Goldman Sachs warns $100 oil could hit growth and stoke inflation as Iran war widens
Goldman Sachs warned a temporary jump in oil to $100 a barrel, driven by widening conflict in Iran, could cut global growth by 0.4 percentage point and raise inflation by 0.7 points. The bank raised its Brent crude forecast for Q2 2026 to $76 a barrel, citing risks to Middle East supply. Oil prices rose over 3% to $83.81 on Thursday. Morgan Stanley now expects the ECB to hold rates steady through 2026.