Close
$38.46
+$3.29 · +9.35%
Super Micro Shares Rise 9.35% After Cisco Announces October AI Factory Channel Launch
Super Micro Computer, Inc. gained 9.35% after Cisco launched an enterprise channel for its AI servers. Shares ended Tuesday at $38.46. Trading volume was 48.2 million shares.
Super Micro Computer · NASDAQ: SMCI
Cisco channel turns rack-scale AI demand into a margin test
Cisco begins offering Supermicro compute inside Secure AI Factory with NVIDIA in October 2026.
Market data: Aug. 25, 2026, 16:00 EDT
After-hours: 19:59 EDT
After-hours: 19:59 EDT
Quoted value added
$2.13B
646.87M shares × $3.29
Trading activity
47.6M
Aug. 25 volume; 48.2M from consolidated snapshot
After-hours
$38.58
+0.30%
Seven-session price path
CloseObserved session
Quarterly operating pulse
| FY26 | Revenue | Gross margin | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $5.0B | 9.3% | $168M |
| Q2 | $12.7B | 6.3% | $401M |
| Q3 | $10.2B | 9.9% | $483M |
| Q4 | $11.1B | 17.5% | $1.18B |
Company-reported GAAP data; fiscal year ended June 30, 2026.
Guidance and balance-sheet signals
FY27 revenue guide$65B–$72B
Midpoint growth vs. FY26+75%
Q1 FY27 revenue guide$14.5B–$15.5B
FY26 cash$7.5B
Bank debt + convertibles$8.7B
Q4 operating cash flow$747M
AI infrastructure read-through · Aug. 25 close, 16:00 EDT
| Company | Close | Daily move | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Micro (SMCI) | $38.46 | +9.35% | Cisco channel |
| Dell (DELL) | $451.50 | +4.23% | Server peer |
| HPE (HPE) | $53.44 | +1.93% | Server peer |
| Cisco (CSCO) | $111.11 | +0.80% | Platform owner |
Catalyst clock
AUG 11
Fiscal Q4 results17.5% gross margin; FY27 revenue guide reaches $72B.
AUG 25
Cisco partnershipRack-scale liquid- and air-cooled compute enters Secure AI Factory.
OCTOBER
Commercial availabilityFirst announced month for Cisco to offer Supermicro systems.
Investor takeaway
The Cisco channel validates Supermicro’s rack-scale position, but Tuesday’s $2.13B value gain arrived before any disclosed orders.
The clean confirmation would be sustained enterprise revenue plus gross margin near Q4’s 17.5%, rather than a return toward the 6%–10% range seen earlier in fiscal 2026.
The clean confirmation would be sustained enterprise revenue plus gross margin near Q4’s 17.5%, rather than a return toward the 6%–10% range seen earlier in fiscal 2026.
Rezolve AI Shares Surge 21.8% After Google Cloud Web3 Rollout Delivers $211 Million Boost
Rezolve AI PLC climbed 21.81% on Tuesday following the adoption of its distributed database technology by Google. The stock ended the session at $2.96, increasing its quoted equity value by roughly $211 million.
NASDAQ:RZLV • post-close
Google Cloud validation meets a revenue test
Market data: August 25, 2026, 4:00 p.m. EDT
After-hours: 7:59 p.m. EDT • Dashboard: August 26, 2026, 01:10 EDT
Close
$2.96
+21.81% • +$0.53
After-hours
$2.91
−1.68% from close
Volume
98.4M
7.7× 12.9M 3-month average
Market value
$1.18B
≈$211M added Tuesday
Price move and range
The close remains 65.0% below the 52-week high despite Tuesday’s surge.
Catalyst: what is measurable
Initial data footprint100 TB
Blockchain networks10
Checks per block6 + validation
Contract valueNot disclosed
Rezolve says its database provides indexing and pipelines behind Google Cloud Web3 datasets.
Revenue bridge
FY 2025 audited revenuebase$46.8M
H1 2026 preliminaryunaudited≈$127M
FY 2026 guidancetarget≈$360M
Implied H2 requirementderived≈$233M
Preliminary H1 covers 35.3% of guidance. H2 must run about 83% above H1.
Valuation checkpoints
| Measure | Numerator | Denominator | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap / FY 2025 revenue | $1.18B | $46.8M | 25.2× |
| Market cap / FY 2026 guidance | $1.18B | $360M | 3.3× |
| Tuesday value gain / FY26 guide | ≈$211M | $360M | 0.59× |
| Analyst target / close | $10.50 avg. | $2.96 | 3.55× |
Five-analyst consensus: Strong Buy; target range $7–$15. Targets predate this catalyst.
Financial signals and next catalyst
2025 GAAP gross marginreported66%
2025 net lossreported$101.4M
Year-end cash / operating cash use2025$111.1M / $63.1M
Current vs. year-end sharesdilution398.8M vs. 336.3M
Next confirmed catalystcalendarH1 results • Sep. 1, 8:30 a.m. EDT
Investor read: Google validates the technology, but September must validate economics. Watch recognized revenue, gross margin, cash conversion, outstanding shares and continued support for the $360 million outlook.
Sources: Rezolve AI investor releases dated July 27, August 6 and August 25, 2026; Rezolve AI 2025 Form 20-F; S&P Global Market Intelligence and Nasdaq UTP data displayed by StockAnalysis. Derived figures may differ due to rounding.
Alibaba Stock Rebounds 0.8% as $10.2 Billion AI Sale Dilutes Holders 3.6%
Alibaba Group Holding Limited rose 0.82% on Tuesday. The rebound followed a discounted HK$80 billion share placement for AI investment. The stock closed at $119.44 after trading between $117.31 and $119.48.
Alibaba AI Placement Dashboard
NYSE:BABA · Market data through August 25, 2026, 20:00 EDT
Close
$119.44
Daily move
+0.82%
After-hours
$119.25
Volume
15.8M
Market value
$272.4B
New dilution
3.57%
What HK$80 billion must earn
Investor bridge
The issue raises about $10.21 billion for chips, infrastructure and models. That equals 6.6% of trailing revenue and 18.1% of Alibaba's three-year AI plan.
