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Federal Reserve 30 November 2025 - 2 December 2025

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The Federal Reserve ended its balance-sheet tightening on December 1, 2025, halting reductions to its securities portfolio. Markets now price in a nearly 90% chance of a rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. Internal divisions have surfaced within the FOMC, with up to five members reportedly skeptical of further cuts. Regulators released a new banking system assessment as Vice Chair Bowman described banks as “sound and resilient.”
2 December 2025
Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

Federal Reserve News Today (Dec. 2, 2025): Rate Cut Odds Near 90% as Fed Ends QT and Faces Growing Dissent

The Federal Reserve ended its quantitative tightening program on December 1, after more than $2.2 trillion in securities runoff. Futures markets now price in an 85–88% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting. The federal funds rate stands at 3.75%–4.00%. At least five of 12 voting members oppose further cuts, signaling deep divisions.
Kevin Hassett Emerges as Trump’s Frontrunner to Replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair — What a Dovish Pick Could Mean for Markets

Kevin Hassett Emerges as Trump’s Frontrunner to Replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair — What a Dovish Pick Could Mean for Markets

President Trump said he has chosen Jerome Powell’s successor as Federal Reserve chair and will announce the pick before Christmas. Betting markets and bank analysts now see Kevin Hassett as the clear frontrunner, with odds above 70%. Major banks have shifted rate forecasts, expecting earlier cuts. Trump has not confirmed the nominee’s name.
2 December 2025
Stock Market Today: Dow Drops 296 Points as Bitcoin Slumps and Fed Jitters Hit Wall Street

Stock Market Today: Dow Drops 296 Points as Bitcoin Slumps and Fed Jitters Hit Wall Street

The Dow fell 296 points to 47,420.77 Monday as the S&P 500 lost 0.34% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.29%. The ISM Manufacturing PMI slid to 48.2, marking a ninth month of contraction. Bitcoin tumbled 7%, dragging crypto stocks lower. Futures markets still price in a December Fed rate cut despite rising dissent within the Fed.
SPY Stock Outlook Today: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Starts December 2025 in the Red as Santa Rally Hopes Meet Fed Jitters

SPY Stock Outlook Today: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Starts December 2025 in the Red as Santa Rally Hopes Meet Fed Jitters

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) traded around $680.69 late Monday morning, down about 0.4% from Friday’s $683.39 close, mirroring a broader U.S. market pullback. SPY remains within a few dollars of its all-time high of $689.70, with year-to-date total return near 17%. Investors are watching for economic data and a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell later this month.
US Stock Market Today (Dec. 1, 2025): Wall Street Slips as Bitcoin Tumbles and Fed Jitters Build

US Stock Market Today (Dec. 1, 2025): Wall Street Slips as Bitcoin Tumbles and Fed Jitters Build

U.S. stocks fell Monday, with the Dow near 47,500 and the S&P 500 below 6,840, both down about 0.3%–0.5% as investors reacted to weak manufacturing data, a Bitcoin selloff, and rising bond yields. The CBOE Volatility Index climbed into the high teens. Traders awaited a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and eyed next week’s rate decision, with futures markets pricing in a high chance of a quarter-point cut.
Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Fed December 2025 Rate Cut Odds Surge as JPMorgan and BofA Flip, but Fed Remains Deeply Divided

Traders now see an 80–90% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its December 9–10 meeting, according to CME FedWatch futures. Major banks including JPMorgan and Bank of America have shifted to expecting a cut. Fed minutes and recent commentary show deep internal divisions, raising the risk of multiple dissents and a muddled policy message.
US Stock Market Today, December 1, 2025: Futures Fall as Fed Cut Bets Clash With Oil Spike and Bitcoin Slump

US Stock Market Today, December 1, 2025: Futures Fall as Fed Cut Bets Clash With Oil Spike and Bitcoin Slump

U.S. stock futures fell Monday, with Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq contracts down 0.4% to 0.8% after last week’s strong rally. Bitcoin dropped sharply, oil prices climbed, and traders increased bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Gold hit a six-week high. China’s factory and services data slipped into contraction, adding to global growth concerns.
Trump Says He Has Picked Next Fed Chair as Kevin Hassett Signals He’s ‘Happy to Serve’

Trump Says He Has Picked Next Fed Chair as Kevin Hassett Signals He’s ‘Happy to Serve’

President Donald Trump said Sunday he has chosen a nominee to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair but did not reveal the name. Markets and insiders increasingly expect Trump’s top economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, to be the pick. Hassett called the speculation a “rumor” but said he would be “happy to serve.” Trump said a formal announcement is coming “soon.”
1 December 2025
Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed as China PMIs Contract and Bitcoin Slides Ahead of Key Fed Week

Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed as China PMIs Contract and Bitcoin Slides Ahead of Key Fed Week

Asia-Pacific stocks opened December mixed as new Chinese factory data showed continued economic weakness and cryptocurrencies sold off sharply. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.3% while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose up to 0.8%. China’s official manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.2 in November, still below the expansion threshold. US equity futures pointed lower ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision next week.
Trump’s Fed Shake-Up: Hassett Emerges as Chair Favorite, Bessent Pushes a “Simplified Fed” and Bitcoin Reels from the $6.6 Trillion December Flip

Trump’s Fed Shake-Up: Hassett Emerges as Chair Favorite, Bessent Pushes a “Simplified Fed” and Bitcoin Reels from the $6.6 Trillion December Flip

Kevin Hassett has emerged as the leading contender to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, with President Trump saying he has chosen his nominee but withholding the name. The Fed’s balance sheet has dropped to $6.6 trillion, and policymakers ended quantitative tightening on December 1. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is pushing for a simpler central bank. Bitcoin fell below $86,000 amid speculation over Fed policy shifts.
1 December 2025
Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s Youngest Billionaire vs. a Divided Fed: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing a December 2025 Rate Cut

Polymarket’s “Fed decision in December” market showed 88% odds of a 25-basis-point rate cut as of Nov. 30, 2025, with over $25 million traded. Founder Shayne Coplan, 27, became the world’s youngest self-made billionaire after a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange. Polymarket recently secured U.S. regulatory approval after a four-year ban. The December FOMC meeting remains deeply divided.
US Stock Market Forecast 2025: What Wall Street Expects Into Year‑End After the Fed Pivot

US Stock Market Forecast 2025: What Wall Street Expects Into Year‑End After the Fed Pivot

The S&P 500 is up about 16% for 2025, trading near record highs as December begins. The Federal Reserve has cut rates twice this year and is expected to lower them again by 25 basis points in December. AI-driven tech stocks have led market gains. Most major banks forecast the S&P 500 to finish 2025 between 6,000 and 7,100.
Gold Price Today, November 30, 2025: XAU/USD Near $4,230 as Markets Bet on Fed Cuts and 2026 Record Highs

Gold Price Today, November 30, 2025: XAU/USD Near $4,230 as Markets Bet on Fed Cuts and 2026 Record Highs

Spot gold traded near $4,230 per ounce on November 30, just below October’s record high, capping a 59% year-on-year surge. Central banks and Tether have added hundreds of tonnes in 2025. Major banks now forecast gold above $4,000 for 2026. Local prices in Vietnam, Nepal, and the UK hit new highs in local currencies.
World Stock Markets Poised for December 1, 2025 Open as Fed Ends QT and Rate‑Cut Bets Surge

World Stock Markets Poised for December 1, 2025 Open as Fed Ends QT and Rate‑Cut Bets Surge

The U.S. Federal Reserve ends its quantitative tightening program Monday, halting balance-sheet runoff and boosting expectations for a December rate cut. Global equity indices hover near record highs after strong November gains, but U.S. equity funds saw $4.56 billion in outflows last week as some investors moved to de-risk. European stocks posted their longest winning streak since March 2024.
30 November 2025
US Stock Market Outlook, December 1–5, 2025: PCE Inflation, AI Earnings and Fed Rate‑Cut Bets

US Stock Market Outlook, December 1–5, 2025: PCE Inflation, AI Earnings and Fed Rate‑Cut Bets

The S&P 500 is up more than 16% for 2025, with major US stock indices near record highs after their strongest Thanksgiving week in over a decade. Investors face uncertainty as delayed government data, a pending Federal Reserve rate decision, and key AI and retail earnings loom. The November jobs report has been postponed to December 16 due to the recent federal shutdown. Rate-cut bets for the December FOMC meeting have surged.
US Money News, Nov. 28–30, 2025: Record Black Friday Spending, Fed Cut Expectations and a Futures Market Shock

US Money News, Nov. 28–30, 2025: Record Black Friday Spending, Fed Cut Expectations and a Futures Market Shock

US consumers spent a record $11.8 billion online on Black Friday 2025, up 9.1% from last year, according to Adobe Analytics. The surge came as AI tools drove an 805% jump in retail site traffic and influenced $3 billion in US sales. Meanwhile, a rare global futures trading outage and rising credit card debt fueled concerns about economic stability. Expectations of a December Fed rate cut grew.
Silver Smashes Records as Gold Rallies on Fed Rate‑Cut Bets: What November 30, 2025 Means for Precious Metals Investors

