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Federal Reserve 29 September 2025 - 24 October 2025

Bond Yields Plunge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts and Stock Rally in Play?

Bond Yields Plunge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts and Stock Rally in Play?

U.S. consumer inflation rose 3.0% year-on-year in September, slightly below forecasts, prompting markets to fully price in a Fed rate cut next week. The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% and the dollar weakened on the news. S&P 500 futures jumped about 1%, lifting stocks toward record highs. Financials outperformed, while homebuilders and utilities lagged.
Stocks Rocket on Cooling Inflation Data; Tech Stocks & Fed Speeches in Spotlight

Stocks Rocket on Cooling Inflation Data; Tech Stocks & Fed Speeches in Spotlight

US September CPI rose 3.0% year-on-year, below the 3.1% forecast, fueling a Wall Street rally and bets on a Fed rate cut next week. Nasdaq gained 0.9%, S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and Dow added 0.3% on October 23. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index plunged to −12.8 in October from +23.2. Oil prices spiked on new sanctions, while gold eased from record highs.
Stocks Rally as U.S. Inflation Cools – Asia Joins Global Rally, Fed Cut Seen as Lock

Stocks Rally as U.S. Inflation Cools – Asia Joins Global Rally, Fed Cut Seen as Lock

U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in September, below forecasts, with core CPI up 0.2%. Wall Street futures climbed after the data; Dow E-mini futures gained 0.5%, S&P 500 E-minis 0.7%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis 0.98%. Intel surged 8% pre-market on strong earnings, while Deckers Outdoor dropped 11.5% after cutting guidance. Fed futures now price in a 25bp rate cut at next week’s meeting.
10-Year Treasury Yield Plunges Below 4% as Trade War & Fed Pivot Spur Flight to Safety

10-Year Treasury Yield Plunges Below 4% as Trade War & Fed Pivot Spur Flight to Safety

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 3.97%, dropping below 4% for the first time in 2025 as investors rushed to bonds amid U.S.–China trade tensions and banking scandals. Gold surged to a record above $4,378 per ounce. Fed officials signaled two rate cuts this year, with markets fully pricing in an October move. Stocks reversed gains, with the Dow down nearly 400 points and global markets sliding.
17 October 2025
EUR/USD Bull Run Ignites Day-Trader Frenzy – Gold Soars & Fed Cuts Loom, But Trading Remains “A Very Lonely Sport”

EUR/USD Bull Run Ignites Day-Trader Frenzy – Gold Soars & Fed Cuts Loom, But Trading Remains “A Very Lonely Sport”

The euro jumped about 0.34% to $1.1645 on Oct 15–16 as the U.S. dollar index slipped 0.36%, driven by dovish Fed signals and European political stability. U.S. stocks rose mid-week on strong tech and bank earnings, but late credit concerns erased gains. Gold futures surged past $4,200/oz, while 10-year Treasury yields fell to 3.97%. Google searches for “day trading group” spiked 572% as traders sought community.
17 October 2025
Dow Dips as Fed Fears Slam Tech Stocks – Hot Economic Data Rattles Wall Street (Sept 25, 2025)

Stocks Surge on Trade Optimism and Fed Cut Hopes – Is a New Bull Run Brewing?

The S&P 500 closed near 6,671, up 0.4%, and the Nasdaq reached 22,670, up 0.7%, as trade-war concerns eased and Fed officials signaled more rate cuts. Morgan Stanley rose 4.7% and Bank of America 4.4%. AMD spiked about 24% in a day; Nvidia is up 41% year-to-date. Dow futures rose 0.4% and S&P 500 futures 0.2% on the morning of Oct. 16.
Powell’s High-Stakes Speech Spurs Markets – Fed Signals More Rate Cuts in 2025

Fed Cuts Rates — But Mortgage Rates Refuse to Fall, Tech Stocks Surge to New Highs

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points in September and signaled two more cuts this year, but 30-year mortgage rates remain near 6.2%. Pending home sales fell 1.3% year-over-year in September as buyers wait for lower rates. The 10-year Treasury yield hovers around 4.0%, driven by surging federal debt. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached record highs in early October, led by tech and AI stocks.
Bond Bombshell: Powell’s Dovish Tone Sends Treasury Yields Plunging – 2-Year Notes at 2022 Lows

Bond Bombshell: Powell’s Dovish Tone Sends Treasury Yields Plunging – 2-Year Notes at 2022 Lows

U.S. bond yields dropped sharply after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled more rate cuts and an end to quantitative tightening, with the 2-year Treasury nearing 3.47%. Gold surged to record highs above $4,100/oz as investors sought safety. Equity markets were mixed, while oil prices fell on demand concerns. Renewed U.S.-China trade tensions rattled global markets and pushed yields lower.
15 October 2025
Powell’s High-Stakes Speech Spurs Markets – Fed Signals More Rate Cuts in 2025

Powell’s High-Stakes Speech Spurs Markets – Fed Signals More Rate Cuts in 2025

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled likely two more interest rate cuts this year, citing rising risks to jobs despite inflation above target. Policymakers remain split, with some urging caution over persistent inflation and others prioritizing labor market support. U.S. and European stocks dipped ahead of Powell’s remarks, while Japan’s Nikkei fell sharply amid trade and political concerns.
14 October 2025
Powell’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Fed’s Dilemma Sparks Market Turmoil and Record Highs