Placement as a share of the $56.54B three-year AI commitment
Placement terms
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| New shares | 710M |
| Offer price | HK$112.70 |
| Discount | 8.4% |
| Net cash | HK$79.7B |
| Expected close | Aug. 26 |
Cloud return channel
| June quarter | Value |
|---|---|
| Group revenue | $39.6B |
| Revenue growth | +9% |
| AI cloud revenue | $7.1B |
| Cloud growth | +45% |
| Cloud adj. EBITA | $830M |
| EBITA growth | +133% |
Market expectations
| Analysts | Value |
|---|---|
| Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Coverage | 40 |
| Average target | $186.68 |
| Implied upside | +56.3% |
| Low / high | $92.74 / $237.81 |
Price path
| Date | Close | Move | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 20 | $130.53 | +1.26% | 28.1M |
| Aug. 21 | $119.34 | −8.57% | 32.4M |
| Aug. 24 | $118.47 | −0.73% | 23.9M |
| Aug. 25 | $119.44 | +0.82% | 15.8M |
The ADR remains 8.5% below its Aug. 20 close.
What can break the thesis
- AI infrastructure reaches full utilization too slowly.
- Model and cloud pricing fall faster than unit costs.
- Depreciation absorbs cloud margin gains.
- Export controls restrict access to advanced chips.
- Consumer weakness limits e-commerce cash generation.
Zoom Stock Falls 6.9% as AI Growth Leaves Revenue Outlook Nearly Flat
Zoom Communications shares fell about 6.9% from their previous close after quarterly results showed faster enterprise growth but little change to the annual sales outlook. Zoom Communications Inc. traded at $97.63 after hours, versus Monday's $104.83 close.
NASDAQ: ZM · fiscal Q2 2027
Zoom's AI growth test
Enterprise momentum accelerated, but the annual revenue midpoint moved by only 0.1%. The market treated the report as an earnings-efficiency update, not a revenue reset.
Latest observation
Aug. 25, 2026 · 16:49 EDT
22:49 CEST
Aug. 25, 2026 · 16:49 EDT
22:49 CEST
After-hours price
$97.63
Google Finance, 16:49 EDT
From prior close
−6.87%
$104.83 to $97.63
Regular close
$100.92
−3.73% at 16:00 EDT
Volume
6.39M
2.12× 3.01M average
Revenue growth by channel
Enterprise supplied 61.7% of quarterly revenue and nearly all incremental sales.
The guidance change
Compared with guidance issued May 21. Revenue midpoint moved from $5.085B to $5.090B.
Quarterly scorecard
| Metric | Q2 FY2027 | Year earlier | Change / signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $1.277B | $1.217B | +4.9% |
| Enterprise revenue | $787.5M | $730.7M | +7.8% |
| Online revenue | $489.7M | $486.6M | +0.6% |
| GAAP operating income | $314.3M | $321.7M | −2.3% |
| Free cash flow | $472.4M | $508.0M | −7.0%; 37.0% margin |
| Non-GAAP operating margin | 40.0% | 41.3% | −130 bps |
AI and customer signals
- Zoom Virtual Agent customer count rose 256% year over year.
- Customer Experience ARR expanded at a high-double-digit rate.
- Customers spending above $100,000 annually rose 8.2% to 4,625.
- Enterprise net dollar expansion improved to 99%, still below expansion territory.
- Online monthly churn held at 2.9%.
Valuation and capital return
| Trailing P/E | 14.8× |
| Forward P/E | 17.4× |
| Analyst consensus | Buy · 30 analysts |
| Average target | $116.80 · 19.6% above after-hours price |
| Quarterly repurchases | 3.7M shares |
| Remaining authorization | $1.3B at July 31 |
Profit-quality check
81%
Strategic-investment gains supplied $1.614B, or 81% of GAAP pretax income. Non-GAAP net income fell 1.5% to $464.0M.
The large investment gain should not be read as recurring operating profit.
Risks and next checks
- Growth: Online sales may remain nearly flat while Microsoft bundles competing tools.
- Margins: free cash flow and non-GAAP operating margin declined year over year.
- Upside condition: enterprise expansion above 100% would show existing customers are spending more overall.
- Next catalyst: Q3 revenue midpoint of $1.2775B implies about 5% growth.
NuScale Power Shares Surge 9.8% After Nuclear AI Technology Slashes Search Time by As Much as 80%
Shares of NuScale Power Corporation surged 9.78% to close at $9.94 on Tuesday, boosting its market capitalization by approximately $379 million.
NuScale Power · NYSE: SMR
Nuclear AI meets a pre-revenue valuation
Market snapshot: August 25, 2026, 14:21 EDT · Regular session
$9.94+9.78% · +$0.89
$4.26B
Market capitalization
36.60M
Volume · 1.17× average
≈$379M
Value added in the session
Up to 80%
Faster information retrieval in proof of concept
Price position
The shares remain 82.7% below their $57.42 high. The 13-analyst average target implies 19.2% upside.
What changed
Fresh catalyst
NuScale deployed Nuclearn AtomAssist and NPX across engineering and knowledge management.
Proof-of-concept search-time reduction: up to 80%.
No customer contract, order value, revenue or savings target was disclosed.
Valuation versus operating scale
| Signal | Value | Investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 revenue | $75K | ≈99% below estimate |
| Session value gain | ≈$379M | >5,000× Q2 revenue |
| Liquidity | $1.9B | 44.6% of market cap |
| ATM authorization | Up to $750M | 17.6% of market cap |
| Module output | 77 MWe | Up to 924 MWe for 12 modules |
Analyst spread
| Reference | Target |
|---|---|
| Cantor · Buy | $20.00 |
| Texas Capital · Buy | $12.00 |
| RBC · Hold | $10.00 |
| Citi · Sell | $6.50 |
Consensus: 5 Buy, 7 Hold, 1 Sell.
Catalyst timeline
August 5Q2 revenue of $75K; liquidity reached $1.9B.
August 11Up to $750M at-the-market program registered.
August 20Texas Capital set a $12 Buy target.
August 25Nuclear-specific AI deployment announced; shares gained 9.78%.
Risk monitor
Internal efficiency is not the same as customer revenue. The proof-of-concept result may not translate into lower project costs. Licensing, financing, manufacturing readiness and binding customer commitments remain the larger valuation tests. Sector-wide strength also amplified Tuesday's move: Oklo rose 12.8% and Nano Nuclear Energy gained 6.4% in the same snapshot.
Sources: NuScale Power releases dated August 5 and August 25, 2026; SEC filing dated August 11, 2026; Google Finance market and analyst data captured August 25, 2026, 14:21 EDT. Calculations use displayed figures and may differ because of rounding.
