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Federal Reserve 30 November 2025 - 3 December 2025

Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Trump’s Next Fed Chair: Markets Bet on Kevin Hassett While Economists Rally Around Chris Waller

Donald Trump said he has decided who will succeed Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, with an announcement expected early next year. Trump repeatedly singled out Kevin Hassett at a White House event, prompting betting markets to give Hassett 75–85% odds for the job. Christopher Waller remains the main alternative. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent led interviews with five finalists.
3 December 2025
US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

US Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Edge Higher as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Mount – December 2, 2025

U.S. stocks rose by early afternoon Tuesday, with the Dow up about 170 points and the Nasdaq near a three-week high as Bitcoin rebounded above $91,000. Tech and chip shares led gains, while most other sectors lagged. Investors increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, with futures markets pricing in an 87% chance. Equal-weighted S&P 500 indexes underperformed, highlighting narrow market leadership.
2 December 2025
Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

Dow Jones Today, December 2, 2025: Blue‑Chip Index Rebounds as Fed Cut Hopes and AI Rally Steady Wall Street

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 0.3% by late morning Tuesday, recovering part of Monday’s 427-point drop. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also gained as tech and crypto-linked stocks rebounded. Bitcoin climbed back near $89,000 after plunging below $85,000 the day before. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar remained stable.
US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

US Stock Market Today, December 2, 2025: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Grow

U.S. stocks opened higher Tuesday after Monday’s sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 up 0.3%, the Dow rising 0.1%, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.6%. Calmer bond markets and a rebound in bitcoin, which recovered toward $89,000, supported the move. Investors showed renewed confidence ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Major indexes hovered near record highs reached in late October.
2 December 2025
Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The Federal Reserve ended its balance-sheet tightening on December 1, 2025, halting reductions to its securities portfolio. Markets now price in a nearly 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Internal divisions have surfaced within the FOMC, with up to five members reportedly skeptical of further cuts. Regulators released a new banking system assessment as Vice Chair Bowman described banks as “sound and resilient.”
2 December 2025
Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

The Federal Reserve ended its quantitative tightening program on December 1, after more than $2.2 trillion in securities runoff. Futures markets now price in an 85–88% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75%–4.00%. At least five of 12 voting members oppose further cuts, signaling deep divisions.
Kevin Hassett Emerges as Trump’s Frontrunner to Replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair — What a Dovish Pick Could Mean for Markets

Kevin Hassett Emerges as Trump’s Frontrunner to Replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair — What a Dovish Pick Could Mean for Markets

President Trump said he has chosen Jerome Powell’s successor as Federal Reserve chair and will announce the pick before Christmas. Betting markets and bank analysts now see Kevin Hassett as the clear frontrunner, with odds above 70%. Major banks have shifted rate forecasts, expecting earlier cuts. Trump has not confirmed the nominee’s name.
2 December 2025
Stock Market Today: Dow Drops 296 Points as Bitcoin Slumps and Fed Jitters Hit Wall Street

Stock Market Today: Dow Drops 296 Points as Bitcoin Slumps and Fed Jitters Hit Wall Street

The Dow fell 296 points to 47,420.77 Monday as the S&P 500 lost 0.34% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.29%. The ISM Manufacturing PMI slid to 48.2, marking a ninth month of contraction. Bitcoin tumbled 7%, dragging crypto stocks lower. Futures markets still price in a December Fed rate cut despite rising dissent within the Fed.
SPY Stock Outlook Today: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Starts December 2025 in the Red as Santa Rally Hopes Meet Fed Jitters

SPY Stock Outlook Today: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Starts December 2025 in the Red as Santa Rally Hopes Meet Fed Jitters

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) traded around $680.69 late Monday morning, down about 0.4% from Friday’s $683.39 close, mirroring a broader U.S. market pullback. SPY remains within a few dollars of its all-time high of $689.70, with year-to-date total return near 17%. Investors are watching for economic data and a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell later this month.
US Stock Market Today (Dec. 1, 2025): Wall Street Slips as Bitcoin Tumbles and Fed Jitters Build

US Stock Market Today (Dec. 1, 2025): Wall Street Slips as Bitcoin Tumbles and Fed Jitters Build

