Today: 30 June 2026

US Economic Calendar Today: Stock Futures Hold Steady as Traders Eye Fed Speeches, Treasury Buyback and Delayed Jobs Data

US Economic Calendar Today: Stock Futures Hold Steady as Traders Eye Fed Speeches, Treasury Buyback and Delayed Jobs Data

New York, Feb 9, 2026, 06:47 — Premarket Futures for U.S. stocks held mostly steady early Monday, with the market eyeing two key pieces of economic data: the January jobs numbers out Wednesday — delayed from last week — and Friday’s consumer price index release. Both could help shape the Fed’s rate path. As of 4:52 a.m. EST, Dow E-minis edged up 46 points, or 0.09%. S&P 500 E-minis were off by 4 points, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slipped 50.25 points. CME Group’s FedWatch tool showed markets still betting on a first rate cut in June. Earnings to watch before the bell: Kyndryl, Becton Dickinson, Apollo Global Management, and Loews.
IBM and Meta bring AI Alliance to Indonesia as IBM shares rise; Australia reviews Confluent deal

IBM and Meta bring AI Alliance to Indonesia as IBM shares rise; Australia reviews Confluent deal

IBM and Meta are bringing their AI Alliance to Indonesia, ramping up efforts to promote open-source artificial intelligence—where anyone can see and tweak the code. The alliance’s reach is now 29 countries, 195 members. According to a recent IBM CEO Study, 61% of Indonesian firms are using “AI agents,” tools built to handle tasks and planning. Still, just 27% reported their latest AI systems hit the ROI they were aiming for, Tech in Asia said. Indonesia has positioned AI as a key driver for growth, and the UN’s development agency estimates that AI-driven investments might boost GDP by roughly $366 billion by 2030. On the ground, though, the lofty projections run into practical snags—tight data regulations, not enough trained talent, and basic doubts about whether the technology delivers returns.
QQQ tug-of-war: SEC filings show fresh buying and a bank cut as Nasdaq tests faster Nasdaq-100 entry

QQQ tug-of-war: SEC filings show fresh buying and a bank cut as Nasdaq tests faster Nasdaq-100 entry

Paradigm Capital Management LLC NV sharply boosted its exposure to Invesco’s QQQ ETF in the third quarter, bumping up its stake by 121.4% and ending up with 2,998 shares valued at nearly $1.8 million, according to a filing. That puts QQQ at about 1.8% of Paradigm’s portfolio, the disclosure shows. This trade stands out, given QQQ’s sheer heft: about $402 billion in assets under management, making it one of the biggest U.S. exchange-traded funds out there. The fund leans hard into mega-cap growth—Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft were its top three positions as of Dec. 31. According to Invesco’s fact sheet, tech stocks accounted for roughly 63% of the portfolio. Investors looking for a less concentrated play than the Nasdaq-100 can turn to “growth” rivals like iShares Russell 1000 Growth or iShares S&P 500 Growth, which both track wider swaths of the market.
Oil prices steady after Iran talks cool supply fears; Brent holds near $68

Oil prices steady after Iran talks cool supply fears; Brent holds near $68

LONDON, February 9, 2026, 11:34 GMT — Trading in the regular session. Oil barely budged Monday, recovering from an earlier dip as U.S.-Iran negotiations appeared to calm near-term supply worries. But traders kept one eye on the uncertain flow of Russian crude to India, which helped keep a floor under prices. Brent crude nudged higher, up 17 cents, or 0.3%, to $68.22 a barrel at 1044 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate showed a similar move, rising 18 cents to $63.73, also up 0.3%. “The Iranian risk premium cannot be fully defused as long as U.S. warships are located where they are,” SEB’s Bjarne Schieldrop said. Sparta oil market analysts, for their part, called a complete stop to India’s Russian oil imports “a sustained bullish development” for physical barrels.
9 February 2026
AI stocks brace for a big week: Micron slips on Samsung HBM4 talk as Nvidia looms

AI stocks brace for a big week: Micron slips on Samsung HBM4 talk as Nvidia looms