CoreWeave shares climb 2.3% as Rescale launches AI cloud services for five industries
CoreWeave, Inc. shares climbed 2.32% on Tuesday as Rescale integrated its AI cloud with a digital-engineering platform utilized in five sectors. Shares changed hands at $88.25 with volume at 8.62 million as of 13:12 EDT.
CoreWeave · NASDAQ:CRWV · Commercial catalyst
Rescale opens a five-industry route into CoreWeave Cloud
Market snapshot: August 25, 2026, 13:12 EDT · U.S. regular session. Partnership announced August 25, 2026.
Share price
$88.25
+2.32% · +$2.00
Volume
8.62M
About 39% of Aug. 21 volume
Market value
$48.67B
≈+$1.10B today
52-week range
$60.55–153.20
42% below the high
What changed
RescaleDigital-engineering front end
CKSContainer orchestration
CoreWeaveAI/HPC compute, network, storage
Five verticalsAerospace, autos, energy, life sciences, manufacturing
Commercial terms, minimum usage and contract duration were not disclosed. The value lies in workload access; monetization still requires consumption.
Investor bridge
Backlog / market cap
2.14×
$104B backlog compared with $48.67B equity value. Backlog converts only as capacity becomes available and services are delivered.
Quarterly operating scorecard
| Metric | Q2 2026 | YoY / margin |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.575B | +112% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $1.510B | 59% margin |
| Operating loss | $49M | -2% margin |
| Net loss | $626M | -24% margin |
| Interest expense | $640M | 24.9% of revenue |
| Property purchases | $6.422B | 2.49× revenue |
Capacity and balance-sheet load
June 30, 2026. Debt is the sum of current and long-term recourse and non-recourse balances.
Analyst recommendations
| Firm / set | Date | Rating | Target | Upside / downside |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38-analyst consensus | Aug. 25 | Buy | $144.17 | +63% |
| Truist | Aug. 19 | Buy | $155 | +76% |
| Goldman Sachs | Aug. 20 | Hold | $139 | +58% |
| Barclays | Aug. 13 | Hold | $105 | +19% |
| Bernstein | Aug. 12 | Sell | $74 | -16% |
Bull case
Rescale adds a distribution layer for compute-heavy engineering. CoreWeave can diversify workload types while reusing the same GPU, networking and storage stack. Revenue growth above 100% and a backlog twice the equity value create substantial operating leverage if utilization rises.
Risk case
No commercial value was disclosed. Debt is more than six times cash, interest consumed nearly one quarter of quarterly revenue, and property purchases were 2.5 times revenue. Slow deployments or weak utilization can make new demand expensive to serve.
Sources: CoreWeave–Rescale announcement; CoreWeave Q2 results; StockAnalysis market data; analyst consensus. Figures timestamped as shown; calculations by TS2.
Navitas Shares Gain 5.3% After $233 Million Claros Acquisition to Boost AI Capabilities
Shares of Navitas Semiconductor Corporation climbed 5.3% on Tuesday after the company announced a deal to acquire Claros for as much as $232.8 million. At 13:27 EDT, the stock was priced at $12.88, with trading volume reaching 9.7 million shares.
NVTS · Deal dashboard
Navitas + Claros
Near-chip power technology meets a cash-and-stock acquisition
Market data: Aug. 25, 2026
13:27 EDT / 19:27 CEST
13:27 EDT / 19:27 CEST
Share price
$12.88
▲ 5.31% regular session
Range $12.41–$13.44
Volume
9.7M
Shares traded by 13:27 EDT
67% of 14.3M Aug. 21 volume
Deal value
$232.8M
Up to; based on $12.97 reference price
Market value
$3.36B
About 92× trailing revenue
Transaction funding
Investor read: maximum disclosed merger shares, earnout shares and retention awards total about 10.4 million, or roughly 4.0% of the current 261.1 million shares.
Revenue trajectory
Actual*Midpoint, ±$0.5MQ2 non-GAAP gross margin: 39.5%
Financial capacity
June cash$557.4M
Cash due at closing$126.4M
Cash draw22.7%
Q2 operating cash use, six months$48.3M
Q2 non-GAAP operating loss$11.4M
Analyst map
| Firm | View | Target | vs $12.88 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Needham | Buy | $21.00 | +63.0% |
| Baird | Buy | $20.00 | +55.3% |
| Rosenblatt | Hold | $13.00 | +0.9% |
| Craig-Hallum | Hold | $13.00 | +0.9% |
| Morgan Stanley | Sell | $12.60 | −2.2% |
Eight-analyst consensus: Neutral · average target $14.08
What changes — and when
Claros closes Navitas's power chain from the grid to the processor package. The transaction adds a claimed $3.5B VPD/IVR market, but management expects the revenue lift mainly from 2028–2029.
Current GaN/HV-SiC SAM $3.5BNew JFET SAM $1.0BClaros VPD/IVR SAM $3.5B+Post-deal 2030 SAM $8B+Catalysts and risks
Next confirmationRegulatory clearance and closing before Dec. 31
Operating proofQ3 revenue near $13.5M and 39.7% non-GAAP margin
Strategic proofVPD/IVR customer ramps from 2028–2029
Primary risksIntegration, dilution, undisclosed Claros revenue, rich sales multiple
Sources: Navitas Form 8-K, transaction release, Q2 results, market data, analyst data. Figures may be rounded.
Supermicro Shares Climb 9% After Cisco Unveils October AI-Factory Sales Program
Super Micro Computer shares climbed 8.63% to $38.21 as of 11:31 EDT. The increase came after news of a distribution deal that integrates its rack-scale AI systems into Cisco’s secure factory framework. The stock’s advance boosted its market capitalization by about $1.96 billion.
NASDAQ: SMCI · Catalyst dashboard
Supermicro’s Cisco channel adds validation before revenue
Market snapshot: August 25, 2026, 11:31 EDT · U.S. regular session
Share price
$38.21
Up 8.63% from a $35.17 prior close.
Equity value
$24.71B
About $1.96B added during the move.
Volume
23.47M
Shares traded by 11:31 EDT on August 25.
Forward P/E
8.81×
Versus 22.68× for Dell and 21.50× for Cisco.
Revenue scale: actuals and fiscal 2027 guidance
The $68.5 billion midpoint implies 75.4% growth. Cisco’s October availability is a channel catalyst; no order value has been disclosed.
Q4 sales +93.2% YoYQ4 gross margin 17.5%New orders >$60B
Analyst positioning
Consensus: Hold · Average target $42.38 · Implied upside 10.9% from $38.21.
