US stocks: Dow, S&P 500 mark record highs as AI-driven surge extends outside chip sector

US stocks: Dow, S&P 500 mark record highs as AI-driven surge extends outside chip sector

NEW YORK, August 4, 2026, 16:03 EDT

  • The NYSE finished its cash session at 16:00 EDT, with extended hours continuing through 20:00 EDT.
  • The Dow climbed 1.88%, the S&P 500 added 1.90%, while the Nasdaq jumped 2.69%.
  • Brent crude dropped 5.3% to $79.36, while U.S. crude closed down 5.7% at $75.77.

U.S. equities climbed sharply on Tuesday, as both the Dow and S&P 500 set new intraday highs. Gains were propelled by AI-related earnings reports and a steep decline in oil prices. The Nasdaq outperformed, buoyed by a recovery among chipmakers.

The main investor signal went further than just technology. Markets reacted positively to signs of AI investment in software, semiconductors, and industrial power equipment.

This is significant, indicating that investors are seeing revenue gains across the entire AI capital-expenditure ecosystem, not just depending on big cloud providers’ spending forecasts.

The Nasdaq ended with a decisive lead in closing levels.

Major indexClosePoint changeDaily move
Dow Jones Industrial Average54,175.70+998.40+1.88%
S&P 5007,744.97+144.39+1.90%
Nasdaq Composite26,610.62+697.17+2.69%

Palantir Technologies featured on the software front. The stock jumped almost 30% after the company lifted its full-year revenue outlook.

Caterpillar provided the industrial boost. Increased demand for power-generation machines for data centres drove its shares up roughly 6%. The stock accounted for over 300 points of the Dow’s 998-point climb.

The session’s comparative performance highlights the extent of investor preference for AI infrastructure. The following comparisons take the S&P 500’s 1.90% rise as the reference point.

AI-linked signalReported move or impactRelative strength
Palantir sharesUp nearly 30%Roughly 15.8 times the S&P
Philadelphia Semiconductor IndexUp close to 7%Roughly 3.7 times
S&P 500 technology sectorUp 4.5%Roughly 2.4 times
Caterpillar’s Dow contributionAdded more than 300 pointsMade up over 30% of Dow gains

The advance was focused, yet broad. On the NYSE, advancing stocks surpassed decliners by over two to one. Market breadth on the Nasdaq was even more robust.

Earnings provided key underlying support. LSEG data showed around 85.2% of S&P 500 companies that reported results surpassed second-quarter forecasts. That is 17.7 percentage points above the historical average.

Market-quality measureCurrent readingComparison
NYSE advance-decline ratio2.11-to-1Overall positive
Nasdaq advance-decline ratio2.95-to-1Outpaces NYSE
S&P 500 earnings beat rate85.2%67.5% is the historical average
Beat-rate premium17.7 percentage pointsMeasured difference

Caterpillar’s quarterly sales and revenue climbed 24% to $20.5 billion. Adjusted earnings were $8.17 per share. Chief Executive Joe Creed stated, “Strong order rates and a growing backlog reflect broadening momentum across all three of our primary segments.” Caterpillar Investors

Oil was the rally’s second driver. Brent and U.S. crude closed at their lowest in three weeks after officials cited progress in talks between the U.S. and Iran. Weaker energy prices eased inflation concerns and contributed to a decline in Treasury yields. Negotiators had not finalized a deal.

Cross-asset indicatorTuesday closeDaily move
Brent crude$79.36 a barreldown 5.3%
West Texas Intermediate$75.77 a barreldown 5.7%
Treasury yieldsLowerDrop in oil tempers inflation concerns

Economic indicators showed relative stability. Job openings in June stood at 7.4 million, largely unchanged. Hires were steady at 5.3 million, with layoffs also low at 1.8 million.

Jack Ablin, chief investment strategist at Cresset Capital Management, observed there was “not one ounce of skepticism among investors.” He further raised doubts about whether a handful of robust earnings reports were enough to support fresh records for the S&P. Reuters

Following the market close, focus moved to SpaceX and Advanced Micro Devices . SpaceX had arranged its initial earnings webcast since listing for 16:30 EDT, while AMD’s conference call was scheduled to begin at 17:00 EDT.

CompanyScheduled eventPreliminary Street estimateMain investor test
SpaceX16:30 EDT webcastRoughly $6.8 billion revenue; around $2 billion EBITDAFocus on profitability and requirements for capital
AMD17:00 EDT call$11.34 billion revenue; $1.61 adjusted EPSAI accelerator products and server market demand

The next key macro event is Friday’s U.S. payrolls report. Strong jobs data may reinforce profit forecasts, but it could also reduce prospects for rate cuts.

Risks: The recent surge reflected optimism over diplomacy in advance of a formal Iran deal. Significant disruptions continued to impact Gulf shipping. Any breakdown in negotiations, another rise in oil prices, or disappointing after-market guidance may swiftly challenge the top performers from Tuesday.

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Further analysis

Did the market’s short-term trend gain support from Tuesday’s close?
The S&P 500 climbed 1.90% to close at 7,744.97. The Nasdaq advanced 2.69%, and the Dow ended up 1.88%. On the NYSE, advancing stocks outnumbered decliners by a ratio of 2.11-to-1, while on the Nasdaq, the ratio was 2.95-to-1. The rally was not limited to megacap stocks. Reuters
Do current earnings levels justify present valuations?
Up to now, the majority have outperformed. Of 304 S&P 500 companies reporting, 85.2% exceeded forecasts. The historical average is 67.5%. Still, the forward price-to-earnings ratio was recently close to 19.4. Such a high valuation gives little tolerance for disappointing outlooks. Reuters
Does the rally remain overly reliant on artificial intelligence?
AI continued to drive gains. S&P technology advanced 4.5%, and semiconductor stocks climbed almost 7%. Palantir soared close to 30%. Caterpillar added over 300 points to the Dow. Market breadth saw some improvement, though strong earnings are still focused among a few names. Reuters
What are AMD and SpaceX expected to report following the close?
Verified figures had not yet been released as of 4:05 p.m. ET. Analysts projected AMD revenue at $11.3 billion and adjusted EPS at $1.62. SpaceX was projected to post $6.8 billion in sales and EBITDA of $2.1 billion. Following strong gains before the report, investors are focused on guidance over minor beats. MarketWatch
What is the upcoming significant test facing stock prices?
The upcoming payrolls report on Friday remains a key driver for markets. Analysts forecast 80,000 jobs added with unemployment at 4.2%. Job openings in June decreased to 7.359 million, with layoffs holding at low levels. A 5% decline in oil and a ten-year yield at 4.63% helped fuel Tuesday’s rally. A strong payroll number may increase the risk of further rate hikes. Reuters

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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