Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) Shares Rise 7% as $128 Billion AI Deals Spotlight Funding Concerns

Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) Shares Rise 7% as $128 Billion AI Deals Spotlight Funding Concerns

NEW YORK, August 4, 2026, 15:10 EDT — U.S. markets have opened.

Shares of Broadcom climbed 7.1% to $420.12 during afternoon trade. Based on May’s share count, this suggests an equity-value increase of $132.7 billion. The figure remains an early estimate.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:AVGO

The increase for the day surpassed Broadcom’s total $128.1 billion purchase-commitment plan. It was 8.3 times higher than management’s $16 billion AI revenue forecast for the fiscal third quarter.

The comparison serves as a size check, not as an assessment of valuation. It indicates that investors expect demand to exceed a single quarter. Broadcom is required to fulfill significant inventory obligations and provide financing for customers.

Semiconductor stocks saw gains across the board on Tuesday, but performance varied significantly.

CompanyPrice at about 14:55 EDTDay move
Broadcom Inc. $420.12up 7.1%
Marvell Technology Inc. $220.27increased 13.7%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. $527.99rose 8.9%
NVIDIA Corp. $212.84gained 3.0%

Prices reflect intraday values.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose roughly 5.8%. Eric Parnell, chief market strategist at Great Valley Advisor Group, said the “AI earnings performance has been fantastic.” He raised doubts about whether such momentum could continue. Reuters

The financing debate resurfaced on Tuesday. The Financial Times reported on an approximately $200 billion Google-backed network supporting Anthropic. Around $150 billion is allocated for chip acquisitions. A private credit structure is used to acquire hardware and lease it back to Anthropic.

Google, owned by Alphabet Inc. , relies on TPUs built in collaboration with Broadcom. According to the Financial Times, Broadcom has pledged $128 billion for 3.5 gigawatts of hardware until 2028.

In a June filing, Broadcom disclosed $128.11 billion in purchase commitments. These commitments are legally binding and unconditional, with most relating to inventory.

Fiscal yearPurchase commitmentsShare of total
2026 remainder$0.022 billion0.02%
2027$55.214 billion43.1%
2028$72.870 billion56.9%
2029$0.004 billionLess than 0.01%
Sum$128.110 billion100.0%

Figures are based on data from Broadcom’s filing.

The projected increase in sales is sharp. AI revenue is expected to rise at a pace that outstrips the rest of the company’s business.

MetricQ2 FY2026 actualQ3 guidance or derivedSequential change
Total revenue$22.187 billionRoughly $29.400 billion+32.5%
AI semiconductor revenue$10.800 billion$16.000 billion+48.1%
Other revenue, derived$11.387 billion$13.400 billion+17.7%
AI share of total revenue48.7%54.4%+5.7 points

Other revenue is calculated by subtracting AI semiconductor revenue from total revenue. Q3 numbers are based on management’s approximate outlook.

Chief Executive Hock Tan said in June that “the momentum continues.” He predicted that AI semiconductor revenue would rise more than 200% from a year ago. PR Newswire

The bulk of purchase commitments are due in fiscal 2027 and 2028, representing 77.8% of total remaining performance obligations for the company. Broadcom’s backlog reached $164.6 billion and features a custom-AI contract extending over multiple years. Around 30% is projected to be recognized within the next 12 months.

Investor scale checkAmountRelative scale
Initial equity value included Tuesday$132.7 billion8.3 times Q3 AI outlook
Order commitments$128.1 billion4.4 times Q3 total outlook
Outstanding performance obligations$164.6 billion5.6 times Q3 total outlook
Top lease backstop$29.0 billion1.5 times cash; 2.8 times Q2 free cash flow

These figures are for scale comparison purposes and are not accounting or valuation ratios. The calculations are based on Broadcom’s stated guidance, the share count from May, and price changes from Tuesday.

Broadcom revealed the five-year lease backstop in June. The highest possible exposure totals $29 billion as AI racks are installed. This amount decreases as the client pays. This does not represent an immediate loss. Broadcom has the option to take over leases or resell racks if there is a default.

Broadcom is set to release its fiscal third-quarter results after market close on September 2. Investors will scrutinize the $16 billion AI goal in relation to cash generation. The company disclosed the results date on Monday.

A distinct legal matter is still unresolved. On August 3, Broadcom failed in its attempt to halt an EU request for documents. The case is focused on U.S. legal documents in the VMware antitrust investigation.

Risks: Broadcom warns the AI surge could be temporary. Its five biggest clients accounted for roughly 45% of revenue in the first half. Relying on deferred financing puts pressure on cash flow and increases default risk.

For investors, the focus on September’s cash conversion is now equally important as top-line AI sales. Tuesday’s market rally has heightened expectations.

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Further analysis

Is there still significant potential after Tuesday’s 7% surge?
Broadcom was up 7.2% during Tuesday afternoon trading, last seen near $420.43. The stock remains 15% below its June peak of $495. FactSet’s average price target stands at $529.43, suggesting about 26% potential upside. There are 51 Buy or Overweight ratings and four Holds. Targets range from $215.88 to $675, indicating higher than usual forecast dispersion. The Wall Street Journal
Will the fiscal third-quarter results meet expectations later today?
Broadcom projects revenue of $29.4 billion, representing an 84% annual increase. The company anticipates $16.0 billion in AI semiconductor sales, exceeding 200% growth. That AI figure is below Visible Alpha’s projection of $16.36 billion. Shares declined over 14% after a minor revenue miss in June. FactSet forecasts adjusted EPS of $3.21 for Broadcom’s results due September 2. Broadcom Investors
What is the reliability of Broadcom’s $100 billion AI target for 2027?
Reaching the target demands nearly a fivefold increase from the $20.2 billion posted in fiscal 2025. Google’s custom-chip contract lasts until 2031. Meta’s expanded deal continues through 2029. Anthropic contributes around 3.5 gigawatts starting in 2027. Management now forecasts over 10 gigawatts of AI-chip deliveries in 2027. The main uncertainty remains the timing of deployment. Reuters
Is the projected 2027 surge reflected in the current valuation?
Broadcom is currently valued at $420.43, which corresponds to a price nearly 36 times the fiscal 2026 consensus EPS. According to FactSet, the stock is priced about 22 times expected fiscal 2027 EPS. These projections indicate next year's adjusted EPS could rise by around 69%. Second-quarter free cash flow stood at $10.26 billion, representing 46% of revenue. The price-to-earnings ratio narrows significantly only following the anticipated jump in earnings. The Wall Street Journal
What are the most significant quantifiable risks associated with the AI ramp-up?
About 45% of Broadcom’s revenue in the first half came from its five largest customers. Around 95% of the wafers produced for Broadcom by subcontractors originated from TSMC. Broadcom reported $128.11 billion in binding purchase obligations, with most scheduled for 2027–2028. In addition, the company guaranteed up to $29 billion in five-year AI-rack leases, though this figure represents maximum potential exposure, not an anticipated loss. Customer payments lower this exposure. SEC

Mateusz Kaczmarek is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global market developments. A graduate of the Poznań University of Economics and Business, he previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. His reporting focuses on technology companies, market trends and the forces shaping global investment markets. Follow Mateusz Kaczmarek on Google News.

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