New York, Feb 9, 2026, 06:26 EST — Premarket Micron Technology stock slipped ahead of the bell Monday, following a Barron's piece pointing to a report that Samsung Electronics plans to kick off mass production of its next-gen high-bandwidth memory, HBM4, later this month. The chips are intended for Nvidia’s AI processors.
Silver price jumps again after wild swings as delayed U.S. data looms

Silver price jumps again after wild swings as delayed U.S. data looms

LONDON, February 9, 2026, 11:17 — Regular session Silver shot up 4.3% to $81.32 an ounce as of 0948 GMT on Monday, building on Friday’s hefty nearly 10% surge. A softer dollar helped fuel the gains. “Gold reclaims its historical role as a neutral sovereign asset,” said Rania Gule, senior market analyst at XS.com. Fawad Razaqzada at City Index and FOREX.com noted, “Silver is more of a risk asset than gold... when risk appetite is strong, you tend to see silver outperform gold.”
9 February 2026
Solana price sinks to $83 as bulls pitch $250 and bears warn of $20

Solana price sinks to $83 as bulls pitch $250 and bears warn of $20

Solana's SOL hovered near $83.21 Monday, dropping 4.27% in the last 24 hours, according to CoinGlass. Futures open interest clocked in close to $5.14 billion. Trading volume for Solana futures totaled about $10.0 billion, with liquidations reaching approximately $14.2 million over the same period, the data showed. Motley Fool’s Alex Carchidi, writing for Nasdaq.com, mapped out a strikingly broad forecast for Solana over the coming year—anywhere from $20 up to $250. That low-end target? It’s all about a class-action lawsuit zeroing in on Pump.fun, a meme-coin launchpad built on Solana. The complaint later roped in Solana Labs and the Solana Foundation as well, according to the piece. No ruling yet, of course, and, as the column noted, traders tend to price in potential legal blowback before any facts are established. Carchidi called out around $7.2 billion locked in DeFi apps and $13.4 billion in stablecoins on the network. “My base case is that the coin will dip a bit lower for the next few months, then recover,” he wrote, with Solana possibly climbing back above $120.
9 February 2026
China’s Treasury warning jolts the dollar as Takaichi win sends yen swinging, Nikkei to a record

China’s Treasury warning jolts the dollar as Takaichi win sends yen swinging, Nikkei to a record

Treasuries lost ground and the dollar weakened Monday, after sources said Chinese regulators had cautioned banks on the dangers tied to large holdings of U.S. government bonds. The U.S. 10-year yield ticked up three basis points to 4.23%. In Japan, stocks and bond yields climbed as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi secured an election victory. After a wild week that saw global stocks whip around, battered U.S. chip names and other momentum plays managed a jump, pulling equities higher. Now, with a packed slate of U.S. data on deck, traders face a fresh test: just how aggressively can they keep pricing in June rate cuts?
9 February 2026
Dow 50,000 Hangover: U.S. Stock Futures Steady as Jobs, CPI Loom After AI Jolt

Dow 50,000 Hangover: U.S. Stock Futures Steady as Jobs, CPI Loom After AI Jolt

Futures on Wall Street were barely budging early Monday, following last week's volatile tech action. Investors eyed the still-pending January payrolls update and consumer price figures for the month, which have the potential to reshape forecasts for Fed rate cuts. Dow E-minis added 46 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures traded lower. Timing is key here. Traders want to know if last week’s AI selloff was just a brief shakeout or a sign that growth stocks are heading for a deeper repricing, especially as investment ramps up and the returns remain elusive.
Shell stock creeps toward its yearly high as buybacks roll on — and JPMorgan sticks with “Overweight”

Shell stock creeps toward its yearly high as buybacks roll on — and JPMorgan sticks with “Overweight”

By 10:30 GMT on Monday, Shell shares were up 0.6% at 2,790 pence, with the stock still trading around 5% beneath its 52-week high. Buybacks are grabbing attention again, with oil and gas prices trending lower and investors watching for hints that hefty payouts could taper off. Exxon in the U.S. is sticking to its $20 billion buyback plan for this year, but over in Norway, Equinor slashed its repurchases by 70%. Shell CFO Sinead Gorman described the company’s payout range as “sacrosanct”.
9 February 2026
Gold price above $5,000 again as dollar slips; U.S. jobs and CPI tests loom

