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Economic Forecasts 14 December 2025 - 16 May 2026

Markets Drop Fed Rate Cut Bets for 2026

Markets Drop Fed Rate Cut Bets for 2026

Prediction-market odds for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 jumped to 69% on Polymarket and 68% on Kalshi. U.S. stocks fell over 1% Friday as oil prices and Treasury yields climbed, pressuring technology shares. CME FedWatch now shows a 60% chance of higher rates by January. Near-term markets still expect no change at the June Fed meeting.
16 May 2026
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Fed Week Ahead: Powell’s Possible Exit Turns a No-Change Meeting Into a Rate-Cut Cliffhanger

Fed Week Ahead: Powell’s Possible Exit Turns a No-Change Meeting Into a Rate-Cut Cliffhanger

The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its benchmark rate at 3.50%-3.75% on Wednesday, as inflation risks rise from higher oil prices and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Chair Jerome Powell may lead his final policy meeting, with markets watching for signals on future hikes. Key GDP and PCE inflation data are due Thursday morning. Investors currently see little chance of a rate cut this year.
27 April 2026
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Gold Price Week Ahead: Friday’s Rebound Faces a Tough Test From Payrolls, Oil and Hormuz Talks

Gold Price Week Ahead: Friday’s Rebound Faces a Tough Test From Payrolls, Oil and Hormuz Talks

Gold surged nearly 3% Friday to $4,504.79 an ounce but faces pressure from rising oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields, which climbed above 4.4%. Brent crude settled at $112.57 a barrel. U.S. jobs data and manufacturing PMI are due this week, with markets closed for Good Friday. Physical demand in India and China remains subdued despite central bank buying.
29 March 2026
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US Dollar Forecast After Iran Attacks: Will USD Jump When Markets Reopen?

US Dollar Forecast After Iran Attacks: Will USD Jump When Markets Reopen?

The dollar index closed Friday at 97.61, just before U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran triggered Iranian missile attacks across the Gulf. Oil prices jumped, with Brent settling at $72.48 a barrel, and Wall Street ended lower. OPEC+ meets Sunday to discuss output as markets brace for volatility. Iran targeted Gulf states hosting U.S. forces; UAE media reported one death in Abu Dhabi.
28 February 2026
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ASX 200 forecast for 2026: Rate-hike bets return as strategists split on Australia stocks

ASX 200 forecast for 2026: Rate-hike bets return as strategists split on Australia stocks

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 closed 2025 more than 4% below its October record after investors shifted to expecting rate hikes. The index returned 6.8% for the year, with resources surging and technology slumping. Two major banks now anticipate a rate increase at the central bank’s February meeting. Forecasters remain split on whether 2026 brings steady gains or more sharp sector swings.
1 January 2026
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Industrials Stocks Outlook 2026: Today’s News, Forecasts, and Key Catalysts Shaping Industrial Stocks on Dec. 25, 2025

Industrials Stocks Outlook 2026: Today’s News, Forecasts, and Key Catalysts Shaping Industrial Stocks on Dec. 25, 2025

The Dow and S&P 500 closed at record highs in a shortened session Dec. 24 before U.S. markets shut for Christmas. Industrials stocks remain in focus as investors weigh Fed rate cut expectations, mixed manufacturing data, and ongoing investment in defense and AI-driven infrastructure. Trading volumes were thin ahead of the holiday. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points on Dec. 10.
25 December 2025
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US Stock Market Today (Dec. 24, 2025, 1:32 p.m. ET): S&P 500 and Dow Close at Record Highs in Christmas Eve Session as 2026 Forecasts Turn Bullish

US Stock Market Today (Dec. 24, 2025, 1:32 p.m. ET): S&P 500 and Dow Close at Record Highs in Christmas Eve Session as 2026 Forecasts Turn Bullish

The S&P 500 closed at 6,932.12 and the Dow at 48,731.81, both setting new records in a holiday-shortened session Wednesday. Trading ended at 1 p.m. ET ahead of the Christmas holiday. Nike rose after Apple CEO Tim Cook bought shares, while Micron gained on renewed AI optimism. Jobless claims fell to 214,000 for the week ending Dec. 20.
24 December 2025
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BHP Group Ltd Stock Update (Dec. 24, 2025): Copper at $12,000, China Iron Ore Talks, and 2026 Forecasts in Focus

BHP Group Ltd Stock Update (Dec. 24, 2025): Copper at $12,000, China Iron Ore Talks, and 2026 Forecasts in Focus

BHP Group Ltd shares traded near A$45.62 in Australia on Dec. 24, 2025, and $61.08 in New York on Dec. 23, capping a roughly 15% gain for the year. Copper surged past $12,000 per tonne this week, boosting BHP’s growth narrative as the company invests over A$840 million in its Olympic Dam project. Iron ore prices face warnings of softness into 2026.
24 December 2025
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Johannesburg Stock Exchange News & Forecasts (21 December 2025): JSE All Share Near Record Highs as Rate-Cut Bets Build for 2026

