Reddit (NYSE:RDDT) shares drop 10% as 85% of net user growth comes from overseas markets
31 July 2026
2 mins read

Reddit (NYSE:RDDT) shares drop 10% as 85% of net user growth comes from overseas markets

NEW YORK, July 31, 2026, 06:04 EDT

  • Shares were pointed 9.6% lower at $161 ahead of Friday’s regular trading session.
  • Reddit reported a 61% increase in second-quarter revenue to $805 million, surpassing Wall Street expectations.
  • International regions contributed 85% of net daily active user increases, yet accounted for just 25% of additional revenue.

Reddit shares dropped in premarket trade on Friday, slipping to $161 after closing at $178.04 on Thursday, even as the company reported earnings that exceeded expectations.

Stock chart for NYSE:RDDT

Attention shifted to the origins of Reddit’s expanding user base. Of the 19.9 million net new daily users, 17 million originated from international regions.

The company reported that $76 million of the $305.3 million rise in revenue came from those markets. According to its data, this accounted for 24.9% of additional sales.

International users make up 59.2% of daily active uniques, or DAUq, but contributed only 20.7% of revenue for the quarter. U.S. average revenue per unique, or ARPU, was 5.2 times greater.

Company figures indicate the gap continues even as overseas growth accelerates. Additional shares listed are based on annual changes.

Q2 2026 metricU.S.International
DAUq53.2 million77.1 million
DAUq increase6%28%
Portion of net DAUq gains14.6%85.4%
Revenue$638.1 million$166.8 million
Revenue increase56%84%
Portion of overall revenue79.3%20.7%
Percent of net revenue growth75.1%24.9%
ARPU$11.85$2.26

Financial results were otherwise solid. Revenue increased by 61% to $804.9 million. Advertising sales jumped 64% to $762 million.

Net income rose to $253 million from $89 million. Adjusted EBITDA surged to $343 million, more than twice the previous figure. The margin increased to 42.6% from 33.4%.

The company’s outlook and its quarterly results both surpassed analyst expectations on Wall Street. Revenue projections are sourced from LSEG, and FactSet provided the profit forecast.

MetricResult or guidance midpointConsensusDifference
Q2 revenue$804.9 million$730.4 million10.2% higher
Q2 diluted EPS$1.25$1.0123.8% above
Q3 revenue$865 million$829.1 million4.3% up
Q3 adjusted EBITDA$390 million$369 million5.7% higher

Reddit projected third-quarter revenue in the range of $860 million to $870 million. The company forecast adjusted EBITDA at $385 million to $395 million.

However, U.S. DAUq declined to 53.2 million from 53.5 million quarter-on-quarter. International DAUq increased by 5.2% to reach 77.1 million.

Monetization offset the decline, with U.S. ARPU rising 23.1% from the prior quarter. U.S. revenue climbed 21.4% even as the daily audience shrank.

The quarterly trend indicates that higher prices counterbalanced weaker U.S. user numbers.

MetricQ1 2026Q2 2026Sequential change
U.S. DAUq53.5 million53.2 million-0.6%
International DAUq73.3 million77.1 million+5.2%
U.S. ARPU$9.63$11.85+23.1%
International ARPU$2.02$2.26+11.9%
U.S. revenue$525.6 million$638.1 million+21.4%
Adjusted EBITDA margin40.1%42.6%+2.5 points

Chief Executive Steve Huffman noted that search referrals were “choppy in the quarter.” He also mentioned that traffic showed increased volatility toward the end of the period. Reuters

Chief Operating Officer Jen Wong stated that “SEO headwinds” surpassed their acquisition efforts. The number of advertisers nevertheless increased by 70%, driven mainly by smaller and overseas clients. Reuters

Cash conversion was robust. Free cash flow amounted to $261 million. Capital expenditures stood at just $1 million, demonstrating Reddit’s capital-light approach.

Reddit bought back 1.5 million shares at an average cost of $157.57 each. The stock was quoted in Friday’s premarket trading just around 2% higher than this price.

Risks: Fluctuations in U.S. traffic could persist due to search modifications. Revenue per international user is still significantly lower compared to the U.S. Meta Platforms is pursuing a similar community-based approach, and advertising demand continues to be influenced by cyclical trends.

Friday’s session will challenge investors to decide which signal holds greater importance. The immediate focus is on a rebound in U.S. audience growth, provided pricing does not decline.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What is causing Reddit shares to drop after reporting robust earnings?

