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Stock Market Today 12.10.2025

LIVEMarkets rolling coverageStarted: October 12, 2025, 12:00 AM EDT

Fidelis Insurance Holdings (FIHL) Valuation Revisited: 14% Rally Signals Undervaluation

October 12, 2025, 4:38 AM EDT. Fidelis Insurance Holdings (NYSE: FIHL) has climbed about 14% in 3 months as revenue and net income show growth. The analysis points to a steady momentum and a fair value of $19.78 versus a recent close of $18.32, implying the stock is undervalued with upside potential. The narrative highlights data-driven underwriting, real-time repricing and AI-enabled efficiency as factors boosting margins and long‑term earnings power. However, risks linger: pricing pressure and potential catastrophe losses could temper gains. While consensus sees room for more upside, the outlook remains cautious, underscoring the need to scrutinize the assumptions behind the fair value and the balance between growth drivers and risks for Fidelis.

Nomad Foods: Undervalued at Fair Value of $19.83 Amid CEO Transition to Dominic Brisby

October 12, 2025, 3:35 AM EDT. Nomad Foods (NOMD) faces a pivotal transition as Dominic Brisby is named CEO for January 2026, following a period of steady growth under Stefan Descheemaeker. The stock has underperformed, with a 1-year total return of about -28.5% as leadership uncertainty and caution weigh on sentiment. Despite the headwinds, analysts peg a fair value of $19.83 a share, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to the current close near $12.14. The bull case hinges on continued innovation in higher-margin lines—snacking, protein bowls, chicken and natural fish products—driving revenue growth. Yet risks remain: persistent European market pressures and ongoing operational challenges could temper progress and invite further downgrades. The full narrative outlines whether investors should buy the dip or await clearer signs of execution.

China vows to stand firm against Trump's 100% tariff threat

October 12, 2025, 3:03 AM EDT. China signaled it would not back down in the face of a 100% tariff threat from President Trump, urging negotiations over threats. The Commerce Ministry said China’s stance is consistent: it does not want a tariff war but will not yield on its interests. The remarks come as Trump threatens to raise duties to 100% by Nov. 1 in response to Beijing’s limits on rare earths exports, a cornerstone for many products. The flare-up could imperil a possible Trump–Xi meeting and a fragile truce in the tariff battle, with both sides accusing the other of breaking the spirit of the talks. Beijing says export licenses will be for legitimate civilian use, while the U.S. has expanded export controls and imposed port fees on Chinese ships.

Tata Capital and LG Electronics India Debuts Test India's Hot IPO Market

October 12, 2025, 2:48 AM EDT. Two jumbo IPOsTata Capital Ltd. and LG Electronics India Ltd.—will begin trading in Mumbai, testing the strength of India's red-hot IPO market. Tata Capital's shadow-lending unit raised 155 billion rupees in the year's largest offering, while LG Electronics India Ltd.'s issue was the most oversubscribed of its size in 17 years. The listings underscore India's status as a global fundraising hub, driven by deep domestic liquidity and a growing retail base. October could mark the biggest month ever for IPO proceeds, potentially topping $5 billion, with 2025 activity expected to surpass last year’s $21 billion record. A strong debut could trigger a wave of jumbo listings, though weak demand might delay offerings. Demand remained robust, with LG bidding 54x and marquee global buyers participating.

Trust Co Bets Big on Bonds, Adds $15.4M to Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)

October 12, 2025, 2:35 AM EDT. Trust Co expanded its BND stake in Q3 2025, buying 209,679 shares for an estimated $15.44 million and lifting its post-trade holding to 928,922 shares worth about $69.08 million. The stake now makes up roughly 7.1% of reportable AUM, ranking BND as the fund’s second-largest holding. The move highlights demand for broad fixed-income exposure as rates stay elevated. BND tracks the broad U.S. investment-grade bond market, providing diversified exposure to Treasuries, corporates, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities with a low cost. For investors, the buy signals continued appetite for dependable, income-oriented bonds in a cautious market.

Autohome (NYSE: ATHM) Valuation Under Pressure: Is It Undervalued After Recent Share Decline?