Comparable market snapshot
| Company | Price | Daily move | Market value | Forward P/E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) | $38.21 | +8.63% | $24.71B | 8.81× |
| Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) | $453.27 | +4.64% | $292.88B | 22.68× |
| Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) | $110.97 | +0.67% | $437.38B | 21.50× |
Prices and valuation metrics: StockAnalysis snapshots at 11:30–11:31 EDT, August 25, 2026. SMCI outperformed the equal-weight daily move of Dell and Cisco by about 6.0 percentage points.
Catalyst path
Aug. 25
Cisco announces Supermicro liquid- and air-cooled compute for its Secure AI Factory with NVIDIA.
October
Cisco plans to begin offering Supermicro rack-scale compute to customers.
Next report
Investors test the $14.5–$15.5 billion fiscal first-quarter sales guide against bookings and delivery capacity.
Investor bridge
Cisco supplies distribution and enterprise validation. Supermicro supplies dense rack-scale compute and liquid cooling. The commercial link is direct, but not yet quantified: an October product path can widen customer access, while revenue depends on orders, pricing, delivery and margin.
| Q4 FY2026 sales | $11.1B | +93.2% YoY |
| Q4 FY2026 gross margin | 17.5% | +8.0 points YoY |
| Q1 FY2027 sales guide | $14.5–$15.5B | Midpoint +34.9% vs. Q4 |
| FY2027 sales guide | $65–$72B | +66.4% to +84.3% |
Risk monitor
Cisco disclosed no committed orders, pricing or margin. Taiwan’s August 24 server-export case adds compliance scrutiny: prosecutors allege 74 of 130 B300 systems reached China through indirect routes, while customs stopped 56. Supermicro says it is not an investigation target and is not accused of wrongdoing.
Sources: Cisco, Supermicro results, Reuters, StockAnalysis market data and analyst consensus. Time-sensitive market figures are stamped August 25, 2026, 11:30–11:31 EDT.
Rezolve AI Stock Jumps 22% as Google Cloud Deployment Adds $209 Million in Market Value
Rezolve AI PLC jumped 21.56% to $2.955 by 10:41:55 a.m. EDT on Tuesday. The move lifted its quoted equity value by roughly $209 million.
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NASDAQ:RZLV · Stock move
Technical validation, undisclosed economics
Rezolve AI’s first major distributed-database deployment passed Google’s technical review. The market added about $209 million in equity value before either side disclosed contract revenue.
Market snapshot
August 25, 2026, 10:41:55 EDT
August 25, 2026, 16:41:55 CEST
U.S. market open
August 25, 2026, 10:41:55 EDT
August 25, 2026, 16:41:55 CEST
U.S. market open
Share price
$2.955
▲ 21.56%
Previous close: $2.43
Volume
38.72M
3.01× average
Average: 12.86M shares
Market value
$1.179B
≈ $209M added
Derived from intraday cap and move
Next hard catalyst
Sep. 1
H1 results · 8:30 EDT
Reviewed operating detail expected
One-day repricing
Prior close $2.4310:41:55 EDT · $2.955Catalyst: Google Cloud deploymentInterpretation: investors priced technical validation immediately. Revenue conversion remains unquantified because no contract value, fee schedule or recognized-revenue timing was disclosed.
Deployment scope
Blockchain networks10
Historical data≈100 TB
Checks per block6 cryptographic
Commercial rankFirst major deployment
Disclosure quality
Technical scope: detailed. Contract economics: absent.
Financial scale
| Measure | Period | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | FY 2025 | $46.8M audited |
| Gross margin | FY 2025 | 66% audited |
| Net loss | FY 2025 | $(101.4)M |
| Operating cash flow | FY 2025 | $(63.1)M |
| Cash | Dec. 31, 2025 | $111.1M |
| Revenue | H1 2026 | ≈$127M preliminary |
| Revenue guidance | FY 2026 | ≈$360M |
Valuation bridge
≈$970M$1.179BImplied prior10:41:55 EDT +≈$209MThe gain equals roughly 4.5× audited FY 2025 revenue. It does not represent disclosed contract revenue.
Analyst expectations
ConsensusModerate Buy
Ratings6 Buy · 0 Hold · 1 Sell
Average target$11.42
Target range$7–$15
$2.955 current$7 low$11.42 avg.$15 highConsensus collected August 25, 2026; underlying ratings span the prior 12 months.
What matters next
Aug. 25Google deployment announced; shares and volume surge.
Sep. 1 · 8:30 EDTH1 results and investor call; test preliminary $127M revenue.
H2 2026Execution against approximately $360M full-year guidance.
Questions for management
What is the contract value? When does revenue recognition begin? Which costs support the deployment? Can the platform expand beyond 10 networks without lowering margins?
Risk monitor
Economics
No fees, minimum commitment or revenue timing disclosed.
Execution
Preliminary H1 revenue remains unaudited until the September release.
Liquidity
The 2025 Form 20-F reported losses, cash burn and a going-concern warning.
Sandisk Shares Drop 7% Amid AI Valuation Concerns Linked to Apple-China Memory Uncertainty
NEW YORK, August 24, 2026, 14:00 EDT — Sandisk stock slid 7% as investors weighed the potential AI-driven premium in light of fresh risks to its Apple supply relationship and memory sales in China.
NASDAQ:SNDK • Intraday dashboard
Sandisk Stock Falls 7% as Apple-China Memory Risk Tests AI Premium
Market data observed August 24, 2026 at 14:00 EDT (20:00 Europe/Warsaw). U.S. regular session open.
Sandisk Corporation · Memory & storage
Share price
$1,480.00
−$116.08 · −7.27%
Equity value lost
≈$17.0B
Share move × 146.42M shares
Market value
$216.7B
At the 14:00 EDT snapshot
Consensus target
$2,126.17
+43.66% implied upside · 24 analysts
Session range: rebound, but still deep in the red
Why the shares moved
Weekend reports said Washington may allow Apple to source DRAM from CXMT and NAND from YMTC. No supply deal has been announced.
