MARA Holdings (NASDAQ:MARA) Edges Near $11 in Premarket on Bitcoin Recovery and Strategy Shift

MARA Holdings (NASDAQ:MARA) Edges Near $11 in Premarket on Bitcoin Recovery and Strategy Shift

NEW YORK, July 29, 2026, 08:07 EDT — Ahead of the U.S. market open, MARA Holdings approached $11, tracking Bitcoin’s rebound as attention turns to the company’s evolving energy strategy.

  • MARA was steady around $11.40 prior to the opening bell following a 3.31% drop on Tuesday.
  • Over five days, its loss exceeded bitcoin’s by 6.05 percentage points.
  • Marathon Digital will release second-quarter earnings on August 6, with a conference call set for 5 p.m. EDT.

MARA Holdings rose 0.18% to a delayed $11.40 ahead of Wednesday’s session. Shares ended Tuesday at $11.38, a decline of 3.31%. Trading volume was 62.21 million shares, which was 38% higher than its 65-day average.

Bitcoin rose 0.89% to $64,397. However, MARA posted a five-day drop of 8.30%, while bitcoin slipped 2.25% in the same period.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MARA

The 6.05-point deficit indicates that investors are factoring in risks related to execution and funding, rather than just movements in cryptocurrency.

An early estimate shows MARA’s 35,303 bitcoin holdings as of March 31 have a value near $2.27 billion based on Wednesday’s price. The sum accounts for approximately 52% of the company’s $4.34 billion equity value.

When $2.45 billion in debt as of March-end is included, then cash and bitcoin are deducted, roughly $4.0 billion remains. This figure accounts for mining, power assets and upcoming data centers. The metric is not disclosed by the company.

The treasury continues to change. In the first quarter, MARA sold about 20,880 bitcoin for $1.5 billion. The company also paid down $912.8 million in notes and settled a $350 million credit facility.

The broader mining sector saw a sharper selloff:

Company or assetFive-day changeDifference to bitcoinPercentage of shares shorted
Bitcoin-2.25%
MARA Holdings -8.30%-6.05 points29.60%
Riot Platforms -9.15%-6.90 points15.36%
CleanSpark -12.04%-9.79 points31.66%
IREN -17.81%-15.56 points30.42%

Negative gaps indicate lagging performance relative to bitcoin. Short-interest data is as of July 15, with market returns reflecting delayed updates.

Among these miners, MARA saw the smallest five-day decline. The short interest remained high, with 29.60% of the float sold short. This heightens catalyst risk.

The operating baseline is still challenging. Revenue for the first quarter dropped 18% to $174.6 million. Bitcoin production declined 1.7% to 2,247.

The cost of purchased energy per bitcoin at owned facilities increased by 12% to $40,047. With Wednesday’s bitcoin price, the spread based on energy alone stands at roughly $24,350. This figure does not include costs such as labor, hosting, depreciation, or financing.

MARA plans to release its second-quarter earnings ahead of its August 6 conference call. The webcast is set for 5 p.m. EDT. Investors are expected to focus on holdings, mining expenses and available liquidity.

Cash at the end of March was $513.7 million, while debt totaled $2.45 billion. The company had around $1.5 billion still accessible through its share-sale program, providing some leeway though also posing dilution risk.

The Texas initiative increases scale, but does not boost immediate earnings. MARA anticipates reaching an initial grid capacity of 1 gigawatt by October 2027. The company aims for 2 gigawatts by April 2028, pending approvals.

CEO Fred Thiel stated, “Sites with access to reliable, scalable power will become increasingly valuable.” MARA

The proposed Long Ridge acquisition provides quicker access to cash. The $1.5 billion deal factors in approximately $785 million in assumed debt. The 505-megawatt facilities yield about $144 million in annualized adjusted earnings. Completion is anticipated later in 2026, pending regulatory approval.

Risks are still elevated. Bitcoin may move back, and both network difficulty alongside energy expenses could increase. Texas and Long Ridge must secure approvals, tenants, and funding. As of March 31, 5,742 bitcoin had been loaned out, with 4,253 pledged.

August 6 is now more significant than a standard mining update. MARA needs to demonstrate its power pivot can generate cash flow without depleting bitcoin-linked liquidity.

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Further analysis

What is the near-term trading outlook for MARA stock today?

Shares of MARA ended Tuesday at $11.38, falling 3.3%, with the company’s market capitalization around $4.3 billion. Bitcoin hovered near $64,400 early Wednesday, rebounding about 1.6% from the prior session. Investors await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision at 2:00 p.m. Eastern today. Any significant swing in Bitcoin could move MARA shares ahead of any new company developments. The next key event is the August 6 earnings release at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. MarketBeat

What will be important for investors in the August 6 release?

