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Inflation 26 September 2025 - 23 October 2025

Kazakhstan Freezes Fuel Prices Through Spring 2026 – Will It Tame Inflation or Fuel Bigger Problems?

Kazakhstan Freezes Fuel Prices Through Spring 2026 – Will It Tame Inflation or Fuel Bigger Problems?

Facing the fastest inflation in years, Kazakhstan’s government has taken the dramatic step of freezing prices on fuels and household utilities. The nationwide moratorium took effect on October 16, 2025, halting any further price increases for AI-92 gasoline and diesel fuel until inflation stabilizes, and similarly suspending hikes in tariffs for water, electricity, heating and natural gas for all consumers until at least end-March 2026 astanatimes.com asiaplustj.info. These emergency controls aim to “stabilize the economy and protect citizens’ interests” amid the inflation surge, following direct instructions from President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev astanatimes.com. The freeze on energy prices is part of a broader relief package – including doubling food price subsidies and other support – intended to “ensure macroeconomic stability” during a period of economic strain astanatimes.com asiaplustj.info. Economy Minister Serik Jumangarin announced that the fuel price cap will last “until at least next spring” reuters.com. “What’s important for us now is to wait, at least until next spring. We need to wait for the situation in neighbouring countries to stabilize,” Jumangarin told reporters in Astana reuters.com. He attributed Kazakhstan’s fuel price spike largely to external factors – notably knock-on effects from Russia’s domestic fuel market turmoil due to the war in
23 October 2025
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Gas Price Crash: Pump Prices Near $3 for First Time in Years – How Low Can They Go?

Gas Price Crash: Pump Prices Near $3 for First Time in Years – How Low Can They Go?

American drivers are enjoying a level of pump price relief not seen in several years. The national average price for regular gasoline is now hovering around $3.05 a gallon, the lowest in roughly four years foxbusiness.com. Just a month ago it was about $3.20, and a year ago it was around $3.20 as well – meaning prices have fallen about 10¢ in the past month and 15¢ versus this time last year foxbusiness.com. In fact, gas prices have steadily declined for seven straight weeks, reaching their cheapest levels of 2025 so far ts2.tech. Some pricing sources show the key $3 threshold being breached. On Sunday, GasBuddy – which tracks pump transactions – recorded a national average of $2.99 per gallon money.com. This was the first time any tracker saw a “2” handle on U.S. gas since late 2024, and GasBuddy data even hit an intraday low of $2.97 on Monday money.com. Official government and AAA estimates have hovered just above $3 money.com, but the trend is clearly downward across datasets.
23 October 2025
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Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Market Context: While metals are surging, U.S. equities have wavered. On Oct. 13, 2025, the Dow Jones fell ~1.9% to 45,480, the S&P 500 slid ~2.7%, and the Nasdaq plunged ~3.6% investing.com investing.com. Tech giants saw steep losses. The contrast underscores a classic flight to safety: amid geopolitical turmoil and U.S. policy gridlock, investors are hedging with “hard” assets. Why Prices Are Climbing: According to market experts, gold and silver are rallying on broad macro factors, not just short-term news investing.com theguardian.com. Investors worry that unsustainable debt and rising deficits will weaken currencies, making precious metals more attractive as stores of value investing.com theguardian.com. Khasay Hashimov of Investing.com notes a “quiet but persistent fear of monetary debasement”, driving demand for non‑yielding assets like gold investing.com. JP Morgan analysts call it “the familiar pattern of dollar debasement against alternative reserve assets” theguardian.com. Indeed, gold is benefiting from a weaker real dollar and bond yields near cycle lows, which erode the opportunity cost of holding bullion investing.com ts2.tech.
13 October 2025
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Brazil’s Producer Prices Plunge for 7th Month – Are We Heading for a Broader Slowdown?

Brazil’s Producer Prices Plunge for 7th Month – Are We Heading for a Broader Slowdown?

According to the IBGE agency, factory‐gate prices in Brazil’s industry continued to decline in August. Prices of manufactured and extractive goods fell 0.20% from July, led by lower prices for food products, chemicals and raw materials. Of 24 industrial sub-sectors, half saw price declines while only machinery/electronics prices rose modestly. IBGE notes that sugar, soy and rice and chemicals pulled overall inflation down agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br. The drop was smaller than earlier in 2025, suggesting the disinflation trend may be easing. Nevertheless, this is the seventh straight month of decline in producer prices, wiping out nearly all post-pandemic inflation gains in industry. Paradoxically, industrial output has begun to recover. IBGE’s monthly production index rose 0.8% in August agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br, ending four months of stagnation. Manufacturing is now about 2.9% above its Feb 2020 pre-COVID level agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br, though still well below its 2011 peak. The upturn was broad-based – 16 of 25 sectors expanded, including pharmaceuticals, petroleum products and food. Output growth alongside falling prices could signal improving supply or weak demand. As IBGE’s André Macedo explains, a low base last year helped boost August’s gains agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br. In year-on-year terms, industrial production is marginally down agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br, reflecting lingering challenges like energy costs and modest
10 October 2025
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Tariff Shock and Fed Jitters: Asian Markets Stumble as Rally Meets Reality

PCE Inflation Today: “Goldilocks” or Head Fake? What the 26 Sept 2025 Report Really Means for Your Wallet, the Fed, and Markets

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that headline PCE prices rose 0.3% in August, nudging the yearly rate to 2.7%. Core PCE—the measure the Fed emphasizes—rose 0.2% on the month and held at 2.9% year‑over‑year. The monthly pace is consistent with ~2½–3% annualized inflation, not yet back to 2%, but notably not re‑accelerating. Bureau of Economic Analysis Under the hood, the same release shows nominal personal income up 0.4% and nominal consumer spending up 0.6%. After adjusting for inflation, real spending advanced ~0.4%, with goods outpacing services in August—useful context as households digest higher borrowing costs. Bureau of Economic Analysis+1
26 September 2025
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August PCE Inflation Rises Again – Is the Fed’s Rate Cut Plan in Jeopardy?

August PCE Inflation Rises Again – Is the Fed’s Rate Cut Plan in Jeopardy?

PCE Inflation Report and Market Impact on September 26, 2025 The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report shows that price pressures picked up slightly in August. According to the Commerce Department data released on September 26, the overall PCE price index was up 2.7% in August 2025 compared to a year earlier wtop.com. That marks a gentle increase from the 2.6% annual inflation rate in July, and is the fastest year-over-year PCE inflation reading since February. In practical terms, American consumers in August paid on average 2.7% more for the basket of goods and services than they did in August 2024. While that rise is modest by historical standards, it does indicate a second consecutive month of accelerating inflation, after prices had been decelerating earlier in the year.
26 September 2025
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Stock Market Today

  • Marvell Technology (MRVL) Up 154% in 3 Months as AI Demand Lifts Shares
    July 2, 2026, 12:38 PM EDT. Shares of Marvell Technology (MRVL) have surged 154% over the past three months, far ahead of the sector and chip industry indexes. The rally is being driven by heavy demand for AI data center products, especially around networking and optics. MRVL is now projecting its interconnect unit to climb more than 70% year-over-year in fiscal 2027, with products like TIAs, drivers and scale-out switches seen hitting billion-dollar revenue levels. Shares now trade at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 17.42, topping the semiconductor industry's average of 10.12, raising some valuation questions. Marvell posted record operating cash flow of $638.8 million in Q1 fiscal 2027, showing better margins. Analysts now look for 42.3% earnings growth in fiscal 2027 following upward estimate moves.
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