NEW YORK, December 30, 2025, 13:55 ET — Regular session.
- Wells Fargo shares were lower in afternoon trade, tracking a soft patch in U.S. financial stocks.
- Investors were positioning ahead of Federal Reserve meeting minutes due later Tuesday.
- Focus is shifting to rate expectations for 2026 and the bank’s next earnings update in mid-January.
Wells Fargo & Company shares slipped on Tuesday as U.S. financial stocks eased in holiday-thin trading ahead of the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes. At 1:55 p.m. ET, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) was down about 0.4% at $94.15, after trading between $94.00 and $95.00 on the session. 1
The move matters because bank stocks tend to key off interest-rate expectations. Rates drive net interest income — the spread between what banks earn on loans and what they pay on deposits — and even small changes in that spread can swing earnings forecasts.
Trading conditions are amplifying the sensitivity. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.134%, and investors braced for clues from the Fed minutes on how policymakers viewed the path for cuts in 2026. “There might be a little bit more attention paid … given the several dissents in the December meeting,” Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird, said. 2
Big-bank peers also traded lower, underscoring the sector tone. JPMorgan Chase fell about 0.1%, Bank of America slid about 0.3%, and Citigroup dropped about 1.0% in afternoon trading. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund was down about 0.2%, while bank-focused ETFs lagged, with the SPDR S&P Bank ETF off about 0.5% and the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF down about 0.6%.
Markets have been choppy in year-end conditions, with investors weighing a pullback in parts of the market and rotating positioning into the final sessions of 2025. Reuters reported that U.S. stocks were muted in thin trading, with financials among the sectors dragging. 1
In rates, investors have been recalibrating the outlook after a year of easing. The Fed cut rates by 75 basis points in 2025 — a basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point — and traders were pricing about 60 basis points of rate cuts in 2026 as of Monday, a Reuters report showed. 3
For banks, the direction of cuts matters as much as the pace. Faster cuts can pressure lending margins if deposit costs do not fall as quickly, while slower cuts can keep funding costs higher for longer. Credit trends — whether consumers and businesses keep up with payments as borrowing costs reset — remain the other key swing factor.
Investors will also watch whether the Fed minutes signal concern about growth or inflation persistence. Any hint that policymakers are split on the next move can ripple quickly through Treasury yields and, by extension, bank valuations.
Beyond the Fed, Wells Fargo’s next scheduled catalyst is earnings. The bank’s investor relations calendar lists its expected fourth-quarter 2025 earnings release date as Jan. 14, 2026. 4
Between now and then, traders will focus on whether deposit competition is easing, how loan growth is tracking into 2026, and whether credit-loss provisions stay contained. Expenses and fee businesses will also be in focus as investors look for signs that the bank can hold efficiency gains even if rate tailwinds fade.
With fewer participants at desks into the holiday, investors said they expect low liquidity to keep intraday moves erratic. That can leave stocks like Wells Fargo more exposed to macro headlines than to company-specific developments on a given day.
For now, Wells Fargo is trading in line with the rate-driven mood in financials. The next immediate test comes later Tuesday, when the Fed minutes hit the tape, followed by the bank’s mid-January results and outlook.
