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Exxon stock slides as oil tumbles on US-Iran thaw — here’s what traders watch next
3 February 2026
1 min read

Exxon stock slides as oil tumbles on US-Iran thaw — here’s what traders watch next

New York, February 2, 2026, 18:48 EST — After-hours

  • Exxon shares fell roughly 2% as crude prices dropped over 4%
  • Oil prices dropped following Donald Trump’s claim that Iran is “seriously talking” with Washington
  • Attention now turns to U.S. inventory figures due Feb. 4 and the U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations set for Feb. 6

Exxon Mobil shares dropped 2.1% Monday, closing at $138.40, down $3.04. After-hours trading showed little movement.

Exxon bucked the broader market trend, falling while stocks rallied on a shift into chipmakers and small caps. Energy lagged, with the S&P 500 energy index dropping roughly 2% as crude prices tumbled.

Oil prices plunged after Trump said Iran was “seriously talking” with the U.S., easing concerns about supply disruptions. Brent crude slid $3.02, or 4.4%, to $66.30 a barrel. U.S. WTI dropped $3.07, or 4.7%, to $62.14. A stronger dollar and softer U.S. weather forecasts also weighed on the market, Reuters reported. Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva noted that January’s earlier threats had helped prop up prices. Reuters

The stock is still reacting to Exxon’s quarterly report from Jan. 30, which topped Wall Street estimates and announced $20 billion in share buybacks through 2026. But RBC Capital Markets analyst Biraj Borkhataria pointed to the steep chemicals slump after Exxon revealed an adjusted loss in that division.

Exxon reported $9.5 billion in shareholder payouts for the quarter, with $5.1 billion spent on share repurchases that shrink the share count, and $4.4 billion handed out as dividends. The company set its quarterly dividend at $1.03 per share, payable March 10 to those on record by Feb. 12.

Chief Executive Darren Woods highlighted the long-delayed Golden Pass export terminal in Texas, a $10 billion project with QatarEnergy. “My expectation is we will see first LNG produced in very early March,” Woods said. Reuters

Chevron slipped 1.6%, while ConocoPhillips took a bigger hit, dropping 2.3%.

Oil traders are digesting OPEC+’s decision to hold output steady in March, with no clear signals on future moves. Jorge Leon, head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy, noted, “With rising uncertainty around Iran and U.S. tensions, the group is keeping all options firmly on the table.” Reuters

The trade can reverse quickly. Reuters noted that the wider commodity slump on Monday was worsened by a stronger dollar, following Trump’s choice of Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve. This setup could keep pressure on dollar-denominated crude if risk appetite remains weak.

The next key data point comes from U.S. inventory figures. The Energy Information Administration will release its Weekly Petroleum Status Report on Wednesday, Feb. 4, at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Traders tracking Exxon will focus on updates from the U.S.-Iran talks set for Feb. 6 and keep an eye on whether Exxon meets its early-March deadline at Golden Pass. The OPEC+ meeting on March 1 also casts a shadow over the oil market’s next moves.

Stock Market Today

  • Sugar Prices Rise on Brazil's Shift to Ethanol and Global Supply Concerns
    May 19, 2026, 2:56 PM EDT. Sugar prices surged on rising speculation that Brazil, the world's largest sugar producer, will cut sugar output by diverting more sugarcane to ethanol production amid new fuel subsidies announced to offset Iran war impacts on gasoline and diesel prices. July NY world sugar futures and August London white sugar rose over 2%. The International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecasts a 1.15 million tonnes year-on-year drop in global sugar production for 2026/27, with a 262,000 tonnes global deficit potentially caused by El Niño weather effects in India and Thailand. India's four-month sugar export ban and production cuts confirmed by Brazil's Center-South mills also underpin prices. Market watchers, including Citigroup and StoneX, expect tightening supply and shifting dynamics to keep prices elevated despite a record 2025/26 crop forecast.

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