Intel shares end at $91 amid foundry unit lag despite surge in AI server sales

Intel shares end at $91 amid foundry unit lag despite surge in AI server sales

NEW YORK, August 4, 2026, 05:08 EDT – Intel (INTC.O) finished trading at $91 on Monday, as strong growth in its AI server business contrasted with weaker performance in its foundry unit, which continues to trail the sector.

  • Intel finished Monday at $91.00, rising 0.9%, as the Nasdaq advanced 2.1%.
  • Only 5.1% of the foundry segment’s revenue in the second quarter came from external customers.
  • Foundry reported a $2.09 billion loss, amounting to 84% of DCAI’s operating profit.

Intel Corporation ended Monday’s session at $91.00, up 0.9%. The gain lagged behind the Nasdaq Composite, which rose 2.1%. When published, standard U.S. trading had ended and premarket activity was taking place.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:INTC

The pace of progress is crucial. Intel’s data-center division is seeing rapid growth. However, the economics of the foundry business are still key to the company’s upcoming turnaround phase.

On Monday, peer movements highlighted that Intel lagged behind the primary beneficiaries of AI chips.

CompanyLast regular-session priceDaily move
Intel Corporation $91.00up 0.9%
Advanced Micro Devices $484.64rising 1.7%
NVIDIA Corporation $206.64gaining 2.9%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing $406.11higher by 0.5%

The more pressing concern lies within foundry revenue. Last quarter, Intel recorded $5.765 billion for this segment. Of that amount, just $293 million—equal to 5.1%—was generated from external clients.

Altera’s shift in reporting status accounted for the majority of external growth. The vast majority of foundry operations continue to support Intel’s internal product lines. Widespread customer adoption has not yet been demonstrated.

Server earnings continue to drive investment in manufacturing growth, as indicated by the segment split.

Second-quarter segmentRevenueYear-on-year changeOperating income/(loss)Operating margin
Client Computing and Physical AI$8.877Bup 13%$2.343B26%
Data Center and AI$6.262Bup 59%$2.474B40%
Intel Foundry$5.765Bup 31%$(2.089)B(36%)

Foundry reports $5.5 billion in intersegment revenue, meaning segment revenues do not sum directly to consolidated revenue.

Foundry reported an operating loss amounting to 84% of DCAI’s operating profit. Transfers between segments make direct cash flow comparisons impossible. Nevertheless, the difference in scale remains significant.

The factory unit has shown improvement, with its loss margin falling to 36%, compared with 72% a year ago. Still, more expensive 18A wafers cut product profit by $340 million.

Intel’s third-quarter forecast exceeded earlier projections, though growth was minimal from the previous quarter. The revenue midpoint of $16.3 billion surpassed pre-release consensus by 7.9%, but it was just 1.1% higher than second-quarter revenue.

MetricSecond-quarter actualThird-quarter guidanceSequential change
Revenue$16.128B$16.3B midpoint+1.1%
Non-GAAP gross margin41.8%42.0%+0.2 percentage point
Non-GAAP EPS$0.42$0.38-9.5%

Chief Executive Lip-Bu Tan stated, “AI is driving unprecedented demand for compute.” Intel increased its projected 2026 capital expenditure to $20 billion, up from $18 billion. Continued utilization and external foundry demand are now required to support that investment. Intel Corporation

Shay Boloor from Futurum Group conducted a comparable assessment. According to him, Intel needs to “convert the current data center shortage into sustained revenue growth” in order to achieve a re-rating. Boloor also mentioned improvements in foundry economics and securing more external customers as important factors. Reuters

AMD will announce its results after Tuesday’s closing bell, with a conference call scheduled for 5 p.m. EDT. The company’s server insights will give investors an updated view on demand relevant for Intel.

Intel’s advance on Monday sent mixed signals. Investors participated in the wider semiconductor rally, but placed greater preference on NVIDIA and AMD. The primary difference continues to be the external foundry conversion gap.

Risks are still considerable. Continued component shortages could extend into next year, restricting shipments. Elevated process costs might postpone improvements in margins. Competitive pressures, softer demand, ongoing trade restrictions, or setbacks in securing external deals would also affect outcomes.

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Further analysis

Is Intel's second-quarter earnings recovery likely to continue?
Intel reported a 25% increase in second-quarter revenue to $16.1 billion, surpassing forecasts. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.42, almost twice the $0.22 anticipated by analysts. For the third quarter, Intel projects revenue between $15.8 billion and $16.8 billion, with adjusted EPS expected at $0.38. The $16.3 billion midpoint suggests a sequential revenue increase of about 1%. Intel Corporation
Is the increase in AI server growth fueled by sustained demand or by rising prices?
DCAI revenue surged 59% to reach $6.3 billion in the second quarter. The average selling price for servers climbed 48%, with unit shipments rising just 9%. Hyperscaler demand was higher than Intel’s available supply during the quarter. Intel anticipates that industry-wide supply constraints will continue through 2027. As a result, unit growth serves as the clearest indicator of demand resilience. Intel Corporation
Has Intel Foundry demonstrated success with its external-customer strategy?
No. Foundry revenue totaled $5.8 billion, with $5.5 billion generated from intersegment sales. External revenue stood at $293 million, driven mainly by Altera's shift to an external customer. The segment reported a quarterly operating loss of $2.1 billion. While 18A-P risk production is beneficial, securing committed external customers remains the primary catalyst. Intel Corporation
Following the recent rally, is there still room for upside in Intel’s valuation?
Intel finished August 3 at $91, marking a 146.6% gain for 2026. A $12.5 billion escrow-share valuation loss makes trailing P/E less useful. Shares are valued at about 61 times the 2026 consensus EPS of $1.48, and nearly 45 times the $2.01 projection for 2027. Consensus figures differ significantly by data source. MarketWatch reports an average of $121.32; Investing.com’s average is $115.27 and assigns a neutral rating. Published target prices range from around $74 to $200. MarketWatch
Is it possible for increased investment to boost margins without putting pressure on the balance sheet?
Intel increased its 2026 capital expenditure target to $20 billion, up from $18 billion. Adjusted gross margin for Q2 stood at 41.8%, with Q3 guidance at 42.0%. Cash and short-term investments were $29.7 billion as of June. Debt totaled $50.5 billion following the $14.2 billion Ireland venture acquisition. Sustained margin growth and external foundry demand remain key for the investment outlook. Reuters
Which operational risk poses the greatest threat to quickly halting the turnaround?
Intel reports that a notable portion of its current and projected revenue relies on Intel 7 chips produced in Israel. In its Q2 filing, the company states that disruptions to its business due to conflict are not covered by insurance. Intel also references challenges such as helium shortages, substrate limitations, and export control issues. The company warns that any large-scale factory disruption could affect supply until new production capacity can compensate. Intel Corporation

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech covering stocks, artificial intelligence, semiconductors and global financial markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and previously worked in investment analysis before moving into financial journalism. His daily coverage focuses on the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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