October 12, 2025, 2:33 AM EDT. Autohome (NYSE: ATHM) has faced recent price pressure after a period of momentum, with a 1-year return of around -15% and mixed longer-term performance. The stock now trades near consensus targets, with a fair value of about $28.87 versus a last close near $26.50, implying modest undervaluation. Bulls point to an expanding O2O ecosystem, including 200+ stores, and AI-driven services that could lift topline growth and revenue stability. Risks include ongoing margin pressure and automotive-sector price wars that could cap long-term gains. Investors should weigh potential growth bets against near-term headwinds and consider alternative ideas with strong insider ownership.

TSMC Set for Strong Q3 FY2025 Earnings; Tariff Risks Overblown

October 12, 2025, 2:32 AM EDT. An equity research piece argues that TSMC (NYSE: TSM) is poised for robust Q3 FY2025 earnings, with the tariff threat viewed as overstated. The author highlights the company’s fundamentals, potential upside from improving chip demand, and resilience in the supply chain as key catalysts. Although the article includes a disclosure of a long TSMC position, it frames the risk as manageable and not likely to derail the near-term earnings trajectory. Investors should weigh macro headwinds and policy risk, but the central takeaway is that the tariff risk is overblown and the earnings beat could lift the stock.

Diwali Muhurat Trading 2025: Holidays, Timings, and Dalal Street Closure

October 12, 2025, 2:17 AM EDT. Markets will be shut on Oct 21-22 for Diwali and Balipratipada, with Dhanteras falling on Sunday and exchanges closed accordingly. The BSE and NSE will also remain closed, as will the MCX and currency derivatives for two days. Muhurat Trading 2025 is scheduled on Oct 21 from 1:45 pm to 2:45 pm, with trade modifications allowed until 2:55 pm; all trades during the session carry settlement obligations. This one-hour window marks the start of Samvat 2082 and spans multiple segments—equities, commodity derivatives, currency derivatives, futures & options, and SLB. Historically, Muhurat trading tends to show gains despite lower volumes. Investors should verify details with certified advisors before trading, as this note is for educational purposes only.

China warns of countermeasures if Trump pushes 100% tariff threat

October 12, 2025, 2:00 AM EDT. Beijing warned of countermeasures if the US proceeds with a 100% tariff on Chinese goods after China’s own export controls on rare earths. The threat from Washington comes as traders monitor the risk to global supply chains and the stalled progress in bilateral talks. A Ministry of Commerce spokesperson said China does not want a tariff war but is not afraid to respond if the US acts unilaterally, urging Washington to honor the Xi-Trump consensus and maintain negotiation gains. The move to curb rare earth exports heightens pressure on tech industries, while the US expands controls to include subsidiaries and imposes port fees. The situation remains fluid.

China defends rare-earth export curbs as U.S. tariffs slam markets ahead of Trump–Xi talks

October 12, 2025, 1:00 AM EDT. China defends its new rare earth export controls as a legitimate measure under international law, saying licenses will be required only for eligible items and that the impact on supply chains will be limited. The controls broaden to cover related IP and technologies and emphasize export licenses for products using Chinese refining or magnet-making tech. The U.S. hit back with 100% tariffs on imports from China and added export controls on critical software, as talks around a Trump–Xi meeting loom. Markets slumped, with roughly $2 trillion in market value wiped, as investors fear a broader tech and trade confrontation. Europe’s business group warns of licensing backlogs adding supply-chain complexity. Analysts say risk sentiment stays fragile until concrete steps emerge.

China stands firm against Trump's 100% tariff threat, urges dialogue

October 12, 2025, 12:59 AM EDT. China’s Commerce Ministry said it would not back down in the face of President Trump’s 100% tariff threat, urging negotiations rather than threats. The stance comes after Trump threatened to raise import taxes to that level by November 1 in response to Beijing’s rare earths restrictions. The exchange risks derailing a potential meeting between Xi Jinping and Trump and jolting the existing tariff truce. Both sides accuse each other of violating the truce as they escalate. Beijing’s measures require licenses for exports containing rare earth minerals, which power jets, electronics, and magnets, while Washington expands export controls and ports fees on Chinese ships. The showdown highlights how rare earths leverage and supply chains shape the broader market outlook.

