Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Regains Top Market-Cap Spot While Major Tech Spending Climbs to $140 Billion

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Regains Top Market-Cap Spot While Major Tech Spending Climbs to $140 Billion

NEW YORK, August 1, 2026, 11:10 EDT — U.S. markets have closed.

Nvidia finished Friday at $200.75, rising 2.9%, to reclaim the top global market-cap position. The company’s value, about $4.90 trillion, surpassed Apple , which declined 7.1%.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:NVDA

Nvidia received a fresh boost from its clients. Amazon.com increased its capital expenditure outlook for 2026 to $220 billion, following a 37% rise in AWS revenue.

The three major cloud purchasers disclosed $140.1 billion in capital expenditures for their most recent quarters. Although these totals are based on varying accounting standards, the combined figure stands 54% higher than Nvidia’s projected $91 billion in quarterly revenue. However, only a portion of this spending will benefit Nvidia.

Cloud buyerReporting periodReported capital outlayDemand or spending detail
Amazon.com Q2 2026$54.2 billionSpending on PP&E; total 2026 plan lifted to $220 billion
Alphabet Q2 2026$44.9 billionAI infrastructure accounted for most expenses; 60% of tech spend allocated to servers
Microsoft Fiscal Q4 2026$41.0 billionRoughly two-thirds spent on short-term assets, primarily CPUs and GPUs
Combined$140.1 billion1.54 times Nvidia’s Q2 revenue guide

Data provided by the company. Definitions vary, and some expenditures are not linked to AI or are not areas Nvidia can target.

Amazon reported its cloud services backlog rose to $496 billion, up from $364 billion in the previous quarter. CEO Andy Jassy commented, “Even at that amount, we will still not have enough capacity.” Reuters

Nvidia does not hold exclusive access to this spending pool. Amazon reported that both its AI and chip operations have individually surpassed a $25 billion annual run rate. Meanwhile, Alphabet has started offering TPU systems directly to customers for installation in their own data centers.

Jensen Huang raised expectations in May. Nvidia’s chief executive told analysts, “We should be growing faster than hyperscale capex.” The company’s earnings release on August 26 will challenge that assertion. Reuters

CompanyFriday closing priceChange for the dayMarket capitalization
Nvidia$200.75+2.9%$4.90 trillion
Apple$308.91-7.1%$4.55 trillion
Alphabet$356.13+6.7%$4.36 trillion
Microsoft$464.72+3.0%$3.46 trillion
Amazon$271.58+15.3%$2.95 trillion

Market values shown are estimates.

Nvidia ended the week down 2.9% from July 24, despite a rebound on Friday, while the Nasdaq advanced 1.6%.

Stock or indexFriday closeWeekly move
Nvidia$200.75down 2.9%
Advanced Micro Devices $476.15fell 8.8%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing $404.25rose 0.2%
Nasdaq Composite25,373.85up 1.6%
S&P 5007,489.72gained 1.0%

Stock returns reflect closing values from July 24.

The trend points to an indication of consumer spending rather than a widespread surge in chip stocks. AMD shares fell 8.8% over the week, while TSM ended unchanged, backing up this view.

Nvidia started the quarter with significant momentum. Fiscal first-quarter revenue climbed 85%, reaching $81.6 billion. Data Center sales surged 92% to $75.2 billion. The company’s $91 billion forecast does not take into account any China Data Center compute revenue.

The spotlight turns to execution next week, moving away from budgets. AMD is scheduled to report after Tuesday’s market close, ahead of July payrolls data on Friday.

Date and time, EDTEventRelevance for Nvidia investors
Monday, August 3, 10:00July ISM manufacturing PMIIndicates overall demand trends, supply chain dynamics and possible inflation implications
Tuesday, August 4, after closeAMD fiscal Q2 results; call at 17:00Key check on server CPU and AI accelerator sales
Friday, August 7, 08:30July U.S. employment reportCould influence yields and how tech stocks are valued

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

AMD projected second-quarter revenue at $11.2 billion, with a possible variance of $300 million either way. The midpoint figure indicates a 46% increase. Additional gains from accelerators could further underscore robust industry demand.

Risks: Purpose-built chips offer the potential to secure a larger share of each cloud-related dollar. Limitations imposed on China may decrease Nvidia’s total addressable market. Amazon’s free cash flow over the past year turned negative $7.6 billion as investment ramped up.

For Nvidia shareholders, the main issue is no longer if AI budgets are increasing, but if Nvidia can secure that expansion more quickly than clients bring chip development in-house. Only the first aspect was addressed on Friday.

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Further analysis

Will NVIDIA surpass expectations for August earnings?
NVIDIA projects fiscal Q2 revenue at $91.0 billion, with a possible variation of 2% either way. This represents approximately 95% growth from a year ago and a 12% increase from the previous quarter. Analyst consensus is for revenue near $91.8 billion and earnings per share of $2.08. Results are expected August 26.
Does hyperscaler investment remain the primary driver?
Spending projections remain robust. Amazon boosted its 2026 capital expenditures target to $220 billion. Alphabet has lifted its forecast to a range of $195 billion to $205 billion. Meta expects spending between $130 billion and $145 billion. These large budgets are driven by demand for AI infrastructure, although not all of the funds will flow to NVIDIA.
Is it possible for Blackwell and Rubin to maintain their current pace of growth?
Fiscal Q1 Data Center revenue rose to $75.2 billion, driven by Blackwell 300 and networking. The segment expanded 92% compared to a year earlier. Rubin production shipments are scheduled for the second half of fiscal 2027. If delayed, deployments and revenue timing could be affected.
What are the requirements for the latest valuation?
NVIDIA’s valuation stood near $4.90 trillion at the market close on July 31. The share price of $200.75 represents 22.3 times the consensus EPS forecast of $9.01 for fiscal 2027, and 15.7 times the expected $12.78 for fiscal 2028. MarketScreener’s average price target from 61 analysts is $302.83—a level around 51% above the current price. Estimates range from $180 to $500, highlighting significant uncertainty.
What risks could most quickly undermine the earnings outlook?
Data Center accounted for 92% of revenue in fiscal Q1. Just three direct clients together made up 54%. Growth could be impacted quickly if one key customer holds back on spending. Policy risks in China remain. NVIDIA reported zero Hopper Data Center shipments to China in Q1, compared with $4.6 billion in the previous year. The Q2 forecast assumes no China Data Center compute revenue.
Iwona Majkowska

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech. She covers stocks, artificial intelligence and technology, with a focus on the stories moving U.S. and global markets. Before turning to financial journalism, she worked in equity research and financial analysis. She is a graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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