MARA’s first-quarter results remain the clearest operating benchmark. The company mined 2,247 BTC, secured 653 blocks, and recorded 72.2 EH/s. Revenue totaled $174.6 million, down 18% year-on-year. Energy costs per bitcoin purchased totaled $40,047. Investors want to see greater production, stable costs per unit, and refreshed liquid-asset figures. Confirmed AI capacity would weigh more than further development-pipeline news. SEC

Is another significant Bitcoin-related accounting loss expected in the second quarter?

A significant loss appears possible, though the exact figure is still unclear. By the end of June, Bitcoin settled around $58,559, down roughly 14% from MARA’s end-of-March benchmark. With 35,303 BTC unchanged, the reduction translates to an estimated $341 million loss in value. This is simply a snapshot; MARA continued mining throughout Q2 and may have disposed of more coins as well. The fair-value loss in Q1 stood at about $1.0 billion. July’s recovery will be reflected in third-quarter results, not in the June filing. SEC

Is Bitcoin mining generating profits when Bitcoin trades near $64,000?

The average energy expense per bitcoin mined at company-owned facilities in Q1 was $40,047. With bitcoin’s current spot price at $64,413, this creates a simple gross difference of approximately $24,400, though this does not reflect operating profit. Additional Q1 expenses included $30.6 million for maintenance and $70.0 million for hosting, with depreciation and amortization contributing a further $191.6 million for the quarter. Higher network difficulty or increasing power costs could quickly eliminate this margin. SEC

What amount of Bitcoin continues to underpin MARA’s market value?

As of March 31, MARA had 35,303 BTC in total, spanning both unrestricted and managed holdings. Of these, 25,308 were unrestricted, 5,742 were loaned, and 4,253 were pledged. At a BTC price of $64,413, the combined holdings are valued near $2.27 billion—representing around 53% of MARA’s $4.33 billion market capitalisation. The company also held $513.7 million in cash at quarter’s end. The present balance is not disclosed, and MARA anticipates making opportunistic Bitcoin sales. Calculations of asset backing are significantly affected by debt and collateral arrangements. SEC

Did MARA’s significant Bitcoin sell-off truly boost its balance sheet?

MARA disposed of 20,880 BTC in Q1 at an average price of $70,137. The funds were used to buy back more than $1 billion in convertible debt. The buybacks were made approximately 9% below par, unlocking about $88 million in value. MARA lowered its credit facility by $200 million. It also refinanced $150 million at a 7% interest rate, compared to the previous 10.5%. Roughly $2.30 billion in convertible principal remained outstanding following these actions. Long Ridge has the potential to add nearly $900 million in project debt. MARA

Is it possible for the Long Ridge acquisition to deliver value without overwhelming MARA?

MARA’s proposed Long Ridge acquisition involves a total transaction value of about $1.5 billion. The purchase covers a 505-megawatt gas power facility and more than 1,600 acres of land. Management projects annualized adjusted EBITDA of $144 million after the deal closes. The company reports operating expenses below $15 per megawatt-hour. The closing is anticipated in the second half of 2026, potentially in the third quarter. While there is interest from tenants, MARA has not announced a finalized AI lease. Key risks include securing funding, obtaining approvals, construction costs, and converting customers. MARA

Has MARA’s approach to AI and high-performance computing begun generating revenue?

Starwood’s platform aims for around one gigawatt of near-term IT capacity, outlining a roadmap for more than 2.5 gigawatts spread across certain MARA properties. The Texas initiative seeks to secure one gigawatt of grid connectivity by October 2027, potentially reaching two gigawatts by April 2028. These numbers reflect possible development, not current contracted customer revenues. As a result, Bitcoin continues to be MARA’s main earnings source for the next quarter. Finalized leases and definitive financing would be necessary to make MARA’s diversification significantly credible. MARA

To what extent might short interest intensify the next shift in MARA?

As of July 15, reported short interest stood at 110.28 million shares, accounting for 29.21% of the public float and equating to 2.5 days to cover. Elevated short interest can intensify upward moves if covering is triggered but does not promise a squeeze. Weighted-average shares in Q1 climbed 10.5% from a year earlier, reaching 380.2 million. MARA has not conducted at-the-market issuances since September 2025. Still, outstanding convertible notes leave significant risk for future dilution. MarketBeat

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, artificial intelligence and technology. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics, she previously worked in equity research and financial analysis before focusing on market reporting. Her daily coverage helps investors follow major developments across U.S. and global markets. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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