and leading major indices. The Wall Street Journal The Russell 2000 was higher at 2,951.99, posting a 0.13% rise by 11:45 a.m. The Wall Street Journal Levels are current and subject to rapid change.

What is driving the Dow’s gains over the Nasdaq?

Investors are shifting funds out of leading chip stocks and into Dow stocks that had trailed earlier. The Wall Street Journal Sherwin-Williams climbed 8.0%, and Coca-Cola was up 6.0%. Salesforce increased 5.3% as of around 11:45 a.m. Consumer staples outperformed in the S&P 500, advancing about 3%. The Nasdaq Composite remained largely unchanged after making up early declines. The Wall Street Journal The divergence is significant. The activity shows rotation, rather than broad-based risk appetite.

What is the extent of the semiconductor selloff?

At 11:45 a.m., shares of SOXX slid 3.8%, while SMH was down 2.6%. Micron shares fell 8.3%, AMD recorded a 6.8% decline, Applied Materials lost 7.1%, and Intel retreated 4.1%. Earlier in the session, the PHLX semiconductor index was off by close to 6%. The Wall Street Journal Reuters noted the index stayed over 20% under its June high. Investor worries focus on returns from AI spending and media coverage of Chinese advancements in chipmaking. Reuters The extent of this risk is disputed; Morningstar called the selloff excessive. AP News

Does the level of volatility indicate widespread panic in the market?

The VIX was at 18.05, down 3.32%, as of 11:42 a.m. ET. The session range was between 17.95 and 19.52. The Wall Street Journal This does not indicate widespread panic in markets. By 11:45, small caps had bounced back to post a 0.13% rise. The Wall Street Journal Current stress is largely centered on semiconductor stocks, rather than across all major indices. The upcoming Fed decision on Wednesday has the potential to shift sentiment rapidly. MarketWatch

What indications are being sent by bonds, oil, and the dollar?

The yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped to 4.596%, a drop of 6.2 basis points. The Wall Street Journal WTI crude prices declined by 4.25% to $79.10 in late-morning trading, with data showing a delay. MarketWatch The dollar index traded close to 101.5, showing minimal movement during the session. Reuters Softer crude prices lessen a key driver for short-term inflation. Declining Treasury yields lend some support to equities sensitive to rates, but the 4.596% level remains a hurdle for firms with high earnings multiples.

What did the economic data released today indicate?

The goods trade gap in June narrowed by 4.2% from the prior month, standing at $101.5 billion. Imports dropped by $8.2 billion, while exports decreased by $3.8 billion. Wholesale inventories edged up 0.3%, with retail inventories largely flat. Home prices in 20 major cities climbed 1.6% on the year in May. S&P Global Consumer confidence in July slipped to 90.8 from a revised 92.2. Reuters The figures signal a mixed picture, with near-term growth outlooks remaining uneven.

What action is the Federal Reserve expected to take on Wednesday?

The Federal Reserve will finish its meeting on Wednesday, delivering its policy decision at 2 p.m. ET. Chair Kevin Warsh will address the media in a press conference starting thirty minutes afterward. MarketWatch LSEG data gives about a 40% probability to a quarter-point rate hike, making a hold the consensus expectation. The outcome is still pending. Reuters No economic projections are scheduled for July, placing added emphasis on Warsh’s remarks. Federal Reserve

Which company results are most likely to drive market moves this week?

Microsoft and Meta are scheduled to report on Wednesday after markets close. Microsoft Amazon will release results on Thursday, and Apple is set to announce earnings later this week. Amazon The combined market value of the four stands at around $12.0 trillion. Investors will focus on levels of AI investment and the state of demand for cloud services. Advertising performance and profit margins are also key. Along with headline earnings, cash flow will be closely watched. Forward guidance could prove even more critical.

What future data releases might alter rate forecasts?

The latest median projection on Thursday points to a 1.8% annualized rate for second-quarter GDP. Expectations for core PCE inflation stand at 0.2% month-over-month and 3.3% year-over-year. Initial jobless claims are pegged at 200,000, up from the prior 187,000. The Employment Cost Index, released Friday, is anticipated to show a 0.8% rise. MarketWatch Stronger-than-expected inflation could boost rate hike speculation and weigh on long-duration growth stocks. These projections remain tentative and could be revised ahead of each release.

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company serving customers around the world. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he has more than two decades of experience in telecommunications, satellite services and technology ventures. He writes about satellite communications, space technology, artificial intelligence and the stock market, with a particular focus on technology companies, semiconductors, emerging industries and the trends shaping global innovation. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook. or Linkedin.

