ON Semiconductor shares climb following Q2 results; cash flow growth accompanied by working-capital note

ON Semiconductor shares climb following Q2 results; cash flow growth accompanied by working-capital note

NEW YORK, August 3, 2026, 17:04 EDT — ON Semiconductor shares rose in the wake of a better-than-expected second quarter, while the company’s cash flow increase came with a caution regarding working capital.

  • U.S. markets have ended the regular session, but after-hours trading is still in progress.
  • ON shares were at $83.50 as of 5 p.m., rising 3.9% from the previous session’s close.
  • Sales and margins are expected to continue rising in the third quarter, based on midpoint guidance.

Shares of ON Semiconductor Corporation climbed after hours on Monday after the company’s second-quarter revenue and adjusted profit surpassed analysts’ estimates. ON Semiconductor also projected a further sequential increase in revenue.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:ON

Revenue totaled $1.604 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.589 billion. Adjusted earnings stood at 74 cents per share, compared with the expected 71 cents.

Investors may find more value in free cash flow than in earnings. Free cash flow climbed by $319.3 million compared to the previous year, totaling $425.4 million. That represents a fourfold increase over the same period last year.

However, working-capital shifts rose $244.4 million compared to the previous year. Capital expenditures declined $43.9 million. Combined, these factors made up 90% of the growth in free cash flow. Part of these cash gains may not recur.

Core profits increased further. Adjusted operating margin climbed by 350 basis points, and earnings increased 40%. Revenue advanced 9%.

Q2 performance scorecard

MetricQ2 2026Q1 2026Q2 2025Year-on-year
Revenue$1,603.5 mln$1,513.3 mln$1,468.7 mlnup 9.2%
Adjusted gross margin39.3%38.5%37.6%rise of 170 bp
Adjusted operating margin20.8%19.1%17.3%up 350 bp
Adjusted EPS$0.74$0.64$0.53increase of 39.6%
Free cash flow$425.4 mln$217.2 mln$106.1 mlnup 301%

Data reported by the company; variations based on disclosed figures.

Chief Executive Hassane El-Khoury stated, “AI data center remains our fastest-growing business.” The company’s leadership anticipates revenue in this segment will more than double in 2026. Stock Titan

The cash-flow bridge illustrates the importance for investors of distinguishing between earnings leverage and conversion.

Cash flow analysis

$ millionsQ2 2026Q2 2025Change
Net profit227.5171.7+55.8
Asset and liability adjustments+44.6-199.8+244.4
Cash generated from operations459.7184.3+275.4
Capital expenditures-34.3-78.2+43.9
Free cash generation425.4106.1+319.3

The revised capex signals reduced cash outflow. Figures are based on company information.

Inventory remained almost unchanged from the previous quarter at $2.05 billion. Accrued liabilities climbed by $102.3 million, and receivables went up by $34.4 million. The release lists working capital solely as a single figure under cash flow.

Cash and equivalents increased by $1.51 billion compared with March. Yet, onsemi raised $1.47 billion in debt over the quarter. The rise in cash was not entirely from operations.

Sales recovered mainly due to power semiconductors. Power Solutions Group accounted for almost 52% of revenue for the quarter.

Business group revenue

Business groupQ2 revenueRevenue shareSequentialYear-on-year
Power Solutions$829.0 mln51.7%up 13%up 19%
Analog and Mixed-Signal$545.7 mln34.0%up 1%down 2%
Intelligent Sensing$228.8 mln14.3%down 3%up 7%
Total$1,603.5 mln100%up 6%up 9%

Company data was used to determine revenue shares.

Power Solutions accounted for 97% of the company’s net sales growth compared to the previous year. Revenue from Analog and Mixed-Signal continued to trail last year’s figures.

For the third quarter, management forecasts revenue in the range of $1.65 billion to $1.75 billion, indicating ongoing leverage.

Q3 forecast

MetricQ2 actualQ3 guidanceMidpoint versus Q2
Revenue$1.604 bln$1.65–$1.75 bln+6.0%
Adjusted gross margin39.3%40.0%–42.0%+170 bp
Adjusted EPS$0.74$0.81–$0.93+17.6%

Company guidance served as the basis for the midpoint changes calculation.

The ranges generally matched what analysts had anticipated. Tuesday’s regular session will show if improvements in margins are offset by questions about cash quality.

Onsemi bought back $332 million in shares in the quarter, representing about 78% of its free cash flow. Shareholder returns since the start of the year have totaled approximately 105% of free cash flow.

The stock dropped 9.7% over the last five sessions ahead of its earnings report. Prior to the after-hours action, it had gained 48.5% in 2026.

Risks: As working capital returns to typical levels, cash conversion may decline. The announced $7 billion all-share acquisition of Synaptics Inc. brings with it risks related to integration, regulatory clearance, and potential dilution. The transaction is anticipated to complete in mid-2027, pending both regulatory and shareholder approval.

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Further analysis

Has Q2 reinforced expectations for an earnings rebound?
Revenue increased by 9% to $1.604 billion, surpassing the consensus of $1.589 billion. Adjusted EPS stood at $0.74, exceeding the $0.71 forecast. Third-quarter guidance points to $1.70 billion, indicating 6% sequential growth. Gross-margin outlook has been lifted to 40%–42%, up from 39.3% in Q2. Sustained performance cannot be determined by a single quarter. GlobeNewswire
To what extent could AI data centers alter onsemi’s growth trajectory?
Management projects AI-data-center sales will top $500 million in 2026, rising from about $250 million in 2025. This would make up close to 8% of anticipated 2026 revenue. Automotive and industrial accounted for 75% of sales in the second quarter. While AI is a robust driver, it does not yet lead overall growth. GlobeNewswire
Does ON remain attractively priced following its earnings announcement?
ON finished the session at $80.40, placing 2026 consensus EPS at around 26 times earnings. Shares were trading about $83.50 at 5 p.m. Eastern following the release. FactSet data shows an average price target of $115.30, with targets spanning from $85 to $150. The average suggests shares could gain 38% from their post-market level. The figures reflect estimates made before Q2 and may be revised. The Wall Street Journal
What needs to get better for the 2027 consensus forecast to remain valid?
FactSet projects adjusted EPS will climb 39%, increasing from $3.09 to $4.30. For Q3, the forecast is $0.87, topping the previous $0.83 consensus. Achieving this growth will need persistent improvements in margins and stronger underlying demand. Automotive sales slipped 2% sequentially, and industrial sales edged up by just 1%. Core demand continues to be the primary operational risk. The Wall Street Journal
Will Synaptics' acquisition result in net value gain rather than dilution?
Synaptics shareholders are set to receive approximately 12% of the merged entity. Onsemi is aiming for $200 million in yearly synergies, and anticipates that the transaction will boost adjusted EPS within 18 months of completion. The $7 billion all-share agreement is expected to close by mid-2027. The timeline for approvals, integration, and realizing synergies has not been finalized. investor.onsemi.com

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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