Powell’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Fed’s Dilemma Sparks Market Turmoil and Record Highs

Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited ~4% Q3 GDP growth and rising productivity but warned tariffs and immigration limits could raise inflation and unemployment. Markets expect two more rate cuts by year-end after September’s 0.25% cut. Official jobs data remain delayed by the government shutdown. U.S. stocks hit record highs before trade tensions and new tariffs triggered sharp declines and a gold rally.
14 October 2025
Stocks Surge as Trump Eases China Tariff Threats – Fed Rate-Cut Hopes Ignite Rally

Stocks Surge as Trump Eases China Tariff Threats – Fed Rate-Cut Hopes Ignite Rally

U.S. stock futures surged Monday after President Trump eased trade threats against China, with Nasdaq e-minis up 1.8% and tech stocks leading gains. Nvidia rose 3.3% pre-market, Tesla 2.8%. Gold hit records near $4,100/oz as investors sought safety. JPMorgan gained 1.4% after announcing a $1.5 trillion investment plan; MB Materials jumped 10% on China export curbs.
Massive Moves: Record Deals, FDA Wins & Crypto Mania Propel Top Stock Gainers (Sep 29, 2025)

Record Rally Stalls as Fed Cut Bets Soar and Earnings Loom

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 hit record highs this week before retreating Thursday; U.S. stock futures edged up 0.1% early Friday. Fed funds futures now price in a 95% chance of a rate cut in October. Some economic data releases are delayed by the ongoing federal shutdown. Major banks and tech firms begin reporting Q3 earnings next week.
Powell’s Next Move Could Make or Break 2025’s Record Stock Rally

Powell’s Next Move Could Make or Break 2025’s Record Stock Rally

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Oct. 8, with the S&P up 0.6% to 6,753.72 and the Nasdaq rising 1.1% to 23,043.38. Gold surged past $4,000/oz for the first time, peaking at $4,078 before retreating slightly. Tech stocks soared, led by AMD’s 24% jump after an OpenAI deal. The Fed signaled more rate cuts after its first 2025 reduction, though inflation concerns remain.
Wall Street Feels the Heat (and Thrill): Fed Cuts, Tariffs & Mega-Mergers Set NYSE Buzz

Nasdaq Futures Slip After AI-Fueled Record Rally – Fed Cuts, Shutdown Drama & Tech Frenzy Drive Wall Street Surge

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs Monday, driven by AMD’s 23.7% surge after announcing an AI chip partnership with OpenAI. U.S. stock futures slipped early Tuesday as the government shutdown delayed key economic data, pushing investors to watch Fed commentary for signals on rates. Futures markets now see a 95% chance of a Fed rate cut in October. Tesla, AppLovin, and Robinhood also posted strong gains on tech optimism.
Dow Soars to Record as Fed Cut Fever Grips Wall Street – Nasdaq Sags on Tech Slide – US Stock Market Today

Dow Soars to Record as Fed Cut Fever Grips Wall Street – Nasdaq Sags on Tech Slide – US Stock Market Today

The Dow Jones closed up 0.8% at a record 46,873.59 and the S&P 500 gained 0.2% to 6,726.74 on October 3, while the Nasdaq slipped 0.2% after early highs. Utilities led sector gains as tech stocks lagged, with Nvidia down 1.6% and Tesla off 3.3%. Lithium Americas surged nearly 30% after a U.S. government equity deal. Rate-cut hopes and weak economic data drove trading amid a continued government shutdown.
Gold Price Surges Past $3,800; Silver Nears 14-Year High on Fed-Cut and Shutdown Fears

Gold Price Surges Past $3,800; Silver Nears 14-Year High on Fed-Cut and Shutdown Fears

Gold hit a record $3,871.45 an ounce on Sept 30 before slipping to around $3,800, down 0.9% early in the day. Silver reached $46.85, its highest in over 14 years, and platinum touched $1,593. Both gold and silver are up sharply in 2025, with gold rising over 40% year-to-date. Safe-haven demand is driven by U.S. shutdown risks, Fed rate cut expectations, and geopolitical tensions.
Nasdaq Sizzles on Tech Mania as Shutdown and Fed Drama Unfold – Will the Rally Last?

Nasdaq Sizzles on Tech Mania as Shutdown and Fed Drama Unfold – Will the Rally Last?

Nasdaq futures rose 0.4% early Monday after the index closed Friday at 22,484.07, up 0.44% but still down 0.7% for the week. Electronic Arts jumped 15% on a reported $50 billion buyout offer, while Intel rallied on talks with Apple. Asian markets climbed and gold hit a record $3,800/oz. U.S. investors watched for a possible government shutdown and awaited the September jobs report.
Wall Street Braces for Shutdown: Stocks Rally as Fed Cuts Loom – Tech & Defense in Focus

Wall Street Braces for Shutdown: Stocks Rally as Fed Cuts Loom – Tech & Defense in Focus

S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% Monday as Congress faced a Tuesday midnight deadline to avert a U.S. government shutdown. Gold hit a record $3,808/oz, while oil slipped near $70 on OPEC+ news. AstraZeneca shares gained 1.3% on its NYSE listing plan; First Brands Group filed for Chapter 11. Investors trimmed Fed rate-cut bets amid mixed economic data and looming jobs report.
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