U.S. stocks fell Monday, with the Dow near 47,500 and the S&P 500 below 6,840, both down about 0.3%–0.5% as investors reacted to weak manufacturing data, a Bitcoin selloff, and rising bond yields. The CBOE Volatility Index climbed into the high teens. Traders awaited a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and eyed next week’s rate decision, with futures markets pricing in a high chance of a quarter-point cut.
Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Traders now see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its December 9–10 meeting, according to CME FedWatch futures. Major banks including JPMorgan and Bank of America have shifted to expecting a cut. Fed minutes and recent commentary show deep internal divisions, raising the risk of multiple dissents and a muddled policy message.
US Stock Market Today, December 1, 2025: Futures Fall as Fed Cut Bets Clash With Oil Spike and Bitcoin Slump

US Stock Market Today, December 1, 2025: Futures Fall as Fed Cut Bets Clash With Oil Spike and Bitcoin Slump

U.S. stock futures fell Monday, with Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq contracts down 0.4% to 0.8% after last week’s strong rally. Bitcoin dropped sharply, oil prices climbed, and traders increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Gold hit a six-week high. China’s factory and services data slipped into contraction, adding to global growth concerns.
Trump Says He Has Picked Next Fed Chair as Kevin Hassett Signals He’s ‘Happy to Serve’

Trump Says He Has Picked Next Fed Chair as Kevin Hassett Signals He’s ‘Happy to Serve’

President Donald Trump said Sunday he has chosen a nominee to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair but did not reveal the name. Markets and insiders increasingly expect Trump’s top economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, to be the pick. Hassett called the speculation a “rumor” but said he would be “happy to serve.” Trump said a formal announcement is coming “soon.”
1 December 2025
Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed as China PMIs Contract and Bitcoin Slides Ahead of Key Fed Week

Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed as China PMIs Contract and Bitcoin Slides Ahead of Key Fed Week

Asia-Pacific stocks opened December mixed as new Chinese factory data showed continued economic weakness and cryptocurrencies sold off sharply. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.3% while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose up to 0.8%. China’s official manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.2 in November, still below the expansion threshold. US equity futures pointed lower ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision next week.
Trump’s Fed Shake-Up: Hassett Emerges as Chair Favorite, Bessent Pushes a “Simplified Fed” and Bitcoin Reels from the $6.6 Trillion December Flip

Trump’s Fed Shake-Up: Hassett Emerges as Chair Favorite, Bessent Pushes a “Simplified Fed” and Bitcoin Reels from the $6.6 Trillion December Flip

Kevin Hassett has emerged as the leading contender to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, with President Trump saying he has chosen his nominee but withholding the name. The Fed’s balance sheet has dropped to $6.6 trillion, and policymakers ended quantitative tightening on December 1. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is pushing for a simpler central bank. Bitcoin fell below $86,000 amid speculation over Fed policy shifts.
1 December 2025
Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s “Fed decision in December” market showed 88% odds of a 25-basis-point rate cut as of Nov. 30, 2025, with over $25 million traded. Founder Shayne Coplan, 27, became the world’s youngest self-made billionaire after a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange. Polymarket recently secured U.S. regulatory approval after a four-year ban. The December FOMC meeting remains deeply divided.
US Stock Market Forecast 2025: What Wall Street Expects Into Year‑End After the Fed Pivot

US Stock Market Forecast 2025: What Wall Street Expects Into Year‑End After the Fed Pivot

The S&P 500 is up about 16% for 2025, trading near record highs as December begins. The Federal Reserve has cut rates twice this year and is expected to lower them again by 25 basis points in December. AI-driven tech stocks have led market gains. Most major banks forecast the S&P 500 to finish 2025 between 6,000 and 7,100.
Gold Price Today, November 30, 2025: XAU/USD Near $4,230 as Markets Bet on Fed Cuts and 2026 Record Highs

Gold Price Today, November 30, 2025: XAU/USD Near $4,230 as Markets Bet on Fed Cuts and 2026 Record Highs

Spot gold traded near $4,230 per ounce on November 30, just below October’s record high, capping a 59% year-on-year surge. Central banks and Tether have added hundreds of tonnes in 2025. Major banks now forecast gold above $4,000 for 2026. Local prices in Vietnam, Nepal, and the UK hit new highs in local currencies.
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