Direct SNDK exposureNAND pricing
Near-term counterweightTight supply & qualification
Long-term threatChinese capacity growth
Visible confirmationApple supplier approval
Memory and storage peer tape
Recent analyst recommendations
| Broker | View | Target | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein SocGen | BUY | $3,000 | Aug 17 |
| Citi | BUY | $2,100 | Aug 14 |
| Mizuho | BUY | $1,900 | Aug 14 |
| RBC Capital | HOLD | $1,600 | Aug 14 |
| Wells Fargo | HOLD | $1,550 | Aug 14 |
Q4 operating momentum versus Q3
Forward frame
Q1 FY2027 revenue guide$10.3B–$10.8B
Midpoint sequential growth+17.7%
Q1 adjusted EPS guide$44–$46
Q4 gross margin84.6%
Forward P/E6.91×
FY2028 contracted bits≈ two-thirds
Investor read-through
The selloff prices a threat to future NAND scarcity. Sandisk's contracts and qualification barriers protect the near term, but they do not remove the risk of lower market prices if YMTC expands supply.
Risk monitor
Watch for Apple supplier approval, CXMT or YMTC capacity additions, contract-price resets and a break below $1,416.56. An AI-capex slowdown would hit the demand side at the same time.
RUM Group faces 12.7% dilution challenge in $13.7 billion AI transaction
Shares of RUM Group Inc. surged on Monday following the announcement of a $13.7 billion GPU-services deal. The agreement is significant compared to the company's current revenue. The capital challenge it presents is also substantial.
RUM Group · NASDAQ:RUM
$13.7B demand signal, 12.7% dilution test
Market snapshot
Aug. 24, 2026 · 11:02 EDT
U.S. regular session
Aug. 24, 2026 · 11:02 EDT
U.S. regular session
Indicative price
≈ $9.55
about +5.5% intraday
Contract value
$13.7B
six years, three tranches
Customer warrant
50.8M
shares at $0.01
Current share base
400.0M
warrant equals 12.7%
Headline scale versus today's company
*Illustrative market cap uses approximately $9.55 and 400.0 million shares. Contract value is not revenue already recognized.
Why the stock moved
A six-year anchor order validates GPU demand. The rally is capped by financing, construction and dilution risk.
Dilution bridge
The customer would own about 11.3% of the resulting total from this warrant alone, before other securities.
Analyst recommendations
| Firm | View | Target | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maxim Group | Buy | $22 | Aug. 19 |
| Oppenheimer | Hold | — | Aug. 17 |
| 2-analyst set | Hold | $22 avg. | Aug. 24 snapshot |
Coverage is limited, and the listed calls predate the new contract.
Execution scorecard
| Variable | What is known | What investors need next |
|---|---|---|
| Demand | $13.7B stated order value | Customer identity and credit quality |
| Delivery | Georgia campus under development | Build schedule and GPU deployment |
| Funding | No financing contingency | Debt/equity mix and cost |
| Economics | Three purchase tranches | Margins, capex and revenue timing |
| Dilution | 50.8M shares at $0.01 | Vesting pace and expansion terms |
Reported baseline
Q2 $40.4M
revenue, +61% year over year
-$80.3M
Q2 net loss
22,000
H100/H200 GPUs; ~85% utilization
Sources: RUM Group Form 8-K filed Aug. 24, 2026; RUM Group Q2 results filed Aug. 10; Reuters; Investing.com intraday report; StockAnalysis analyst compilation. Price is approximate and time-stamped; all other figures use the cited filing/report dates.
Nasdaq slips 0.6% with market breadth at 1.51-to-1 highlighting AI sector exposure
NEW YORK, August 24, 2026, 11:55 EDT – The Nasdaq dropped 0.6% as broad market participation lagged, with a 1.51-to-1 ratio underscoring concerns about heavy dependence on AI-linked shares.
Nasdaq Composite · INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC
AI concentration meets a breadth break
Market snapshot: August 24, 2026, 09:45 EDT · U.S. regular session open · Index data: Reuters
Nasdaq
−0.63%
26,015.94
S&P 500
−0.27%
7,653.60
Dow
+0.21%
53,389.19
Nasdaq breadth
1.51×
Decliners per advancer
Index divergence
The positive Dow reduces the odds of a broad liquidation. The negative Nasdaq breadth shows the pressure extends beyond one megacap.
Why it moved
1 Nvidia earnings risk cut AI exposure.
2 Memory and connectivity shares fell faster.
3 Long Treasury yields kept growth multiples under pressure.
Semiconductor stress map
Moves at 09:45 EDT. “<−6%” denotes a decline greater than 6% in magnitude.
Analyst recommendation wall: Nvidia
| Firm / analyst | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald / C.J. Muse | Overweight | $350 |
| KeyBanc / John Vinh | Overweight | $330 |
| Rosenblatt / Kevin Cassidy | Buy | $325 |
Actions dated August 24, 2026. Friday close: $214.72. Source: Benzinga analyst tracker.
Event clock
Wed, Aug. 26
Nvidia fiscal Q2 results
Wed, Aug. 26
U.S. PCE inflation
Fri, Aug. 28
Fed Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole
Investor read
The core signal is breadth, not the headline index alone. A strong Nvidia report could repair semiconductor leadership quickly. An in-line result may be insufficient because positive analyst ratings already set a high bar. The main downside risk is a fresh rise in long yields, which would hit the same long-duration technology names again.
Sources: Reuters, Associated Press, Cboe and Benzinga. Intraday prices can change before the close.
Bloom Energy Stock Rebounds, but a 42% Drawdown Tests Its AI Valuation
Bloom Energy Corporation shares rose 1.0% on Monday morning. The rebound interrupted a seven-session slide, but did not repair the larger loss of momentum.
Bloom Energy · NYSE: BE
Growth is booming. The multiple is the test.
Market snapshot
August 24, 2026 · 11:36 EDT
August 24, 2026 · 11:36 EDT
Share price
$203.46
▲ $2.01 · 1.00%
Prior $201.45Open $191.98Beta 3.83
The stock recovered from a $185.93 intraday low.
The earnings bounce has faded
Daily closes from July 28 through August 21; August 24 uses the 11:36 EDT snapshot.
Momentum broke before fundamentals did. Monday’s rebound follows seven weaker sessions and leaves the stock 42.1% below its $351.28 yearly high.
Q2 operating acceleration
Year-over-year company-reported GAAP results.
Revenue+165.5%
Product revenue+215.4%
Gross margin33.4%
Operating income$182.2M
Q2 revenue$1.065B
Operating cash flow$226.4M
GAAP EPS$0.62
The valuation hurdle
| Measure | Reading |
|---|---|
| Estimated market value | $59.9B |
| 2026 revenue guide | $3.9B–$4.2B |
| Market value / midpoint sales | 14.8× |
| Forward P/E | 56.7× |
| Average analyst target | $275.08 |
| Target upside | 35.2% |
A premium multiple leaves less room for shipment delays, financing friction or margin slippage.
