Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Stock Near $7.50 as 44% Reported Short Interest Raises Earnings Stakes

Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Stock Near $7.50 as 44% Reported Short Interest Raises Earnings Stakes

NEW YORK, August 3, 2026, 09:23 EDT (Nasdaq premarket)

  • Ondas was indicated 0.4% lower at $7.46. Three selected defense-technology peers averaged a 0.7% premarket gain.
  • Short interest equaled 43.9% of Ondas’s public float on July 15.
  • Second-quarter results are due August 13. Ondas targets at least $525 million of 2026 revenue.

Ondas Inc. was indicated 0.4% lower at $7.46 in delayed premarket trading. Nasdaq futures gained about 0.2%. Regular U.S. trading had not opened.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:ONDS

The larger investor issue is positioning. Short interest reached 229.56 million shares on July 15. That represented 43.9% of the public float.

Only Red Cat approached that level among selected peers. AeroVironment and Kratos had far smaller short positions. The imbalance could magnify Ondas’s August earnings reaction.

Premarket quotes are delayed. Five-day returns and short interest use the latest published figures.

CompanyPremarket pricePremarket moveFive-day moveFloat sold short
Ondas$7.46-0.40%-6.61%43.91%
AeroVironment Inc. $150.30+0.62%-3.16%10.13%
Red Cat Holdings Inc. $7.55+0.27%-3.34%23.68%
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. $47.20+1.29%-5.76%5.62%

Ondas posted no fresh operating release over the weekend. Its investor page listed July 30 as the latest update. That notice set second-quarter results for August 13 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.

The report must connect orders with booked sales. Ondas produced $50.1 million of first-quarter revenue. Its current full-year target is at least $525 million.

That leaves $474.9 million after the first quarter. The required Q2-to-Q4 average is $158.3 million. That equals 3.2 times first-quarter revenue, based on reporter calculations.

The comparison is acquisition-heavy. DZYNE closed July 2, after the June quarter ended. The target includes DZYNE and Omnisys but excludes pending acquisition Cyberhawk.

Revenue measureAmountComparison
Q1 2026 revenue$50.1 million9.5% of current target
Previous 2026 targetAt least $390 millionSet after Q1 results
Current 2026 targetAt least $525 million34.6% above the previous target
Revenue remaining after Q1$474.9 millionReporter calculation
Required Q2-Q4 quarterly average$158.3 million3.2 times Q1; reporter calculation
DZYNE stand-alone 2026 forecast$191 million36.4% of Ondas’s current target
Orders announced July 22$70 million13.3% of the target; not recognized revenue

Orders provide the clearest operating support. Ondas announced $70 million across five mission areas during four weeks. The awards included counter-drone, ground, border, surveillance and precision-strike systems.

Chief Executive Eric Brock said the awards showed Ondas could “convert a growing pipeline of opportunities into meaningful customer programs.” The June-quarter report will test that conversion. Ondas Inc.

Valuation leaves less room for a slow ramp. Friday’s $4.27 billion market value equals about 8.1 times the revenue target. That is a market-cap-to-sales ratio, not enterprise value.

Capital or ownership measureReported figureInvestor comparison
Market capitalisation$4.27 billionAbout 8.1 times the 2026 revenue target
Shares outstanding569.86 millionCurrent quoted share base
Short interest229.56 million shares43.9% of public float on July 15
BlackRock Inc. stake38.13 million shares7.2% as of June 30
DZYNE stock considerationAbout 85 million sharesCompany estimated 13.8% post-deal ownership
Cash, equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investments$1.48 billionMarch 31 balance, before DZYNE’s $200 million cash payment

BlackRock’s filing classified the holding as passive. It did not signal an effort to influence control. The percentage also used Ondas’s June 30 share count.

Risks: Contract timing may shift revenue between quarters. Integration costs may delay margin gains. Further stock issuance can dilute holders. Heavy short interest can worsen moves in either direction.

The next hard catalyst is August 13. Investors will watch revenue, backlog conversion, cash use and the $525 million target. For now, Ondas remains 6.6% lower over five sessions.

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Further analysis

Is Ondas on track to achieve its revised $525 million revenue goal for 2026?
Management lifted its outlook from $390 million to a minimum of $525 million. The revised figure incorporates DZYNE and Omnisys but does not include the pending Cyberhawk. First-quarter revenue totaled $50.1 million. DZYNE projects $191 million for 2026. However, DZYNE closed on July 2, after the end of the second quarter. Consolidation timing and execution are expected to be addressed in the August 13 report. SEC
Is that expansion reflected in the order book?
As of March 31, pro forma backlog stood at $457 million. Ondas later reported second-quarter orders exceeding $150 million, and an additional $70 million was added in the four weeks to July 22. This figure incorporates a $6.9 million award from the Australian defence sector. DZYNE listed $111 million in backlog at June 30. There is overlap among these numbers. The key challenge is still how quickly these orders convert and at what margins. SEC
Is ONDS considered inexpensive at around $7.49?
Not based on revenue alone. Ondas reported 569.9 million shares outstanding as of July 23. At a price of $7.49, the company’s equity is valued at about $4.27 billion. That represents 8.1 times the $525 million revenue goal set by management. Factoring in 45 million deferred DZYNE shares pushes the multiple to nearly 8.8 times. This is high for a company still recording operating losses. SEC
Has Ondas reached profitability?
No. Q1 gross margin stood at 49%, while the company reported an operating loss of $42.7 million. The adjusted EBITDA loss was $10.9 million. Net income totaled $361.2 million, primarily due to a $389.5 million noncash gain from warrants. The most recent company-wide adjusted EBITDA target mentioned by management was for the first quarter of 2028. DZYNE is projected to achieve EBITDA positivity in 2026, although integration has yet to be demonstrated. SEC
What is the level of concern around dilution risk?
The number of shares outstanding increased from 380.8 million at the end of the year to 569.9 million as of July 23, representing a 49.7% rise. An additional 45 million DZYNE shares are scheduled for January 4, 2027. The January financing round also led to the issuance of 121.6 million warrants exercisable at $28 each. These warrants are currently far out of the money. The share overhang remains significant. SEC
What are analysts on Wall Street anticipating now?
FactSet data indicates there are nine Buy recommendations, with no Hold or Sell ratings. The consensus price target averages $19.81, spanning a range from $16 to $25. This suggests potential upside of approximately 164% from $7.49. Projected 2026 revenue stands near $525.6 million, consistent with the company's guidance. Analysts' predictions for second-quarter revenue center around $68 million, while EPS forecasts vary between about negative $0.06 and negative $0.10. These targets reflect optimism, but provide no guarantees. The Wall Street Journal

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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