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Inflation 26 September 2025 - 19 November 2025

Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Silver Price Today (12 Nov 2025): XAG/USD holds near $51.8 as markets eye U.S. CPI and a House vote to reopen government

Silver’s short‑term path is tied closely to the U.S. dollar and interest‑rate expectations. With traders pricing in a strong chance of a December Fed cut, dips in the dollar have tended to lift XAG/USD; conversely, any dollar rebound caps intraday rallies. Today’s Reuters market wrap captured that push‑pull, noting silver up about 1% near $51.76 as gold steadied into the House vote. Reuters
12 November 2025
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Australia’s Inflation Bombshell: RBA Cuts Wiped Off Table as Markets Recoil

Australia’s Inflation Bombshell: RBA Cuts Wiped Off Table as Markets Recoil

On Oct. 29, official data showed Australia’s consumer price index surged unexpectedly in Q3 2025. Headline CPI rose 1.3% from the previous quarter – the largest jump in 2½ years – pushing the annual rate to 3.2% reuters.com. Underlying inflation was even more worrying: the RBA’s preferred “trimmed mean” measure jumped 1.0% in Q3, well above the 0.8% gain analysts predicted reuters.com bloomberg.co.jp.
29 October 2025
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U.S. Stocks Rally as Shutdown Fears Fade – Markets Hit Fresh Records

Wall Street Explodes: Dow Jones Jumps 400 Points as Inflation Cools – Tech Stocks Lead, Fed Cuts Expected

Friday’s broad rally sent all major U.S. indexes to fresh highs. The Dow’s 400‑point gain topped the largest single‑day jump of 2025, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also closed at record levelseconomictimes.indiatimes.com. Market leadership was clear: technology and semiconductor firms outperformed. For example, Advanced Micro Devices surged 6.5% and Nvidia 4.2% on Fridayeconomictimes.indiatimes.com. These gains reflect strong demand for AI and cloud computing products, as well as better-than-expected earnings in the sector.
24 October 2025
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Stock Market on Edge: U.S. Futures Slide as US-China Trade War Heats Up

Stocks Surge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts Loom, Experts Warn of Bubble

U.S. equities roared higher as fresh data showed inflation easing, boosting hopes of cheaper borrowing costs. The Labor Department’s Sept. CPI report showed prices up only 3.0% year-on-year – just shy of expectationsts2.tech. Traders seized on the news: stock futures jumped and all three major indexes closed higher on Oct. 23ts2.tech. “Equities are enjoying a broadly supportive environment,” said Peter Fitzgerald, macro CIO at Aviva Investorsts2.tech, reflecting optimism that Fed easing is coming. In practical terms, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are trading near record levelsts2.tech, with year-to-date gains of ~15–18%.
24 October 2025
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Bond Yields Plunge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts and Stock Rally in Play?

Bond Yields Plunge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts and Stock Rally in Play?

The delayed September inflation report – pushed back by the U.S. government shutdown – turned out a bit cooler than expected, reaffirming the narrative that price pressures are easing. The Labor Department said headline CPI rose 0.3% in September, slightly under the 0.4%/3.1% that economists had forecast reuters.com. Core CPI was up 3.0% YoY. Wall Street greeted the news calmly, since even at 3% inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% goal. What mattered more was that the softer reading bolsters confidence in near-term rate cuts: U.S. futures now fully price in a quarter-point cut next week reuters.com, and a Reuters poll found virtually all economists expect two cuts by year-end ts2.tech. In its commentary, Reuters notes that the report “keeps the Fed on track to cut interest rates” again reuters.com.
24 October 2025
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Stocks Rocket on Cooling Inflation Data; Tech Stocks & Fed Speeches in Spotlight

Stocks Rocket on Cooling Inflation Data; Tech Stocks & Fed Speeches in Spotlight

Wall Street surged on Oct. 24 after data showed US consumer prices rose less than forecast. The Labor Department’s CPI for September came in at 3.0% year-on-year vs 3.1% expected xtb.com. That miss drove a rally in stock futures and sent the US dollar slightly lower, while gold and bonds rallied on renewed rate-cut hopes xtb.com reuters.com. As Reuters notes, the dollar index was steady ahead of the report reuters.com, and traders now fully price a quarter-point Fed cut next week reuters.com reuters.com.
24 October 2025
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Stocks Rally as U.S. Inflation Cools – Asia Joins Global Rally, Fed Cut Seen as Lock

Stocks Rally as U.S. Inflation Cools – Asia Joins Global Rally, Fed Cut Seen as Lock

Market Analysis: Friday’s tame CPI print soothed immediate rate-cut concerns and spurred a relief rally. Futures lifted all sectors, but tech/AI remains a focus. For example, AMD is near $235 after surging ~80% YTD on AI demand ts2.tech, and TSMC hovers near all-time highs on chip demand ts2.tech. Mega-cap favorites carry “strong buy” sentiment – Microsoft, Amazon, Walmart and Broadcom top analyst picks ts2.tech. Health and energy also shine: Eli Lilly is up on obesity-drug sales ts2.tech, while refiners benefit from resilient oil prices.
24 October 2025
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Kazakhstan Freezes Fuel Prices Through Spring 2026 – Will It Tame Inflation or Fuel Bigger Problems?