Analyst balance
29 current recommendations.
Strong Buy10
Buy5
Hold12
Sell1
Strong Sell1
AI power funding
Brookfield framework$25B
Prior framework$5B
The fivefold expansion supports deployments, but it is a financing framework rather than recognized Bloom revenue.
Customers include major hyperscalers, neoclouds, AI labs and colocation operators.
Why the stock is moving
Up today: buyers defended $200 after a deep early dip, while Q2 growth and the AI-power backlog remain intact.
Still under pressure: the shares trade at a demanding sales multiple after a large run, so investors are taking profits and demanding proof that orders become cash.
52W high $351.2852W low $47.83
Sources: Bloom Energy Q2 2026 results and guidance; Reuters on the Brookfield framework; StockAnalysis/S&P Global market, history and analyst data. Price snapshot: August 24, 2026, 11:36 EDT. Market value and valuation multiples are rounded calculations. Informational only, not investment advice.
CrowdStrike Faces $15.6 Billion Options Benchmark Ahead of AI Security Earnings
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. was down 0.48% at $191.02 as of 09:55:15 EDT on Monday. Options markets are pricing in a much bigger move after earnings on Wednesday, with implied volatility suggesting an 8% move in either direction.
NASDAQ:CRWD · Q2 FY2027 EARNINGS SETUP
CrowdStrike's $15.6B volatility test
U.S. regular session open
Market data: August 24, 2026
09:55:15 EDT · USD
Earnings: August 26 · after close
09:55:15 EDT · USD
Earnings: August 26 · after close
Share price
$191.02
▼ 0.48% intraday
Options move
±8%
By Friday, market estimate
Market value at risk
$15.6B
8% × $194.74B capitalization
Q2 revenue estimate
$1.44B
▲ 23% year over year
Options scenario versus the current quote
52-week position
Revenue and ARR bridge
ARR guidance midpoint: $5.794B, implying roughly $284M added sequentially.
Analyst recommendations
What the quarter must prove
| Metric | Benchmark | Investor read-through |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.436B-$1.442B | Demand conversion |
| ARR | $5.793B-$5.795B | Subscription momentum |
| Non-GAAP op. income | $345.6M-$349.1M | Operating leverage |
| Split-adjusted EPS | $0.29 consensus | Profit delivery |
Fresh analyst markers
| Desk | Call | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Jefferies · Aug. 24 | Buy | $230 |
| Morgan Stanley · Aug. 21 | Buy | $227 |
| Baird · Aug. 21 | Hold | $220 |
| Evercore · Aug. 20 | Hold | $205 |
| Benchmark · Aug. 18 | Buy | $250 |
Why the stock is moving: CrowdStrike is trading modestly lower with cybersecurity peers before Wednesday's report. The larger setup is event risk. Options imply an 8% swing as investors test whether AI-security demand can produce the roughly $284 million sequential ARR increase embedded in guidance.
Sources: CrowdStrike investor relations, Google Finance, Investopedia and analyst actions displayed by Google Finance. Options endpoints are market estimates, not forecasts. Market-value calculations use the $194.74B intraday capitalization observed August 24, 2026, 09:55:15 EDT.
UMC Shares Climb 6% on AI Foundry Investment Defying Market’s Semiconductor Downturn
HSINCHU, Taiwan, August 24, 2026, 19:34 CST – United Microelectronics Corp shares rose 6% after the company maintained its confidence in its AI foundry strategy despite a wider sector selloff affecting semiconductor stocks.
NYSE: UMC · investor dashboard
$2.85B rally against a falling chip tape
UMC's ADR gained 6.22% before Monday's open. The move priced in improving utilization and AI infrastructure optionality while major chip peers fell.
Premarket price
$19.48
▲ 6.22%
August 24, 2026, 06:00 EDT
Value added
$2.85B
Preliminary
Move applied to Friday's market value
Spread vs SOXX
+8.29 pts
SOXX: −2.07% at 07:05 EDT
Vs consensus target
+5.1%
Average target: $18.49
Five-session price path
Daily closes through August 21; August 24 is premarket at 06:00 EDT. Source: StockAnalysis.
Why the stock is moving
Taiwan-listed UMC rose 6.0% even as the Taiex fell 1.0%. U.S. investors then extended that company-specific move.
Operating proof
Q2 utilization reached 85%. Management guides to more than 90% in Q3.
AI option
The Singapore fab shipped its first mass-produced silicon-photonics wafers in July.
What is not known
UMC issued no fresh company filing alongside Monday's rally.
Premarket divergence
Times range from 06:00 to 07:16 EDT on August 24, 2026.
Operating momentum
Utilization
85% in Q2 · 79% in Q1 · Q3 guide above 90%
Revenue
NT$68.73B
+12.6% quarter on quarter
Gross margin
32.5%
+3.3 points quarter on quarter
Shipments
1.129M
12-inch wafer equivalents · +10.6% quarter on quarter
Analyst map
| View | Rating | Target | Date | Gap to $19.48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arete Research | Buy | Not disclosed | Aug. 10, 2026 | — |
| Bernstein SocGen | Sell | $13.60 | July 28, 2026 | −30.2% |
| BNP Paribas Exane | Hold | Not disclosed | March 31, 2026 | — |
| S&P Global poll | Sell consensus | $18.49 avg. | Aug. 24, 2026 | −5.1% |
Four-analyst consensus range: $10.80 to $33.76. Sources: StockAnalysis and Investing.com.
Bull case
Utilization above 90% and firm pricing would lift operating leverage. Silicon photonics adds an AI-linked growth path beyond mature-node logic.
Bear case
The ADR already trades above the average target. Premarket gains can fade, mature-node supply is cyclical, and Q2 net income included a NT$30.05 billion investment gain.
Alibaba Drops 9.8% as $10.2 Billion AI Spend Faces Market Scrutiny
Alibaba Group Holding Limited shares fell on Monday as the company set the price for a record HK$80 billion, or $10.2 billion, equity placement. The Hong Kong-listed stock ended the session at HK$111.00, dropping 9.76% at 16:00 HKT, after touching a session low of HK$110.10.