China stands firm against Trump's 100% tariff threat as trade tensions flare

October 12, 2025, 12:58 AM EDT. Beijing signaled it will not back down from a potential 100% tariff showdown with Washington, urging negotiations over threats. The Commerce Ministry stated China does not want a tariff war but won’t be afraid of one, and warned that relentless tariff threats are not a constructive path. The statements followed Trump’s pledge to raise U.S. taxes on Chinese imports by Nov. 1 in response to China’s rare earths restrictions, which require licenses for exports containing even trace amounts of rare earths. The dispute threatens to derail a possible Trump-Xi meeting and continues a tariff war that has already seen duties surpass 100%. China remains a dominant supplier of rare earths, a cornerstone for defense and tech products; both sides accuse the other of breaching the truce.

Douglas Lane Raises Thermo Fisher Stake: Is TMO a Buy?

October 12, 2025, 12:42 AM EDT. Douglas Lane & Associates disclosed an addition of 16,745 Thermo Fisher Scientific shares, valued at about $7.79 million, raising its stake to 216,276 shares worth roughly $104.9 million as of September 30, 2025. The new position makes Thermo Fisher about 1.5% of the fund's assets under management (AUM), keeping it outside the top five holdings. Post-trade top holdings include NVDA, GOOG, JPM, MSFT, and QCOM, per the SEC filing. Thermo Fisher traded around $534.68 on Oct 9, 2025, and has fallen about 12% over the prior year, with TTM revenue of $43.21B, net income of $6.58B, and a dividend yield of 0.32%. Does this stake shift the case for TMO as a long-term buy, or is it portfolio rebalancing? Investors should do their own due diligence.

Crypto Bloodbath Wipes Out Billions, Yet Signs of Stabilization Emerge

October 12, 2025, 12:18 AM EDT. Crypto markets staged a dramatic decline, wiping out billions in value as Bitcoin slipped under $110,000 and Ethereum and other tokens fell more than 20% in hours. Heavily leveraged traders faced forced liquidations, triggering a cascading downturn that underlined crypto’s 24/7 volatility. Coinbase lost about half its value over the past week, underscoring the sector’s fragility. Still, some analysts see early signs of stabilization as volatility cools and risk appetite steadies. CME Group chief Terry Duffy weighs in, while crypto-forensic expert Joshua Duckett estimates total losses in the billions due to liquidations. The drop came after new tariffs on Chinese tech imports raised macro uncertainty and helped roil markets alongside crypto-specific dynamics.

CRH (NYSE: CRH) Valuation Under Spotlight After Buyback and Rising Infrastructure Demand

October 12, 2025, 12:17 AM EDT. CRH (NYSE: CRH) has unveiled a sizable share buyback, signaling confidence in its balance sheet and a commitment to shareholder value. The move comes as the company benefits from robust infrastructure demand, the $2.1 billion Eco Material acquisition in North America, and ongoing capital investments tied to the AI-enabled data-center boom. Patrick Decker's appointment to the board adds momentum. The stock’s momentum is notable: 90-day return about 22.3% and 1-year TSR around 27.9%. Bulls argue the shares are undervalued, with a fair value estimate of $129.86 vs. $116.03, supported by margin improvements and sector momentum. Trailing multiples sit around 23.8x vs. 15.6x industry, implying a premium. Risks include variable U.S. infrastructure funding and acquisition integration.

Goldman Sachs Picks Superior IPO Stock Among 2 New Listings: Klarna Leads

October 12, 2025, 12:15 AM EDT. Two new IPOs drew attention in 3Q25, the strongest quarter for listings since 2021, with 60 IPOs raising $14.6 billion. Goldman Sachs analysts have been weighing the recent float activity, and among the two newly public names, Klarna Group (KLAR) is highlighted as Goldman’s preferred buy. Klarna, a Swedish online payments and buy now, pay later company, reports 111 million customers and 790,000 merchants across 26 countries, processing about $112 billion in GMV. Its NYSE debut priced at $40 and opened near $52, helping raise $1.37 billion for the company and selling shareholders (Klarna kept $222 million). About a month post-IPO, Klarna commands a market cap near $15 billion. Investors watch Goldman’s take as a snapshot of early trading dynamics.

