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Commodities 24 September 2025 - 30 September 2025

Commodities Rollercoaster: Oil Dips as OPEC+ Plans Output Hike, Gold Rockets to Records, Grain Markets Slip (Sept 29–30, 2025)

Commodities Rollercoaster: Oil Dips as OPEC+ Plans Output Hike, Gold Rockets to Records, Grain Markets Slip (Sept 29–30, 2025)

Key analysts’ views & forecasts: A range of experts highlighted the mixed outlook. Jay Pelosky argued on Sept 29 that traditional bearish oil forecasts are overstated – OPEC+ may under-deliver on planned hikes, Ukraine strikes have cut 25% of Russia’s refining capacity, and China’s crude stockpiling could soak up surplus reuters.com reuters.com. In metals, Goldman Sachs now predicts copper returning to long-term bull territory after revising down 2025-26 supply reuters.com. Citi sees a 2026 copper deficit and even higher prices if demand holds reuters.com. For oil, the U.S. EIA has cut its price outlook – forecasting Brent ~$51/bbl in 2026 as inventories rebuild reuters.com – though many traders remain skeptical given the prevailing risk-on tone.
30 September 2025
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Commodities on a Wild Rollercoaster: Oil Plunges, Gold Soars, Coffee & Copper Hit Highs

Commodities on a Wild Rollercoaster: Oil Plunges, Gold Soars, Coffee & Copper Hit Highs

Oil prices have eased recently but remain relatively high. On Monday, Brent crude slid about $0.43 to ~$69.70/bbl and U.S. WTI fell ~$0.49 to ~$65.23/bbl. The drop came as Iraq’s Kurdistan region resumed exports through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline. This revived flow, backed by U.S. diplomatic pressure, adds to global supply just as OPEC+ meets. According to industry sources, OPEC+ is expected to approve another production increase of ~137k bpd in November reuters.com, continuing a strategy to boost market share after some months of cuts.
29 September 2025
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Gold Soars Above $3,800 Record as Silver and Platinum Rally – What’s Driving the Precious Metals Frenzy?

Gold Soars Above $3,800 Record as Silver and Platinum Rally – What’s Driving the Precious Metals Frenzy?

Gold prices have exploded in recent weeks. On Sep 29 spot gold briefly topped $3,812/oz, eclipsing last week’s record bloomberg.com. After six straight weekly gains, the metal is up roughly 45% year-to-date reuters.com. Silver surged above $46–47/oz, hitting a 14-year high reuters.com. Platinum also cracked a 12-year peak and palladium climbed into the mid-$1,200s reuters.com. These moves mark broad, historic rallies: gold’s latest high pushes it well past the previous records from 2022, while silver and platinum are trading near levels last seen over a decade ago bloomberg.com reuters.com. Technical momentum is strong – gold is well above key support zones and shows little sign of easing.
29 September 2025
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Commodity Shockwaves: Oil Soars, Gold Shines, Crops Sway as War, Weather & Policy Roil Markets

Commodity Shockwaves: Oil Soars, Gold Shines, Crops Sway as War, Weather & Policy Roil Markets

Oil – War and Output Cuts: Crude markets rallied sharply to close the week, propelled by geopolitics. Brent oil settled at $70.13/bbl while WTI ended at $65.72, with both benchmarks posting their biggest weekly gain since June reuters.com. Traders pinned the surge on escalating war disruptions: Ukraine’s stepped-up drone strikes have knocked out portions of Russia’s refining capacity, forcing Moscow to halt diesel exports through year-end and extend a gasoline ban reuters.com. “Markets continued to be focused on the situation between Russia and Ukraine,” said John Kilduff of Again Capital. “These drone attacks by Ukraine are beginning to add up” in curtailing Russian supply reuters.com. Russian officials confirmed some regions are now facing fuel shortages, underscoring the impact reuters.com.
27 September 2025
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China’s Antimony Crackdown Just Supercharged This U.S. Miner: Why Perpetua Resources (PPTA) Popped Today — And What Could Come Next (Sept 26, 2025)

China’s Antimony Crackdown Just Supercharged This U.S. Miner: Why Perpetua Resources (PPTA) Popped Today — And What Could Come Next (Sept 26, 2025)

Reuters reported that Perpetua is negotiating with Glencore, Trafigura, Clarios and Sunshine Silver to refine antimony inside the U.S., a critical step because the company plans to mine but not refine the metal. Management expects to seek proposals within weeks and choose a partner by year‑end. CEO Jon Cherry said: “We are encouraged by emerging opportunities to expand domestic mineral processing capacity in America and intend to make well‑informed, market‑based decisions when selecting a partner.” Reuters
26 September 2025
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Global Commodities Soar as War, Weather & Tariffs Upend Markets (Sept 25–26, 2025)