Johannesburg Stock Exchange News & Forecasts (21 December 2025): JSE All Share Near Record Highs as Rate-Cut Bets Build for 2026

The FTSE/JSE All Share Index closed at 114,849.89 on December 19, up nearly 36% over the year and close to its record high. The JSE FTSE Top 40 rose 41% year-on-year. Headline inflation eased to 3.5% in November, prompting the South African Reserve Bank to cut its repo rate to 6.75%. Markets expect further rate cuts in 2026.
21 December 2025
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Visa Stock (NYSE: V) News, Forecasts and Analysis for Dec. 19, 2025: ATM Fee Settlement, Stablecoin Expansion, and the 2026 Outlook

Visa Stock (NYSE: V) News, Forecasts and Analysis for Dec. 19, 2025: ATM Fee Settlement, Stablecoin Expansion, and the 2026 Outlook

Visa and Mastercard agreed to pay $167.5 million to settle a class action over allegedly inflated ATM fees, with Visa’s share at $88.8 million. Visa stock traded near $348 in late-morning U.S. hours as investors tracked the settlement, ongoing merchant fee litigation, and new product moves in stablecoins and AI commerce.
19 December 2025
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Gold Price Today at 9:34 AM ET (19.12.2025): Spot Gold Holds Near $4,326 as Dollar Firms; 2026 Forecasts Eye $4,900–$5,000

Gold Price Today at 9:34 AM ET (19.12.2025): Spot Gold Holds Near $4,326 as Dollar Firms; 2026 Forecasts Eye $4,900–$5,000

Spot gold hovered near $4,326 an ounce Friday morning in New York, holding close to record highs after a strong 2025 rally. Softer U.S. inflation data supported rate-cut expectations, but a firmer dollar capped gains. U.S. gold futures traded in the mid-$4,350s. Silver stood out at $65.93 per ounce after hitting a record earlier in the week.
19 December 2025
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Mastercard Incorporated Stock (NYSE: MA) News Today: CPI Surprise, New Partnerships, Legal Overhang, and Wall Street Forecasts for 2026 (Dec. 18, 2025)

Mastercard Incorporated Stock (NYSE: MA) News Today: CPI Surprise, New Partnerships, Legal Overhang, and Wall Street Forecasts for 2026 (Dec. 18, 2025)

Mastercard traded near $563.71 Thursday as investors weighed new partnerships in open finance and blockchain, alongside a cooler-than-expected November U.S. inflation report. The Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year-over-year, with data collection affected by a government shutdown. Mastercard announced a partnership with Interchecks to expand account-to-account payments.
18 December 2025
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Gold Price Today (18 December 2025): Spot Gold Holds Near $4,330 Ahead of US CPI; 2026 Forecasts Keep $5,000 in View

Gold Price Today (18 December 2025): Spot Gold Holds Near $4,330 Ahead of US CPI; 2026 Forecasts Keep $5,000 in View

Spot gold slipped 0.2% to $4,333.12 per ounce early Thursday, with US futures at $4,363.60. Prices steadied as traders awaited the delayed US November CPI, due later today, and Friday’s PCE inflation data. The US dollar held near a one-week high, capping gold’s gains despite dovish Federal Reserve signals. Gold traded in a tight range between $4,320.96 and $4,343.21.
18 December 2025
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Gold Price Today at 12:10 (Dec. 17, 2025): Spot Gold Near $4,333 as Fed Cut Bets and $5,000 Forecasts Fuel the Rally

Gold Price Today at 12:10 (Dec. 17, 2025): Spot Gold Near $4,333 as Fed Cut Bets and $5,000 Forecasts Fuel the Rally

Spot gold hovered near $4,333 per ounce around 12:10, up about 0.7% on the day, holding above $4,300 as investors weighed US labor data and inflation signals. Intraday trading ranged from $4,302 to $4,349. Renewed expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical tensions supported prices. US gold futures also traded higher in early US hours.
17 December 2025
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Nickel Price Today: Nickel Holds Near $14,300 as China Data, Oversupply Fears and Fresh Forecasts Hit Sentiment (Dec. 16, 2025)

Nickel Price Today: Nickel Holds Near $14,300 as China Data, Oversupply Fears and Fresh Forecasts Hit Sentiment (Dec. 16, 2025)

Nickel prices hovered near multi-month lows on December 16, with LME three-month contracts down 0.2% at $14,310 per tonne and Shanghai nickel hitting a 40-month low of 111,770 yuan. Markets reacted to weak Chinese economic data, thin year-end liquidity, and fresh oversupply warnings from major producers including Nornickel.
16 December 2025
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Gold Price in Germany Today: Spot Near €3,695/oz as Dollar Softens — Latest News, Drivers and 2026 Forecasts (15 Dec 2025)

