Dow Hits Record High as Oil Declines, Megacap Stocks Surge $537 Billion

Dow Hits Record High as Oil Declines, Megacap Stocks Surge $537 Billion

NEW YORK, August 3, 2026, 17:57 EDT — The U.S. cash markets have finished trading for the day.

  • The Dow climbed 1.32% to an all-time high. The S&P 500 increased 1.48%, and the Nasdaq advanced 2.13%.
  • Brent crude declined by 4.7%, while the yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped 6.1 basis points.
  • Initial estimates indicate that four megacap companies gained approximately $537 billion in market capitalization.

U.S. equities jumped on Monday, helped by a drop in oil prices that soothed worries over inflation. The Dow finished at an all-time high, while the S&P 500 ended just 0.1% under its record closing level.

Stock chart for INDEXDJX:.DJI

The most significant indicator was found in the bond market. Brent’s October futures were down 4.7%, and the yield on the 10-year note slipped by 6.1 basis points. The Nasdaq outperformed the Dow by 0.81 percentage point.

Cross-asset closing levels on Monday

AssetCloseMonday move
Dow Jones Industrial Average53,178.41up 1.32%
S&P 5007,600.50advanced 1.48%
Nasdaq Composite25,913.90climbed 2.13%
Brent crude, October comparison$83.77fell 4.7%
WTI crude$80.34dropped 5.1%
10-year Treasury yield4.684%down 6.1 bp

The front-month Brent contract dropped by 7%, factoring in Friday’s contract expiration. The new October contract closed down 4.7% compared to its previous finish.

Long-duration growth stocks outperformed within that pattern. Communication services rose 4.3%, compared to a 1.2% drop for energy. Monday saw a 5.5-point difference, marking the most distinct sector shift.

Market breadth and sector rotation

SignalMonday readingComparison
Communication services+4.3%2.82 points higher than S&P 500
Energy-1.2%2.68 points under S&P 500
Sector performance gap5.5 pointsCommunication services lead over energy
NYSE advance-decline ratio2.62-to-1Advancers outpaced decliners
Nasdaq advance-decline ratio3.01-to-1Advancers outnumbered decliners
U.S. exchange volume19.36 billion9.6% above the 20-day average

The advance was widespread; however, the biggest dollar increases were concentrated among four megacap stocks.

Nvidia , Microsoft , Amazon and Meta Platforms collectively gained roughly $537 billion in market value, while Apple saw a decline of about $81 billion. Both figures are initial estimates.

Initial change in megacap market value

CompanyLate quote moveEstimated value change
Microsoft+4.94%+$171 billion
Nvidia+2.94%+$144 billion
Amazon+4.61%+$136 billion
Meta Platforms+6.01%+$86 billion
Apple-1.78%-$81 billion
Total change+$456 billion

The divergence is significant. Apple declined even as the index climbed, indicating investors favored companies with strong cloud and AI growth instead of purchasing all large-cap stocks. Amazon reached $3 trillion in market capitalization for the first time.

“Every day, everybody wakes up and looks at the price of a barrel of oil and the yield on the 10-year,” Art Hogan said. Hogan serves as chief market strategist for B. Riley Wealth, a division of B. Riley Financial . Both indicators declined on Monday. Reuters

Fuel-intensive firms saw gains, with United Airlines Holdings climbing 5.8%, and American Airlines Group up 5.0%. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings increased 6.6%.

Results also boosted sentiment. Among 304 S&P 500 companies reporting, profits rose 29.3%. Roughly 85.2% exceeded analyst projections.

Inflation remained a challenge. The ISM manufacturing index climbed to 55.6, surpassing the anticipated 54.0. Its prices-paid index stayed elevated at 71.1.

Monday saw last week’s rally continue. The S&P 500 rose 1.05%, with the Nasdaq up 1.59%. However, July closed with the S&P little changed and the Nasdaq off 3.2%.

Latest index movement

IndexPrevious weekJulyMonday
S&P 500+1.05%Little changed+1.48%
Nasdaq Composite+1.59%-3.2%+2.13%

Focus shifts to labor indicators, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics set to publish JOLTS on Tuesday, followed by preliminary productivity data Thursday and July’s payrolls on Friday. The payrolls report is due at 08:30 EDT on Friday.

U.S. calendar for the coming week

DateReleaseTime, EDT
August 4JOLTS for June10:00
August 6Preliminary productivity and costs, Q208:30
August 7Employment report for July08:30

Traders saw a 64.5% probability of a rate hike in September. New York Fed President John Williams anticipates inflation will ease, but noted that officials may lift rates further if it fails to do so.

Risks: Iran said no talks are taking place or scheduled. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz eased. Brent may rebound sharply. The 10-year yield stays around 71 basis points over where it was before the conflict.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

How much further gain is Wall Street anticipating?
The S&P 500 finished at 7,600.50, coming within 0.1% of its all-time high. In Reuters's poll from May, the median forecast for 2026 was 7,620, indicating little expected upside. Later June projections ranged from JPMorgan’s 7,800 to Citi’s 8,100, suggesting possible gains of around 3% to 7%. The range highlights ongoing disagreement among analysts. Reuters
Does the S&P 500 remain costly?
FactSet’s report from July 31 showed a forward P/E of 19.6, lower than the five-year average of 19.9 but still higher than the ten-year average of 19.0. The index stands 2.2% above FactSet’s reference closing value. If estimates hold, the multiple would be about 20.0. Earnings performance is increasingly significant. FactSet
Do earnings have sufficient strength to back additional advances?
FactSet posted 47.4% growth in Q2 earnings with 61% of firms having reported so far. LSEG put growth at 29.3% as of Monday. Methodologies vary between vendors. FactSet noted that significant gains from Alphabet and Amazon boosted its figure. Without these two, the earnings surprise drops to 9.2% from 31.4%. Analysts project Q3 earnings growth at 27.4% and Q4 at 25.2%. The case for growth remains robust, but meeting expectations will be challenging. FactSet
What might most quickly shift the outlook for rates?
The Fed kept interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75%, although three members called for a 25 basis-point rise. Futures suggested a 64.5% probability of a rate hike in September as of Monday. June CPI stood at 3.5%, and payroll growth eased to 57,000. July payroll numbers are due August 7, with July CPI out August 12. Oil slipped roughly 5% amid speculation of U.S.-Iran negotiations, but Iran denied such talks. Rising yields would put pressure on a market trading at nearly 20 times earnings. Federal Reserve
Does market breadth provide sufficient counterbalance to concentration risk?
As of July 31, the ten biggest stocks accounted for 37.6% of the index, maintaining its vulnerability to the earnings of a few large-cap companies. On Monday, gains were more widespread, with around 350 stocks advancing and 152 declining. Eight of the eleven sectors moved higher. Broader gains are helpful, although exposure to megacap stocks remains. S&P Global

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

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