Kazakhstan Freezes Fuel Prices Through Spring 2026 – Will It Tame Inflation or Fuel Bigger Problems?

Facing the fastest inflation in years, Kazakhstan’s government has taken the dramatic step of freezing prices on fuels and household utilities. The nationwide moratorium took effect on October 16, 2025, halting any further price increases for AI-92 gasoline and diesel fuel until inflation stabilizes, and similarly suspending hikes in tariffs for water, electricity, heating and natural gas for all consumers until at least end-March 2026 astanatimes.com asiaplustj.info. These emergency controls aim to “stabilize the economy and protect citizens’ interests” amid the inflation surge, following direct instructions from President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev astanatimes.com. The freeze on energy prices is part of a broader relief package – including doubling food price subsidies and other support – intended to “ensure macroeconomic stability” during a period of economic strain astanatimes.com asiaplustj.info.
23 October 2025
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Gas Price Crash: Pump Prices Near $3 for First Time in Years – How Low Can They Go?

Gas Price Crash: Pump Prices Near $3 for First Time in Years – How Low Can They Go?

American drivers are enjoying a level of pump price relief not seen in several years. The national average price for regular gasoline is now hovering around $3.05 a gallon, the lowest in roughly four years foxbusiness.com. Just a month ago it was about $3.20, and a year ago it was around $3.20 as well – meaning prices have fallen about 10¢ in the past month and 15¢ versus this time last year foxbusiness.com. In fact, gas prices have steadily declined for seven straight weeks, reaching their cheapest levels of 2025 so far ts2.tech.
23 October 2025
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Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Market Context: While metals are surging, U.S. equities have wavered. On Oct. 13, 2025, the Dow Jones fell ~1.9% to 45,480, the S&P 500 slid ~2.7%, and the Nasdaq plunged ~3.6% investing.com investing.com. Tech giants saw steep losses. The contrast underscores a classic flight to safety: amid geopolitical turmoil and U.S. policy gridlock, investors are hedging with “hard” assets.
13 October 2025
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Brazil’s Producer Prices Plunge for 7th Month – Are We Heading for a Broader Slowdown?

Brazil’s Producer Prices Plunge for 7th Month – Are We Heading for a Broader Slowdown?

According to the IBGE agency, factory‐gate prices in Brazil’s industry continued to decline in August. Prices of manufactured and extractive goods fell 0.20% from July, led by lower prices for food products, chemicals and raw materials. Of 24 industrial sub-sectors, half saw price declines while only machinery/electronics prices rose modestly. IBGE notes that sugar, soy and rice and chemicals pulled overall inflation down agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br. The drop was smaller than earlier in 2025, suggesting the disinflation trend may be easing. Nevertheless, this is the seventh straight month of decline in producer prices, wiping out nearly all post-pandemic inflation gains in industry.
10 October 2025
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Tariff Shock and Fed Jitters: Asian Markets Stumble as Rally Meets Reality

PCE Inflation Today: “Goldilocks” or Head Fake? What the 26 Sept 2025 Report Really Means for Your Wallet, the Fed, and Markets

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that headline PCE prices rose 0.3% in August, nudging the yearly rate to 2.7%. Core PCE—the measure the Fed emphasizes—rose 0.2% on the month and held at 2.9% year‑over‑year. The monthly pace is consistent with ~2½–3% annualized inflation, not yet back to 2%, but notably not re‑accelerating. Bureau of Economic Analysis
26 September 2025
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August PCE Inflation Rises Again – Is the Fed’s Rate Cut Plan in Jeopardy?

August PCE Inflation Rises Again – Is the Fed’s Rate Cut Plan in Jeopardy?

The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report shows that price pressures picked up slightly in August. According to the Commerce Department data released on September 26, the overall PCE price index was up 2.7% in August 2025 compared to a year earlier wtop.com. That marks a gentle increase from the 2.6% annual inflation rate in July, and is the fastest year-over-year PCE inflation reading since February. In practical terms, American consumers in August paid on average 2.7% more for the basket of goods and services than they did in August 2024. While that rise is modest by historical standards, it does indicate a second consecutive month of accelerating inflation, after prices had been decelerating earlier in the year.
26 September 2025
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