Global Commodities Soar as War, Weather & Tariffs Upend Markets (Sept 25–26, 2025)

Oil markets rallied sharply during the week. Brent crude rose above $69.5/barrel on Sept 26, its highest since early August reuters.com, and is set for a ~4% weekly gain – the biggest in three months reuters.com. West Texas Intermediate followed to ~$65.3/barrel reuters.com. The catalyst was a confluence of supply shocks and geopolitical tensions. Ukraine’s drone strikes on Russian oil facilities have dealt a serious blow to Moscow’s fuel infrastructure reuters.com. In response, Russia banned most diesel exports and extended a gasoline export ban through year-end reuters.com reuters.com. Russia typically exports ~880,000 barrels per day of diesel reuters.com, so this move sent global diesel prices soaring and pushed European refinery margins to their highest since Feb 2024 reuters.com. “Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes…NATO’s warning to Russia, and Russia’s move to halt key fuel exports” have all supported oil’s price surge, noted IG analyst Tony Sycamore reuters.com.
26 September 2025
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Commodities Rollercoaster: Oil Rockets & Gold Smashes Records as Trade & Weather Woes Hit Agriculture (Sept 24–25, 2025)

Commodities Rollercoaster: Oil Rockets & Gold Smashes Records as Trade & Weather Woes Hit Agriculture (Sept 24–25, 2025)

Oil led commodity moves this week. On Sept 24 Brent crude jumped about 2.5% – its strongest gain since July – after U.S. stockpiles fell more than expected reuters.com. Supply concerns from geopolitics added fuel: planned disruptions in Iraq, reduced exports from Venezuela, and attacks on Russian energy sites kept markets nervous reuters.com reuters.com. US crude settled at ~$65 on Sept 24, up ~$1.60 for the day reuters.com. However on Sept 25 prices gave back some gains: Brent fell to ~$68.80 and WTI to ~$64.45 reuters.com. Traders attributed the pullback to profit-taking, a softer demand outlook, and imminent return of Kurdish oil exports reuters.com reuters.com. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said markets are “risk-off” as equity slides weigh on crude reuters.com, while Phillip Nova’s Priyanka Sachdeva warned that resuming Kurdish flows could reignite an oversupply narrative reuters.com. U.S. bank analysts also flagged cooling fuel demand: U.S. September air travel was almost flat and gasoline demand is “pulling back” as summer winds down reuters.com reuters.com. Overall, prices remain elevated by seasonal demand and geopolitical risk, but fundamentals suggest easing into Q4.
25 September 2025
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Southern Copper (SCCO) Skyrockets on Copper Price Boom – Key Facts & Outlook

Southern Copper (SCCO) Skyrockets on Copper Price Boom – Key Facts & Outlook

Southern Copper’s stock has been on a tear in recent weeks, climaxing with a sharp rally around September 24, 2025. On that day, SCCO surged roughly 8–9%, hitting a new 52-week high of about $117–$121 per share ca.investing.com ainvest.com. This jump was the stock’s largest single-day gain in over a year ainvest.com. The rally coincided with a spike in copper prices, underscoring Southern Copper’s sensitivity to the commodity. Year-to-date, SCCO is up roughly 27%, reflecting robust investor confidence and far outpacing the broader market. By comparison, rival Freeport-McMoRan’s stock was up around 18% YTD before its recent drop ca.investing.com. Southern Copper’s market capitalization now hovers near $90 billion, approaching the scale of diversified mining giants.
24 September 2025
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Oil, Gold, and Coffee Soar as Supply Shocks and Safe-Haven Rush Roil Commodities Markets

Oil, Gold, and Coffee Soar as Supply Shocks and Safe-Haven Rush Roil Commodities Markets

Oil markets saw a sharp upswing over the past two days. On Tuesday, Brent crude rallied 1.6% to $67.63/barrel and WTI to $63.41 as news broke that Iraq’s Kurdistan export pipeline remains offline, stalling an expected restart reuters.com reuters.com. Traders had “sold off on reports of a Kurdistan deal, and the lack of a deal has now taken those barrels out of the market,” noted Phil Flynn of Price Futures reuters.com. This reversal snapped a four-session losing streak for oil and calmed oversupply fears by effectively removing ~230,000 bpd of anticipated supply from markets reuters.com reuters.com.
24 September 2025
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