Supermicro Stock Plunges 8% After Revenue Forecast Cut – Is the AI Server Gold Rush Over?
SMCI shares fell about 8% on Oct. 23 after Super Micro said Q1 revenue would be ~$5 billion, down from a prior $6–7 billion forecast ts2.tech. The company blamed “design win upgrades” and delivery schedule shifts on major AI server orders ts2.tech. Supermicro reaffirmed its full-year FY2026 revenue guide of ≥$33 billion ts2.tech. Despite the drop, SMCI stock is still up roughly 60–70% in 2025 reuters.com ts2.tech on surging AI demand. Major tech firms are projected to spend ~$400 billion on AI infrastructure in 2025 reuters.com, underscoring continued tailwinds. Analysts are split: some remain bullish, while others are bearish ts2.tech. SMCI’s peers – Dell Technologies and HPE – reported strong AI-driven results recently, highlighting intense competition reuters.com ts2.tech. All eyes are now on Supermicro’s Nov. 4 earnings, which will reveal final Q1 results and updated guidance.