Nvidia Shares Drop 4.6%, Wiping Out $251 Billion After Margin Outlook Cools Earnings Surge

Nvidia Shares Drop 4.6%, Wiping Out $251 Billion After Margin Outlook Cools Earnings Surge

SANTA CLARA, California, August 29, 2026, 10:01 (EDT). Nvidia (NVDA) stock declined 4.6%, cutting $251 billion from its market capitalization as a revised margin forecast reined in gains following its earnings rally.

  • Nvidia dropped 4.57% on Friday, wiping out approximately $251 billion in market capitalization.
  • The number of shares traded totaled 195.1 million, exceeding the 65-day average by 37%.
  • Quarterly revenue saw a twofold increase, while the gross-margin midpoint for the following quarter is down by 100 basis points.

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares dropped 4.57% to close at $217.55 on Friday, wiping out around $251 billion from the chipmaker’s market capitalization.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:NVDA

The pullback came after Nvidia surged 8.74% post-earnings on Thursday. Despite this, Nvidia closed the two sessions up 3.76%, increasing its market value by roughly $190 billion.

The mixed response highlights how little room Nvidia has left to exceed expectations. While revenue growth is still exceptional, investors are now scrutinising the sustainability of its profits.

Revenue for the second quarter increased by 106% to $96.22 billion. Data-center revenue totaled $89.0 billion, accounting for 92.5% of overall sales Nvidia results.

MetricQ2 FY2027 actualQ3 FY2027 guideInvestor read-through
Revenue$96.22 billion$108 billion, ±2%Midpoint suggests 12.2% quarter-on-quarter growth
GAAP gross margin75.0%74.0%, ±0.5 pointMidpoint indicates a sequential drop of 100 basis points
GAAP operating expense$8.41 billion$9.2 billionSequential growth estimated at 9.4%
China data-center computeNot separately disclosedNo revenue assumedUpside possible, subject to policy factors

The $108 billion revenue midpoint would set a new record for the quarter. However, the 74% margin midpoint is one percentage point lower than the most recent figure.

This is significant given Nvidia’s current valuation of $5.24 trillion. Its stock is priced at 27.5 times its trailing earnings and roughly 13.6 times its annualized revenue for the second quarter.

Trading volume on Friday totaled 195.1 million shares, 36.8% higher than the 65-day average and underscoring strong participation in the reversal market data.

Large technology firms continue to drive demand, with Reuters projecting their AI infrastructure spending to top $730 billion this year, compared with $400 billion previously Reuters.

Chief Executive Jensen Huang stated that AI has entered a pivotal phase. Nvidia returned $26 billion to shareholders and kept $99 billion available for share repurchases.

Wall Street maintains a positive view. In a recent survey of 36 analysts, 98% recommend the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy, supporting a Buy consensus analyst survey.

Risks: The guide does not factor in any compute revenue from China data centers. Increased operating expenses, reduced margins, reliance on a small number of customers, and regulatory limitations may offset accelerated unit expansion.

The earnings surprise did not undermine the AI investment thesis. Friday’s drop instead highlighted a harder question: how long can growth persist as incremental margins narrow?

Nvidia investor dashboard

Market data: August 28, 2026, 16:00 EDT · Updated August 29, 2026, 10:01 EDT

Friday close
$217.55
−4.57%
Estimated value erased
$251B
$10.43 × 24.10B shares
Volume
195.1M
1.37× 65-day average
Data-center mix
92.5%
$89.0B of $96.22B

Two-session price path

Wed $209.66Thu $227.98Fri $217.55+8.74%−4.57%

Two-session return: +3.76%, equal to roughly $190B of net market-value gain.

Growth versus margin

MetricQ2 FY26Q2 FY27Q3 FY27 guide
Revenue$46.74B$96.22B$108B ±2%
GAAP gross margin72.4%75.0%74.0% ±0.5pt
GAAP opex$5.43B$8.41B$9.2B

Revenue doubled year over year, while the guided margin midpoint falls 100 basis points sequentially.

Valuation and positioning

Market capitalization$5.24T
Trailing P/E27.5×
Annualized Q2 sales multiple13.6×
52-week range$164.07–$236.54

Friday's close sat 74% through the 52-week range.

Analyst and demand signals

Buy

Consensus from 36 analysts: 56% Strong Buy, 42% Buy and 3% Hold.

Major technology companies are expected to spend more than $730B on AI infrastructure this year, versus $400B last year.

What can move the stock next

SignalCurrent readingInvestor sensitivity
China data-center computeNo Q3 revenue assumedPolicy relief could add upside; restrictions remain a risk
Gross margin74% Q3 midpointAnother decline would challenge premium expectations
Operating expense$9.2B guideGrowth must keep outrunning cost expansion
Guarantee exposure$3.5B maximumLand, power and shell commitments raise execution exposure

Investor bridge

Nvidia lost about $251B on Friday and surrendered roughly half of Thursday's earnings rally. The business still offers 106% revenue growth, but a 74% margin guide and a 13.6× annualized sales run-rate leave little room for ordinary execution.

Sources: Nvidia, Reuters, WSJ market data and Public analyst survey. Calculations use reported figures and may differ from vendor forward estimates.

Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments affecting global markets. He graduated from Humboldt University of Berlin and worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist.

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