Dogecoin Price Prediction: Whale Withdrawals, Exchange Liquidity Waning Signal Possible Rally

October 12, 2025, 12:14 AM EDT. Dogecoin (DOGE) briefly slid to $0.11 but closed near $0.1932 as daily volume jumped roughly 300% to $12B. The move comes as whales pull funds from exchanges, about $149M in 24 hours, softening selling pressure while signaling conviction in a rebound. Institutional interest is mounting, with the 21Shares DOGE ETF nearing launch on the DTCC pre-launch list. A move above $0.24 the near-term resistance and the 50-day SMA could trigger a run of higher lows and target the $0.30 region, potentially paving the way to $1 if demand returns. Caution stays due to volatility, but the meme-coin setup remains in focus as rivals lose steam and MAXI (Maxi Doge) presales draw attention.

Sarasin Expands Kimberly-Clark Stake with 963,978-Share Buy in Q3 2025

October 12, 2025, 12:13 AM EDT. Sarasin & Partners LLP boosted its Kimberly-Clark position by 963,978 shares in the September-quarter, a trade valued at about $119.87 million. The total KMB stake now stands at 2,048,544 shares worth roughly $251.27 million as of 9/30/2025, equal to about 2.47% of AUM and still outside Sarasin’s top five holdings. As of 10/09/2025, KMB traded near $119.55, down 15.9% year over year and lagging the S&P 500 by about 29 percentage points over the period. The company carries a 4.22% dividend yield (TTM).

Wabtec Valuation Under Scrutiny After Revenue Miss Amid Sector Momentum (NYSE: WAB)

October 12, 2025, 12:12 AM EDT. Wabtec (WAB) posted a quarterly revenue miss of about 2.5% and saw a 7.8% pullback, underscoring near-term demand and integration headwinds even as automation and decarbonization trends brighten the rail-industry backdrop. The stock still shows long-run momentum, with a 1-year return of about 2.13% and a 3-year gain near 131%. A market narrative argues the stock is undervalued, citing a fair value around $226.12 versus a last close near $191.03, and a valuation multiple of 28.4x vs. industry peers. Key risks include weakening North American demand and a shrinking freight backlog, which could temper upside unless growth drivers accelerate.

Wealth Oklahoma Initiates Allison Transmission Stake; Is ALSN a Buy?

October 12, 2025, 12:10 AM EDT. Wealth Oklahoma, formerly Stolper Co, disclosed a new stake in Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN): 75,606 shares worth about $6.4 million as of Q3 2025, representing roughly 1.9% of its 13F assets. The position is not among Wealth Oklahoma’s top five holdings. As of Oct 9, 2025, ALSN traded at $81.02, down 18.4% YoY and about 35% below its 52‑week high. Trailing 12‑month revenue was $3.2B with net income of $762M; dividend yield around 1.3%. Wealth Oklahoma’s current top holdings include BRK-B, JPM, AAPL, GOOGL, and COF. The move follows the 2025 Stolper merger. Investors should weigh ALSN’s exposure to commercial/defense markets against valuation and how this new stake fits the fund’s risk/return goals.

PepsiCo Emerges as the Dividend King to Buy Through 2025: Diversification and High Yield

October 12, 2025, 12:09 AM EDT. Among Dividend Kings, PepsiCo (PEP) stands out as a diversified food and beverage player with a portfolio that extends well beyond its flagship soda. From Gatorade and Mountain Dew to Frito-Lay snacks and Quaker Oats, the company offers resilience when a single category slows. Despite pricing pressure and softer volumes squeezing margins, PepsiCo’s strategy aims to lift demand via larger packs and higher-per-bag content, including more chips per bag and revised variety packs. While pure pricing power can be stronger at peers like Coca-Cola, PepsiCo’s breadth across snacks and beverages supports sustainable cash flow and a safe, growing dividend through 2025. It’s a compelling high-yield pick for cautious buyers.