Gold Price in Germany Today: Spot Near €3,695/oz as Dollar Softens — Latest News, Drivers and 2026 Forecasts (15 Dec 2025)

Gold in Germany traded at €3,694.50 per troy ounce on Monday, near its all-time euro highs, as global bullion demand strengthened. The day’s range spanned €3,662.35 to €3,705.97 per ounce. Spot gold globally rose about 1% to $4,343.96 per ounce, supported by a weaker US dollar and lower Treasury yields. German dealer buyback prices stood at €117.01 per gram.
15 December 2025
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US Treasury Bonds Forecast for December 2025: Fed Rate Cut, Delayed Jobs & CPI Data, and Auction Supply Set Up a Volatile Finish

US Treasury Bonds Forecast for December 2025: Fed Rate Cut, Delayed Jobs & CPI Data, and Auction Supply Set Up a Volatile Finish

The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points on Dec. 10 and announced renewed purchases of short-term Treasury bills to support money market liquidity. Benchmark yields as of Dec. 11: 2-year at 3.52%, 10-year at 4.14%, and 30-year at 4.79%. The 10-year/2-year spread widened to 0.62 points. Traders await a surge of delayed economic data and key Treasury auctions later in December.
14 December 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • Cocoa Prices Decline as Drier Weather Forecasts Hit Ivory Coast Crop Outlook
    June 9, 2026, 4:59 PM EDT. Cocoa prices fell on Tuesday in response to forecasts predicting drier conditions in West Africa, a key growing region. July ICE London cocoa dropped 0.68%, reversing earlier gains triggered by damage from recent storms in Ivory Coast. Despite this, prices face support from medium-term El Niño risks and below-average early crop indicators for the 2026/27 season. Market watchers note a record high of 21,111 net short positions by fund managers, increasing volatility potential. Ivory Coast shipments rose by 3% year-on-year, while production estimates were upgraded, exerting bearish pressure. Industry earnings suggest stable consumer demand for chocolate, partially offsetting supply worries. Analysts also revised down the global cocoa surplus forecast for 2026/27, highlighting ongoing supply risks amid challenging weather.

Latest articles

RBC Stock Hits 52-Week High Even as TSX Falls

RBC Stock Hits 52-Week High Even as TSX Falls

9 June 2026
Royal Bank of Canada surged to a new 52-week high at C$277.09 before closing up 1.24% at C$276.01, outpacing the S&P/TSX’s 0.2% drop, after reporting Q2 net income of C$5.5 billion and adjusted EPS of C$3.90, beating estimates. Despite strong results and a 58.61% year-over-year gain, risks remain as the market is not cheap and investors await the Bank of Canada’s rate decision.
BigBear.ai Stock Drops as Panama AI Buzz Runs Into Dilution Worries

BigBear.ai Stock Drops as Panama AI Buzz Runs Into Dilution Worries

9 June 2026
BigBear.ai shares fell 33 cents to $3.98 as investors weighed a Panama cargo-security deployment, annual meeting results, and the company’s ongoing losses; despite a 14% backlog jump and $431.5 million in cash, revenue conversion remains uncertain, and a recent increase in authorized shares raises dilution risks.
Velo3D shares jump on gas-turbine order; VELO gains traction

Velo3D shares jump on gas-turbine order; VELO gains traction

9 June 2026
Velo3D shares soared 21% to $19.64 after announcing a gas-turbine manufacturing partnership with Aurelia Technologies using its Sapphire XC platform, expanding beyond aerospace and defense; no order value disclosed, so gains reflect expected future work as investors await Wednesday’s investor presentation.
Colorado PERA pay dispute spotlights mix of big bonuses and lower pensions

Colorado PERA pay dispute spotlights mix of big bonuses and lower pensions

9 June 2026
Colorado’s public pension fund paid $11.7 million in bonuses to investment staff after losing $9.8 billion in 2022, even as retirees’ checks lag inflation and the fund faces a $29 billion gap, fueling scrutiny over rising compensation while retirees and taxpayers absorb cuts and higher contributions.
Wall Street on Edge as Nasdaq AI Losses Deepen Before CPI, IPOs

Wall Street on Edge as Nasdaq AI Losses Deepen Before CPI, IPOs

9 June 2026
Nasdaq plunged 1.21% and S&P 500 fell 0.53% as tech and AI stocks resumed their sharp selloff, with the S&P tech index down over 4% at one point, while investors braced for Wednesday’s key CPI inflation data, Iran risks, and a wave of major IPOs that could force further stock rotation.
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