A
Investor dashboard
Alibaba Group
NYSE: BABA · HKEX: 9988 · Equity placement versus AI payback
Market status
Hong Kong closed · U.S. premarket active
Dashboard prepared August 24, 2026, 18:06 HKT / 12:06 CEST
Hong Kong closed · U.S. premarket active
Dashboard prepared August 24, 2026, 18:06 HKT / 12:06 CEST
HK close
HK$111.00
−9.76% · Aug 24, 16:00 HKT
ADR close
$119.34
−8.57% · Aug 21, 16:00 EDT
Equity raise
HK$80bn
$10.2bn gross proceeds
Dilution
~3.6%
710m new ordinary shares
Placement discount
8.4%
HK$112.70 vs HK$123.00
Quarterly capex
RMB67.7bn
+75% year on year
Hong Kong price: the AI premium reset
Daily closes, July 24–August 24, 2026. Last point: HK$111.00 at the August 24 close, 16:00 HKT.
Why the stock fell
The selloff is company-specific, not just a broad tech move.
Discount set the reference priceThe HK$112.70 placement price was 8.4% below Friday’s close.
Existing holders absorb dilutionThe issue expands share capital by roughly 3.6% before returns arrive.
Cash burn is already visibleJune-quarter free cash flow was negative RMB44.67 billion.
Demand softens the funding riskOrders reached about $28 billion, nearly three times the offering.
AI payback target: 2.5–3 yearsClose due Aug 26
June quarter: growth versus cash cost
Year-on-year change, except free cash flow. Source: Alibaba’s August 20 results.
The cloud engine is scaling. The group-level bill is scaling faster. That gap is the stock’s key test.
What the placement actually funds
HK$79.7bn net proceeds ≈ RMB68.3bn using exchange rates cited by Reuters.
| Reference pool | Coverage |
|---|---|
| One June-quarter capex bill | ~101% |
| RMB380bn three-year AI pledge | ~18% |
| RMB474.5bn cash/liquid investments | ~14% |
Street view stayed bullish—targets still diverge
Forty analysts tracked by S&P Global as of August 21, 2026: 30 Strong Buy, 8 Buy, 1 Hold, 1 Sell.
| Firm | Aug 21 target |
|---|---|
| J.P. Morgan | $210 ↑ |
| Barclays | $200 ↑ |
| Citi | $190 ↓ |
| Morgan Stanley | $180 = |
| Baird | $160 ↓ |
Consensus target: $189.20. That was 58.5% above Friday’s $119.34 ADR close, but it predates Monday’s full U.S. session.
Investor checklist
What can confirm—or break—the payback case.
1
Cloud margin
Can the 12% adjusted EBITA margin keep rising while infrastructure expands?
Can the 12% adjusted EBITA margin keep rising while infrastructure expands?
2
Cash conversion
Watch whether free cash flow recovers from the RMB44.67bn quarterly outflow.
Watch whether free cash flow recovers from the RMB44.67bn quarterly outflow.
3
Core commerce
Weak Chinese demand may limit the cash available to subsidize AI.
Weak Chinese demand may limit the cash available to subsidize AI.
4
Chip access
U.S. controls can raise compute costs or delay new capacity.
U.S. controls can raise compute costs or delay new capacity.
5
Further dilution
Another large raise would challenge the current payback timetable.
Another large raise would challenge the current payback timetable.
Wolfspeed Shares (WOLF) Drop 19% With 34% Break-Even Gap After AI Surge
Wolfspeed, Inc. shares dropped 19.0% last week to close at $25.76. The decline came after results revealed that surging AI demand has yet to fill the company’s factories. Revenue is currently around $202 million below management’s target for annual gross-margin breakeven.
NYSE: WOLF · Weekend Investor Dashboard
Wolfspeed
Doubled AI revenue meets a still-underfilled factory base
$25.76▼ 2.24% Friday
Official close · Aug. 21, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
Weekly move
−19.0%
$31.79 → $25.76
Post-earnings
−11.4%
Wednesday close to Friday close
After hours
$25.96
+0.78% · Aug. 21, 7:59 PM EDT
Revenue gap
33.7%
Q4 annualized vs. gross-margin breakeven
Five-session reversal
WOLF closeFour consecutive declines after Monday
Why the stock fell
1
Underutilization: adjusted gross margin remained negative 19.9%.
2
Flat near term: the $150 million Q1 midpoint barely changes the revenue pace.
3
AI base undisclosed: revenue doubled, but investors cannot see its dollar contribution.
!
Debt cost: $630 million of first-lien debt carries about 16% interest.
Path to gross-margin breakeven
Preliminary annualized comparison. Management says the exact breakeven level changes with product mix.
Q4 FY2026 operating scorecard
| Measure | Reading | Context |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $149.6M | −24.1% reported YoY |
| AI data-center revenue | >2× | FY2026 vs. FY2025 |
| Adjusted gross margin | −19.9% | +0.7 pt QoQ |
| Adjusted EBITDA | −$62M | Roughly flat |
| Operating cash flow | −$54M | Inventory aided by $41M |
| Capital spending | $5M | Down from $38M |
Liquidity and leverage
~$101M
Preliminary annual interest on $630 million at 16%. Refinancing is management's highest debt priority.
Analyst recommendation split
| Measure | Reading | Vs. $25.76 |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus | Hold | 13 analysts |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 4 / 5 / 4 | Near-even split |
| Average target | $16.00 | −37.9% |
| Newest target | $25.00 | −3.0% |
| Recent high target | $30.00 | +16.5% |
Monday and week-ahead checkpoints
Price floor
Friday's $25.44 low is the first momentum test.
AI conversion
Watch for dollar-sized orders, not another percentage-growth claim.
Funding
Any first-lien refinancing can materially reduce cash interest.
Sources: Wolfspeed Q4 release · Earnings-call transcript · Price history · Analyst consensus. Price data as of Aug. 21, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT; after-hours data as timestamped. Annualized revenue, gap and interest figures are preliminary calculations from cited inputs. Fresh-start accounting limits the Q4 year-over-year comparison.
Alibaba’s $10.2 Billion AI Share Sale Matches Quarterly Capex as BABA Dilution Looms
Alibaba Group Holding Limited is raising HK$80 billion, or US$10.2 billion, after an investment surge pushed quarterly capital spending near US$10 billion. The new equity offers a cash buffer for artificial intelligence. It also asks existing owners to absorb measurable dilution.
Alibaba BABA
AI funding versus dilution · weekend investor dashboard
NYSE:BABA
Market data: Aug. 21, 2026, 16:00 EDT
Friday close
$119.34
▼ 8.57% · NYSE close
Placement
$10.2B
710M shares at HK$112.70
Implied dilution
≈3.7%
Post-issue, using quarterly weighted share count
AI Cloud growth
+45%
June-quarter revenue
Five-session price path
Closing priceWeek: −3.61%Friday volume: 31.9M
Why the stock moved
Profit reset: net income fell 75% as investment accelerated.