Energy Transfer: High-Yield Pipeline Stock Down 20% Offers Buy & Hold Potential

October 12, 2025, 12:08 AM EDT. Energy Transfer (ET) offers a high-yield pipeline story with a largely fee-based EBITDA profile and strong distribution coverage. Despite a ~20% pullback, the stock yields near 8%, supported by a robust distributable cash flow that covers the payout by more than 2x. The balance sheet has improved since the 2020 cut, with leverage down and a payout restored toward pre-cut levels. Management aims for 3-5% annual distribution growth, underpinned by steady fee-based cash flow and new projects. The company is moving back into growth, planning about $5 billion of capex this year to expand its vast, integrated network from the Permian to the Marcellus and Gulf Coast. Its reliance on take-or-pay contracts adds revenue visibility in all energy cycles.

The Secret to Wealth Building? These 3 Dividend Kings You Can Buy and Hold Forever

October 12, 2025, 12:07 AM EDT. Three Dividend Kings offer long-running dividend growth for buy-and-hold investors. Coca-Cola (KO) has boosted its payout for 63 years and is a Buffett favorite, trading with attractive valuation multiples and a ~3.1% yield. Federal Realty (FRT), a REIT with 58 consecutive annual increases, stands out for its tax-efficient income and nearly 4.7% yield. Nucor (NUE) has raised its dividend for 52 years, blending steady cash returns with exposure to a cyclical steel demand recovery. The article argues for the two-view lens: as reliable dividend sources and as indicators of durable business models. For patient investors, these names illustrate Warren Buffett's buy-and-hold philosophy—own high-quality franchises, let compounding work, and harvest steady dividend growth over time.

Could Buying Amazon Stock Today Set You Up For Life?

October 12, 2025, 12:06 AM EDT. Amazon stands as a leader in e-commerce and cloud computing. If you’d invested $1,000 twenty years ago, you’d be far ahead; on the first day of trading (May 15, 1997) that same amount would have grown into millions. Today, Prime membership tops 200 million globally (about 180 million in the US). Amazon accounts for roughly 38% of US e-commerce and continues expanding with a regional fulfillment network, faster delivery, and robotics that aim to cut costs. In cloud, AWS leads the pack, adding AI services and generating a sizable share of operating income, often more than half. Yet the article notes growth cooled when inflation rose, signaling ongoing questions about future performance.

2 Growth Stocks That Could Skyrocket in 2026 and Beyond

October 12, 2025, 12:05 AM EDT. Two growth stocks to watch: DraftKings and e.l.f. Beauty. DraftKings has faced a pullback as some fear prediction markets could threaten growth, but the core business remains strong: last quarter revenue rose 37% to $1.5B, and adjusted EBITDA jumped 134% to $301M, with operating leverage emerging as promotion spend slows. With a forward P/E around 16.7x for 2026, the stock looks cheap for a fast-growing, regulated-licensing leader; a favorable court ruling or the expansion of its own prediction markets could spark a sharp rally. ELF benefits from the Rhode acquisition, giving it access to a fast-growing brand, a large retail and manufacturing footprint, and potential to unlock new channels for continued growth.

Ferrari Slides 16% After EV Reveal as €4.7B Electrification Push Looms

October 12, 2025, 12:04 AM EDT. Ferrari (NYSE: RACE) shares plunged nearly 16% on Thursday after a high‑gloss rollout of its first full‑electric supercar failed to lift sentiment. The company outlined a bold path: a €4.7 billion electrification push through 2030 and BEVs making up about 20% of sales by decade’s end. Ferrari also raised its 2025 guidance, even as its longer‑term targets looked cooler than some investors expected. The move comes despite a durable brand moat and a substantial hybrid mix. Competitors such as Lamborghini, Porsche, and Maserati are dialing back BEV plans, underscoring execution risk in a young luxury EV category. The takeaway for investors: can Ferrari convert the EV push into durable margins while navigating a softer rival EV market?

