AT&T (NYSE:T) target spread grows as Starlink cuts into dividend story
7 July 2026
2 mins read

AT&T (NYSE:T) target spread grows as Starlink cuts into dividend story

NEW YORK, July 7, 2026, 06:04 EDT

  • AT&T Inc. traded at $20.58 ahead of the main NYSE session, edging up 0.1%. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust added 0.8%.
  • Wall Street’s mean price target for AT&T is $30.39, which points to around 48% upside—bigger than the upside analysts see for Verizon or T-Mobile among peers listed below.
  • KeyBanc’s Brandon Nispel said the Starlink sentiment drag on the sector “feels overdone.” BofA’s Michael Funk upgraded T-Mobile but left AT&T unchanged. Barron’s

AT&T Inc. traded flat early Tuesday, with its gap to analyst price targets now offering a direct test of how much the market still cares about the satellite issue.

The NYSE’s main trading session wasn’t open at the time of reporting. Its July calendar shows the 2026 Independence Day holiday closure falling on July 3, not July 7. Standard session hours are 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.

Wall Street is split. AT&T’s average target is 47.7% over its early price. Verizon Communications Inc. is showing 23.3% implied upside. T-Mobile US Inc. is at 41.4%, despite analysts looking for stronger 2027 EPS growth from T-Mobile.

CompanyEarly quoteAvg targetImplied upside2026 EPS est.2027 EPS est.2027 EPS growth
AT&T $20.58$30.3947.7%$2.32$2.549.5%
Verizon $42.07$51.8923.3%$4.97$5.255.6%
T-Mobile $181.79$257.1341.4%$10.42$13.5630.1%

Quotes in this story are based on early session trading. Price targets and earnings per share estimates come from MarketWatch analyst snapshots.

The spread is important now because AT&T’s upside story hinges less on an earnings overhaul and more on getting a higher multiple. AT&T’s 2026 adjusted EPS guidance sits at $2.25 to $2.35, just about in line with the $2.32 consensus. The company also reaffirmed expectations for free cash flow above $18 billion, adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% to 4%, and share buybacks of roughly $8 billion.

AT&T shares traded at $20.58, putting the $1.11 annual dividend at a 5.4% yield. The board set a $0.2775 quarterly common dividend on June 24, payable Aug. 3 to investors on record July 10.

All eyes are on SpaceX’s Starlink as concern grows around fresh reports. Barron’s said Charter Communications Inc. has been in high-level discussions with SpaceX on a possible U.S. consumer mobile phone tie-up.

KeyBanc’s Nispel kept a constructive view on the sector, saying the Starlink overhang “feels overdone” for near-term fundamentals. BofA’s Funk said T-Mobile is “least exposed” to low Earth orbit providers, pointing to its share of urban households. Wolfe’s Peter Supino said Starlink’s mobile plan is “undefined,” but said its broadband is already a real rival to cable and fixed-wireless. Barron’s

Broad indexes moved higher Monday as the S&P 500 added 0.72% and the Nasdaq climbed 1.12%, boosted by chip names. But Reuters said more S&P 500 stocks fell than rose.

AT&T has set July 22 for its next earnings report. The telecom giant plans to post Q2 numbers before the NYSE opens and host its earnings call at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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