Gold price above $5,000 again as dollar slips; U.S. jobs and CPI tests loom

London, February 9, 2026, 11:01 — Regular session Gold stayed above the $5,000 mark on Monday, with spot prices touching $5,012.53 an ounce by 0948 GMT, up 1.1%. That followed Friday’s 4% surge. U.S. gold futures for April picked up the same, trading at $5,033.70. A weaker U.S. dollar and looming economic releases kept the metal buoyant. “Gold reclaims its role as a neutral sovereign asset,” XS.com senior analyst Rania Gule said, noting traders are now factoring in at least two quarter-point cuts in 2026.
9 February 2026
Dow futures steady as Wall Street braces for delayed jobs report and CPI after tech jitters

Dow futures steady as Wall Street braces for delayed jobs report and CPI after tech jitters

NEW YORK, Feb 9, 2026, 06:07 — Premarket Early Monday, U.S. stock index futures sent a mixed signal: Dow E-minis climbed 46 points, but S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 E-minis ticked down. Tech stocks had taken a hit lately, and now the focus is on several upcoming Fed speakers and critical data releases.
Dow Jones futures steady after Dow hits 50,000 as jobs report, CPI loom this week

Dow Jones futures steady after Dow hits 50,000 as jobs report, CPI loom this week

New York, February 9, 2026, 05:58 EST — Premarket Dow Jones Industrial Average futures held near flat early Monday, after the blue-chip index’s first close above 50,000 put a fresh spotlight on how much economic cooling the market can take. At 4:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis — futures contracts that track the index — were up 46 points, or 0.09%.
Ethereum’s $2,000 test: CoinShares sees outflows easing, but ETF cash keeps leaving

Ethereum’s $2,000 test: CoinShares sees outflows easing, but ETF cash keeps leaving

Crypto ETPs — that’s exchange-traded products like ETFs tracking digital assets — posted their third consecutive week of outflows, though the bleed slowed to $187 million last week, according to CoinShares on Monday. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, said the deceleration could signal “inflection points in investor sentiment.” Bitcoin products led the outflows with $264.4 million pulled, while ether ETPs actually attracted $5.3 million. XRP funds brought in $63 million; Solana saw $8.2 million in new money. On the price front, ether dropped 3.7% to $2,018, with bitcoin down 2.4% to $68,562. Right now, a thinning liquidity pool is making those flow shifts a bigger deal—routine selling can suddenly drop into an air pocket. According to Kaiko research analyst Thomas Probst, Bitcoin’s average 1% market depth—a gauge of how much can be transacted near the current price before it jolts—has shrunk to about $5 million, down from over $8 million in 2025. “Reduced liquidity translates into sharper and more erratic price movements,” Probst said. Denny Galindo, a strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, flagged last autumn’s crash as the moment when “popped the leverage bubble.”
Australia stock market today: ASX 200 jumps nearly 2% as tech rebounds; Pepper Money spikes on bid

Australia stock market today: ASX 200 jumps nearly 2% as tech rebounds; Pepper Money spikes on bid

Sydney, Feb 9, 2026, 21:54 AEDT — After-hours Australian stocks snapped back sharply Monday, reversing course as investors rushed into names battered last week. The S&P/ASX 200 finished up 161.3 points, or 1.85%, closing at 8,870.1. The All Ordinaries tacked on 1.97%. “Just a remarkable rebound,” IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said to AAP.

Stock Market Today

  • Volatility Anomaly Calls Stock Market Efficiency Into Question
    June 29, 2026, 8:04 PM EDT. The so-called 'volatility anomaly' pushes back against the efficient market hypothesis, which holds that stock prices reflect all available information and risk drives returns. Research from David C. Blitz and Pim van Vliet finds that low volatility stocks tend to outperform their riskier counterparts-counter to what efficiency theory would predict. That could mean markets are pricing risky stocks too high and safer ones too low, raising the chance of a stock market bubble. Behavioral finance points to things like overconfidence and herd behavior that create short-term inefficiencies. While many academics stick to index investing, professional managers still try to take advantage of anomalies like this. The volatility anomaly keeps doubts about market efficiency alive and points to patterns that might be an early sign of a correction.
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