This “ALWAYS” Ends in a Stock Market Crash (IT’S TOO LATE)
Cryptocurrency Market Update: October 2025 Rally Ends with Tariff-Driven Selloff
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Cryptocurrency Market Update: October 2025 Rally Ends with Tariff-Driven Selloff

Stock Market Today

  • Fidelis Insurance Holdings (FIHL) Valuation Revisited: 14% Rally Signals Undervaluation
    October 12, 2025, 4:38 AM EDT. Fidelis Insurance Holdings (NYSE: FIHL) has climbed about 14% in 3 months as revenue and net income show growth. The analysis points to a steady momentum and a fair value of $19.78 versus a recent close of $18.32, implying the stock is undervalued with upside potential. The narrative highlights data-driven underwriting, real-time repricing and AI-enabled efficiency as factors boosting margins and long‑term earnings power. However, risks linger: pricing pressure and potential catastrophe losses could temper gains. While consensus sees room for more upside, the outlook remains cautious, underscoring the need to scrutinize the assumptions behind the fair value and the balance between growth drivers and risks for Fidelis.
  • Nomad Foods: Undervalued at Fair Value of $19.83 Amid CEO Transition to Dominic Brisby
    October 12, 2025, 3:35 AM EDT. Nomad Foods (NOMD) faces a pivotal transition as Dominic Brisby is named CEO for January 2026, following a period of steady growth under Stefan Descheemaeker. The stock has underperformed, with a 1-year total return of about -28.5% as leadership uncertainty and caution weigh on sentiment. Despite the headwinds, analysts peg a fair value of $19.83 a share, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to the current close near $12.14. The bull case hinges on continued innovation in higher-margin lines—snacking, protein bowls, chicken and natural fish products—driving revenue growth. Yet risks remain: persistent European market pressures and ongoing operational challenges could temper progress and invite further downgrades. The full narrative outlines whether investors should buy the dip or await clearer signs of execution.
  • China vows to stand firm against Trump's 100% tariff threat
    October 12, 2025, 3:03 AM EDT. China signaled it would not back down in the face of a 100% tariff threat from President Trump, urging negotiations over threats. The Commerce Ministry said China’s stance is consistent: it does not want a tariff war but will not yield on its interests. The remarks come as Trump threatens to raise duties to 100% by Nov. 1 in response to Beijing’s limits on rare earths exports, a cornerstone for many products. The flare-up could imperil a possible Trump–Xi meeting and a fragile truce in the tariff battle, with both sides accusing the other of breaking the spirit of the talks. Beijing says export licenses will be for legitimate civilian use, while the U.S. has expanded export controls and imposed port fees on Chinese ships.
  • Tata Capital and LG Electronics India Debuts Test India's Hot IPO Market
    October 12, 2025, 2:48 AM EDT. Two jumbo IPOsTata Capital Ltd. and LG Electronics India Ltd.—will begin trading in Mumbai, testing the strength of India's red-hot IPO market. Tata Capital's shadow-lending unit raised 155 billion rupees in the year's largest offering, while LG Electronics India Ltd.'s issue was the most oversubscribed of its size in 17 years. The listings underscore India's status as a global fundraising hub, driven by deep domestic liquidity and a growing retail base. October could mark the biggest month ever for IPO proceeds, potentially topping $5 billion, with 2025 activity expected to surpass last year’s $21 billion record. A strong debut could trigger a wave of jumbo listings, though weak demand might delay offerings. Demand remained robust, with LG bidding 54x and marquee global buyers participating.
  • Trust Co Bets Big on Bonds, Adds $15.4M to Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)
    October 12, 2025, 2:35 AM EDT. Trust Co expanded its BND stake in Q3 2025, buying 209,679 shares for an estimated $15.44 million and lifting its post-trade holding to 928,922 shares worth about $69.08 million. The stake now makes up roughly 7.1% of reportable AUM, ranking BND as the fund’s second-largest holding. The move highlights demand for broad fixed-income exposure as rates stay elevated. BND tracks the broad U.S. investment-grade bond market, providing diversified exposure to Treasuries, corporates, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities with a low cost. For investors, the buy signals continued appetite for dependable, income-oriented bonds in a cautious market.
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