Fresh supply: the new shares equal about 3.8% of the quarter's weighted basic count.
Growth offset: AI Cloud revenue rose 45% and adjusted EBITA rose 133%.
Capital equation · June quarter
MeasureAmountSignal
Capital expenditure$9.98B+75% YoY
Placement proceeds$10.2B≈1.0× capex
Free cash flow−$6.58BOutflow
Cash + liquid investments$69.93BPre-sale
Analyst range
Consensus
Strong Buy
Low$92.73−22.3%
Average$189.20+58.5%
High$240.19+101.3%
Sources: Alibaba Group June-quarter results and placement pricing; Reuters; Stock Analysis. Prices are historical and reflect the Aug. 21, 2026 NYSE close at 16:00 EDT. Placement USD values use the reported HKD/USD conversion. Markets were closed when this dashboard was prepared.
CleanSpark unveils $6.6 billion AI lease, representing 214% of market value, as shares slide despite Bitcoin surge
HENDERSON, Nevada, August 23, 2026, 12:34 PDT – CleanSpark disclosed a $6.6 billion artificial intelligence lease amounting to 214% of its market capitalization, but shares declined even as Bitcoin advanced.
NASDAQ:CLSK · WEEKEND INVESTOR DASHBOARD
Bitcoin surged. CleanSpark broke away.
Market closed · Equity price: Aug. 21, 2026, 4:00 p.m. EDT · Dashboard: Aug. 23, 2026, 9:34 p.m. CEST
$11.98
▼ 4.92% Friday
$12.02 after hours · 7:59 p.m. EDT
Weekly return
−0.91%
Aug. 14 to Aug. 21
Bitcoin Friday
+7.27%
$78,333.90 · Aug. 21, 23:59 UTC
Market value
$3.08B
At the Friday close
Short interest
29.84%
Of float · latest reported
Six-session price path
Thursday's 8.0% rebound was partly erased Friday, even as Bitcoin accelerated.
214%
lease / market cap
Sandersville valuation bridge
20-year revenue$6.60B
Average annual NOI$330M
Critical IT load175 MW
First deliveryQ4 2027
Latest quarter
Revenue$138.0M
Revenue growth−30.5%
Net income−$239.8M
Adjusted EBITDA−$113.0M
Cash + Bitcoin$1.02B
Technical pressure
50-day average$14.00
Price is 14.4% below
200-day average$12.62
Price is 5.1% below
RSI44.47
Wall Street
Strong Buy
Average target$23.81
Implied upside+98.75%
Target range$21–$27
Analysts13
Peer valuation and Friday tape
CleanSpark
4.53x · −4.9%
MARA
5.41x · +1.0%
Riot
11.03x · −5.5%
IREN
19.77x · −1.7%
Cipher
34.24x · −8.4%
Bars show trailing price-to-sales multiples, not expected returns.
Why the stock moved
Bitcoin beta was not enough.
Friday's selloff priced construction, funding and tenant-visibility risk into the AI-landlord story. The lease is large. Cash flow is delayed.
Bitcoin volatility29.8% short floatConstruction costTenant undisclosed
Week-ahead investor test
| Signal | What to watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Whether it holds the $77,000 area | Tests the mining earnings floor |
| CLSK relative strength | Recovery toward $12.62 | Would reclaim the 200-day average |
| IREN earnings | Aug. 27, after market close | Peer benchmark for AI-infrastructure valuations |
| Sandersville execution | Funding, equipment and construction milestones | Turns contract value into bankable cash flow |
Sources: CleanSpark investor releases; StockAnalysis/S&P Global Market Intelligence; Yahoo Finance; Reuters; Investing.com. Equity prices as of Aug. 21, 2026, 4:00 p.m. EDT. Bitcoin return uses the Aug. 21 UTC daily close. Contract ratios use CleanSpark's $3.08 billion market capitalization. Company forecasts and analyst targets are not guarantees.
Tempus AI soars 40% in a week, adding $3.7 billion—over double the Personalis acquisition amount
CHICAGO, August 23, 2026, 09:36 CDT Tempus AI jumped 40% this week, lifting its market value by $3.7 billion, which is more than two times what the company spent on acquiring Personalis.
Investor dashboard · NASDAQ:TEM
A $3.7B validation premium
Tempus AI · Precision medicine, diagnostics and healthcare data
Price: August 21, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
After-hours: 7:59 PM EDT · Fundamentals: Q2 2026
After-hours: 7:59 PM EDT · Fundamentals: Q2 2026
Friday close
$72.69
+9.06%
Weekly move
+39.52%
From $52.10
Market cap
$13.12B
+$3.72B estimated
Avg target
$62.64
-13.83% implied
Five-session close · catalyst arrived Wednesday
Closes: $51.64 · $49.36 · $61.25 · $66.65 · $72.69
Analyst target map
High$100
BTIG, Aug. 20$80
Current$72.69
Average$62.64
Median$59
Low$35
Consensus: Buy · 16 analysts
The deal-math signal
Estimated value added$3.72B
Personalis enterprise value$1.50B
Value added / deal value2.48×
Offer per PSNL share$16.25
Expected closingLate 2026 / early 2027
The market priced a platform-validation benefit larger than the acquisition itself. The calculation is preliminary.
Operating proof points
Q2 revenue$382.5M · +22%
Diagnostics$289.3M · +20%
Data & Applications$93.2M · +28%
Gross profit$246.5M · +26%
Adjusted EBITDA$8.0M
2026 revenue guide$1.595B-$1.605B
2026 adjusted EBITDA guide~$65M
Valuation and squeeze risk
Trailing price / sales9.16×
EV / 2026 guide midpoint8.59×
Trailing free cash flow-$263.2M
Short interest / float28.74%
RSI75.09
High short interest can magnify gains and reversals.
Why it moved · what comes next
- Moderna and Merck reported positive Phase 3 topline melanoma results.
- Personalis provides sequencing infrastructure tied to the program.
- BTIG raised its Tempus target to $80 on August 20.
- Watch for detailed trial data and new analyst targets.
- Personalis shareholder and regulatory approvals remain pending.
- No Tempus earnings release is scheduled for the coming week.
Sources: Tempus AI, Moderna, SEC filings and S&P Global Market Intelligence via StockAnalysis. Calculations use 180.43M shares outstanding.
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