Silver Smashes Records as Gold Rallies on Fed Rate‑Cut Bets: What November 30, 2025 Means for Precious Metals Investors

Silver hit a record high above $56 per ounce on November 30, gaining about 6% in a single session and nearly doubling in price since January. Gold traded above $4,200, up roughly 60% year-to-date. Silver’s rally has outpaced gold, with year-on-year gains close to 87%. The surge follows strong investor demand, supply shortages, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
30 November 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • Premarket Stock Movers: Goldman Sachs, Revolution Medicines Surge, Best Buy Slips
    April 13, 2026, 8:29 AM EDT. Goldman Sachs shares dropped over 2% despite beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, driven by record equities trading and investment banking. Revolution Medicines soared 37% as its pancreatic cancer drug, daraxonrasib, showed survival benefits in a phase 3 trial. Williams-Sonoma gained 2% following a buy rating upgrade from Goldman Sachs. Best Buy slid 4% after being downgraded to sell by Goldman due to concerns over rising memory costs affecting laptop sales. Homebuilders Toll Brothers and Pultegroup rose over 1% after upgrades by Evercore ISI. Fastenal declined 4% despite meeting earnings expectations. Energy stocks climbed with oil above $103 amid a U.S. naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. Cruise lines and airlines faced pressure from rising costs and demand fears, causing share declines.

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Trump Orders Iran Blockade as Oil Nears $150 in Europe and Stocks Slip

Trump Orders Iran Blockade as Oil Nears $150 in Europe and Stocks Slip

13 April 2026
Europe’s immediate-delivery crude surged to nearly $150 a barrel and U.S. stock futures dropped after the U.S. ordered a blockade on Iranian port traffic, set to begin at 1400 GMT. North Sea Forties crude hit a record $148.87, while Brent rose above $100. Shipping through the Gulf showed disruption, with tankers rerouting and Tehran warning of retaliation. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures all fell before the open.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock Rebounds After Cathie Wood Buys the Dip, but AI Rival Fears Linger

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock Rebounds After Cathie Wood Buys the Dip, but AI Rival Fears Linger

13 April 2026
Palantir Technologies rose 2% in premarket trading Monday after ARK Invest bought 85,485 shares worth $11.15 million across five ETFs. The move follows a sector-wide selloff triggered by concerns over new AI tools like Anthropic’s Claude Mythos. Palantir reported 70% fourth-quarter revenue growth and expects up to $7.2 billion in 2026 revenue. The stock traded at about 99 times projected 2026 earnings on Monday.
NVIDIA Stock Rises on TSMC AI Demand Signal, but Amazon and Google Loom

NVIDIA Stock Rises on TSMC AI Demand Signal, but Amazon and Google Loom

13 April 2026
Nvidia shares climbed $4.60 to $188.63 Monday after analysts flagged record profits at supplier TSMC, driven by AI demand. Nvidia reported record quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion, with $62.3 billion from data centers. Amazon and Broadcom signaled growing competition in AI chips. Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron reported tight high-bandwidth memory supply as prices rose.
Upcoming Stock Splits This Week: Nasdaq Reverse Splits Pile Up as Booking, Powell and Pashupati Stand Apart

Upcoming Stock Splits This Week: Nasdaq Reverse Splits Pile Up as Booking, Powell and Pashupati Stand Apart

13 April 2026
NextPlat, MultiSensor AI, Cenntro, and Quince Therapeutics will begin trading Monday on a reverse-split basis, with ratios ranging from 1-for-10 to 1-for-60. Several other Nasdaq-listed firms, including Huachen AI Parking and Akanda, are also set for reverse splits. Last week saw forward splits from Booking Holdings and Powell Industries. Cenntro and Quince both disclosed ongoing Nasdaq compliance concerns.
Sensex Slides 703 Points, Nifty Ends Below 23,850 as Oil Tops $100 After U.S.-Iran Talks Fail

Sensex Slides 703 Points, Nifty Ends Below 23,850 as Oil Tops $100 After U.S.-Iran Talks Fail

13 April 2026
The Sensex fell 702.68 points to 76,847.57 and the Nifty 50 dropped 207.95 points to 23,842.65 as Brent crude surged nearly 8% to $102.8 a barrel. The rupee slid 0.7% to 93.3750 per dollar, its sharpest decline in two weeks. Reliance Industries, HPCL, and BPCL shares dropped after the government raised export duties. Indian markets will be closed Tuesday for a local holiday.
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