RDDT ended trading on July 30 at $178.04. Early premarket action around 6:00 a.m. Eastern on July 31 placed the shares near $161, marking a drop of about 9.6%. Market participants cited slowing U.S. user growth and unpredictable search referrals. The response indicated that concerns over traffic took precedence over the significant financial outperformance. Public

How robust were Reddit’s results in the second quarter?

Revenue climbed to $804.9 million, up 61% from the prior year. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected $731 million, so revenue was around 10% higher than consensus. Diluted earnings came in at $1.25 per share, above the $0.95 forecast. Net income surged 183% to $252.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased 106% to $342.8 million, with a margin of 42.6%. Business Wire

What are the implications of Reddit’s guidance for the third quarter?

Management projects third-quarter revenue to fall between $860 million and $870 million, with adjusted EBITDA forecasted within a $385 million to $395 million range. At the midpoint, revenue would show an approximate 48% year-over-year increase. The midpoint for adjusted EBITDA margin is estimated at nearly 45%. Both forecasts surpass pre-report analyst expectations of $829.1 million in revenue and $369 million in adjusted EBITDA. While growth is decelerating, it is still exceptionally strong. Business Wire

Is Reddit maintaining strong user growth?

Reddit reported an 18% rise in quarterly daily active uniques (DAUq) to 130.3 million, while weekly active uniques grew 24% to 514.6 million. U.S. DAUq edged down from 53.5 million to 53.2 million quarter-on-quarter. Year-over-year, logged-in U.S. DAUq was up just 1%. International DAUq surged 28% to 77.1 million. Domestic engagement remains Reddit’s primary operational challenge. Business Wire

Is Reddit capable of further boosting revenue for each user?

Global average revenue per user climbed 36% to a record $6.18. In the U.S., ARPU jumped 51% to $11.85, while international ARPU increased 31%, standing much lower at $2.26. Revenue from international regions grew 84% to $166.8 million for the quarter. Reddit’s advertiser base grew 70% compared to the previous year. Monetization remains robust, though performance continues to vary by geography. Business Wire

Does artificial intelligence pose a greater opportunity or risk to Reddit?

Other revenue, which includes content licensing, climbed 24% to $43 million and accounted for 5.3% of Reddit’s sales for the quarter. The company did not break out content-licensing revenue for the second quarter specifically. Reddit is boosting its appeal to advertisers with AI-driven ad tools. At the same time, AI-generated search summaries present a risk of lowering referral traffic to Reddit. As of year-end 2025, two partners accounted for nearly all the value of licensing contracts. While the financial outlook appears positive, the heavy reliance on a small number of partners and contract renewals adds risk. Business Wire

Does Reddit remain pricey around $161?

With the premarket price near $161 on July 31, the company’s 207 million fully diluted shares indicate an equity value of about $33.3 billion. Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities stand at approximately $2.786 billion. This leads to a simplified enterprise value close to $30.5 billion. For the trailing twelve months through June, revenue amounted to around $2.78 billion. That calculates to a simplified enterprise-value-to-sales ratio of nearly 11. The valuation continues to reflect expectations of ongoing growth and additional margin gains. Premarket prices can change rapidly. Public

What do analysts predict regarding Reddit’s stock price?

Consensus providers now indicate average price targets ranging from $226 to $236, with the full range of published estimates extending from around $110 up to $303. Most sources continue to show a consensus that leans toward Buy ratings. Based on the $161 current level, these averages suggest potential upside of roughly 40% to 47%. Analyst coverage and post-earnings adjustment cycles may shift these figures. Price targets serve as forecasts and should not be seen as guaranteed minimums. TradingView

Do Reddit’s share repurchases counterbalance stock-based compensation?

Stock-based compensation and associated payroll taxes reached $106.8 million in Q2, accounting for approximately 13.3% of revenue for the quarter. Reddit bought back 1.5 million shares for a total of $235 million, with an average price of $157.57 per share. These buybacks used close to 90% of the company’s free cash flow for the quarter. The fully diluted share count rose just 0.2% compared with the same period last year. Buybacks are limiting dilution, though compensation costs remain significant. Business Wire

Might being added to the S&P 500 serve as a further catalyst?

Reddit has been part of the Russell 1000 and Russell 3000 indices since June 2025. The company is not listed in the S&P 500 at present. Barron’s named Reddit as a contender for future S&P 500 inclusion in June 2026. Its market capitalization and recent GAAP profitability suggest it could meet the qualifications. Still, decisions on membership and timing rest with the S&P committee. No official entry date has been disclosed. Investors should consider this a potential benefit rather than a projection. redditinc.com

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and emerging industries. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and previously worked in market research before moving into financial journalism. Her coverage focuses on the companies, innovations and economic trends influencing global investors. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

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