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RKLB stock price forecast: Rocket Lab slips on insider sales as earnings loom
7 January 2026
1 min read

RKLB stock price forecast: Rocket Lab slips on insider sales as earnings loom

New York, Jan 7, 2026, 14:38 EST — Regular session

Rocket Lab Corp shares fell 1.3% to $84.94 in afternoon trade on Wednesday after SEC filings showed CFO Adam C. Spice exercised employee options and sold 1,365,665 shares for about $103.1 million, and chief operations officer Frank Klein sold 100,000 shares for about $7.3 million. Both trades ran under Rule 10b5-1 plans — pre-arranged programs that schedule trades — and the stock has traded between $81.85 and $85.96 in the session.

The sales hit as RKLB has become a momentum name. The stock ended Tuesday at a record $86.03 and is up more than 70% since early December, while options trading — contracts that let traders bet on a move without owning the shares — ran about 3.5 times the 90-day average, TipRanks data showed.

Rocket Lab in December won an $816 million Space Development Agency award to design and build 18 satellites for the Tracking Layer Tranche 3 program, a contract it called its biggest single deal. That win helped fuel the run and reset expectations, leaving the shares quick to react to any hint of insiders cashing out.

The gap between price and published targets has widened. MarketBeat lists Rocket Lab with a “Moderate Buy” consensus and an average price target of $61.25, well below where the stock has traded this week.

Traders are watching whether the stock can hold above the session low and work back toward Tuesday’s close. A clean break either way could set the tone into results, with the stock now swinging several dollars a day.

One risk is execution, and Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket remains a swing factor as the company tries to move beyond small-satellite launches and into a market dominated by SpaceX. CEO Peter Beck told investors Neutron would reach its Virginia launch site in the first quarter of 2026 and said it was worth taking “a little bit more time to get it right.”

Investors also head into the next report with forecasts still pointing to losses. Analysts expect Rocket Lab to post a loss of 5 cents a share on revenue of about $178.4 million in the next results, Zacks Investment Research wrote.

Rocket Lab has not announced a reporting date, but Zacks’ earnings calendar puts the next release around Feb. 26. The market will watch the call for guidance, any update on Neutron timing, and whether the post-rally pullback stays orderly or turns into something sharper.

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company serving customers around the world. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he has more than two decades of experience in telecommunications, satellite services and technology ventures. He writes about satellite communications, space technology, artificial intelligence and the stock market, with a particular focus on technology companies, semiconductors, emerging industries and the trends shaping global innovation.

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