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TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO

Stocks to Buy Today

Five stocks stand out, supported by recent earnings or more attractive entry points. Today's selection highlights companies raising their outlooks and reporting firm orders, rather than focusing on heavily traded chipmakers.

Today’s market stance Selective • earnings-led
#1 • HIGHEST CONVICTION 24% weight

Xylem

NYSE: XYL
STRONG BUY
Model score 92 / 100
★★★★★

A 12-cent earnings beat and raised 2026 profit outlook highlight the results, while quarterly revenue matched expectations. The water treatment segment offers AI infrastructure exposure without increasing semiconductor holdings.

Why today

Earnings per share surpassed expectations; the company raised its guidance, citing increased water demand from data centers.

Next catalyst

Order conversions are being monitored to confirm that the new margin level is sustainable.

Main risk: Annual revenue guidance moved to about $9.2bn, and project timing can shift.
#2 • BEST CONTRARIAN 22% weight

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score 89 / 100
★★★★½

Google Cloud's revenue surged 82%, with its operating margin hitting 35.6%. However, shares declined as capital expenditures increased. The reset offers a better entry point, but exposure remains limited since quarterly free cash flow moved into negative territory.

Why today

Cloud segment outperformed expectations; company reset guidance following earnings; search operations continue to drive strong cash flow.

Next catalyst

Cloud backlog is being converted more efficiently, leading to improved alignment between expenditures and cash flow.

Main risk: 2026 capex is now $195bn to $205bn, while depreciation is rising.
#3 • DEFENSIVE GROWTH 20% weight

Unilever

LON: ULVR • NYSE: UL
BUY ON PULLBACKS
Model score 87 / 100
★★★★☆

Underlying sales increased by 5.8%, driven by a 5.5% rise in volume—the company's strongest volume growth in over ten years. Guidance has been raised, but after today's significant share price jump, a gradual approach to buying may be more prudent.

Why today

Strong volumes drive results; outlook raised; steady cash flow in low-beta environment

Next catalyst

Second-half pricing trends and updates on the Foods transaction.

Main risk: Commodity inflation, currency moves and a large one-day gap.
#4 • EARNINGS MOMENTUM 18% weight

Sherwin-Williams

NYSE: SHW
ACCUMULATE
Model score 84 / 100
★★★★☆

Sales and adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting management to raise its full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from higher prices and increased market share, but the stock's rapid three-day rally suggests investors may want to hold off on buying at the open.

Why today

The company beat expectations, raised its outlook, demonstrated strong pricing power, and continued to gain market share.

Next catalyst

The company is targeting adjusted EPS between $11.80 and $12.20.

Main risk: Weak housing demand, raw-material inflation and a richer entry.
#5 • TACTICAL UPSIDE 16% weight

PayPal

NASDAQ: PYPL
TACTICAL BUY
Model score 81 / 100
★★★★☆

Adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting an increase in full-year profit guidance. The reported $60.50 per share approach offers added flexibility, though its smaller weighting signals lower margins and uncertainty regarding a potential deal.

Why today

Earnings surpass forecasts; guidance raised; strategic options under review.

Next catalyst

Focus is on the $400 million cost program, margin trends, and any official response to the deal.

Main risk: Operating margin fell to 17.4%, and no sale is assured.
Portfolio structure
Water & infrastructure 24%
Technology & cloud 22%
Consumer staples 20%
Coatings & materials 18%
Payments 16%
Build positions in two or three tranches.

Avoid buying a stock that's trading more than 5% above its previous close. Revisit the list after Wednesday's Fed decision and this week's mega-cap earnings.

Strong companies, weaker entries today
Coca-Cola NYSE: KO
WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Strong quarter with improved guidance, but a nearly 6% rally limits short-term upside.

Visa NYSE: V
WAIT FOR RESULTS

Visa is set to report earnings after the close. The portfolio won’t be taking on new event risk ahead of the results.

Nvidia NASDAQ: NVDA
WATCH

While long-term demand is solid, questions persist around chip momentum and AI financing.

Portfolio heat 6.4 / 10

Moderate. Recent earnings provide solid support, though event risk is still elevated.

Market risk check

The Nasdaq faces continued pressure as chip stocks endure a steep correction. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its decision on Wednesday, investors should brace for increased intraday volatility.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today's five holdings compare to the current opportunity set, rather than predicting future returns.

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