Today: 1 May 2026
Heating oil price pops again as distillate stocks swing; traders brace for jobs data
9 January 2026
1 min read

Heating oil price pops again as distillate stocks swing; traders brace for jobs data

NEW YORK, Jan 9, 2026, 06:53 EST — Premarket

NY Harbor ULSD (ultra-low sulfur diesel) futures — the main U.S. benchmark for heating oil and diesel — climbed 2.8 cents to $2.1476 a gallon. Traders are eyeing resistance close to $2.16 and support near $2.07. Meanwhile, WTI crude gained 49 cents to $58.25 a barrel and Brent advanced 54 cents to $62.53.

Heating oil prices draw attention in January since they show up fast on home energy bills across the U.S. Northeast, and they can also feed through into transportation expenses. Traders, meanwhile, use the contract as a real-time gauge of distillate demand when refinery production changes or supply risks move around.

U.S. distillate fuel stocks — a broad category that includes heating oil and diesel — increased to 129.273 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 2 from 123.679 million the prior week, according to Energy Information Administration data. East Coast inventories rose to 32.906 million barrels, and the Central Atlantic region accounted for most of the gain.

Crude held its ground as traders assessed the risk of disruption in Iran and fresh uncertainty over Venezuelan supply. “Iran protests seem to be gathering momentum, leading the market to worry about disruptions,” Ole Hansen, head of commodity analysis at Saxo Bank, said. Haitong Futures, meanwhile, flagged rising inventories and oversupply as the anchor that could limit further gains. reuters.com

Thursday brought a surge in distillates: February NY Harbor ULSD was last seen up 4.54% at $2.1501 a gallon in a CME update, with roughly 51,000 lots traded by then.

Still, the rally looks vulnerable if the news cycle doesn’t translate into actual barrels coming off the market. Analysts at Ritterbusch and Associates said it could take years for a meaningful flow of Venezuelan crude to reach the U.S. Gulf Coast, and Raymond James strategist Pavel Molchanov warned Iran’s exports “could be at risk” if unrest escalates. reuters.com

Macro news can still whip prices around. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report lands Friday ahead of Wall Street’s open, and traders are leaning on it for signals on rate-cut bets after last year’s shutdown skewed parts of the data flow.

Distillate traders now have their eyes on the EIA’s weekly petroleum report due Jan. 14, set to update diesel and heating oil inventory figures following the holiday stretch.

Stock Market Today

  • Erste Group Raises Southern Company Earnings Forecast for FY2026
    May 1, 2026, 8:32 AM EDT. Erste Group Bank has increased its full-year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimate for Southern Company to $4.57 from $4.56, slightly below the consensus of $4.58. Several analysts have recently adjusted price targets, including Scotiabank and TD Cowen, reflecting cautious optimism. Southern's stock traded at $94.46, with a market capitalization of $106.59 billion. The utility missed quarterly EPS expectations by $0.01 but saw revenue rise 10.1% year-over-year to $6.98 billion. Southern also announced a $0.76 quarterly dividend payable June 8. The company maintains a strong financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.69 and steady profitability metrics. Analyst ratings remain mixed, with a Hold consensus and an average target price near $99.

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