U.S. Economy Today (Dec. 4, 2025): Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Grow as Jobless Claims Rise and Confidence Falls

The U.S. economy is sending a mix of signals on Thursday, December 4, 2025. Financial markets are calm near record highs and forecasters are nudging growth estimates up. At the same time, new data show jobless claims edging higher, the dollar weakening on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, and Americans’ confidence in the economy sinking to its lowest level in more than a year. Semafor+3Reuters+3Investing.com+3

Federal Reserve · Interest Rates
Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

Federal Reserve News on December 1, 2025: QT Ends, December Rate‑Cut Odds Surge, and Bank Supervision Moves to Center Stage

The U.S. Federal Reserve entered December 2025 with three big shifts all hitting at once: its balance‑sheet tightening has officially ended, markets are betting heavily on another rate cut next week, and regulators are rolling out a fresh assessment of the banking system just as internal divisions at the Fed deepen. Federal Reserve+2Reuters+2
2 December 2025
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NS&I £1bn Budget Shake-Up: What It Means for Premium Bonds, Interest Rates and UK Savers in 2025

NS&I £1bn Budget Shake-Up: What It Means for Premium Bonds, Interest Rates and UK Savers in 2025

Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s Autumn Budget has ordered National Savings & Investments to raise an extra £1 billion from the public, while also cutting future cash ISA limits. Together with rising NS&I bond rates and a possible Bank of England rate cut in December, that puts Premium Bonds and other NS&I products firmly in the spotlight. Bank of England+3GOV.UK+3NS&I Corporate+3
1 December 2025
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Premium Bonds Rate Rise Looms as Budget 2025 Hands NS&I a £1bn Target – What Savers Need to Know Today

Premium Bonds Rate Rise Looms as Budget 2025 Hands NS&I a £1bn Target – What Savers Need to Know Today

The Autumn Budget has quietly turned Premium Bonds and other NS&I products into the most talked‑about corner of the UK savings market. A technical change in the small print – telling National Savings & Investments to raise an extra £1 billion from savers this year – has triggered a wave of speculation that rates on Premium Bonds and government‑backed savings could soon rise. NS&I Corporate+2nsandi-adviser.com+2
28 November 2025
US Stock Market Today: Wall Street Extends Rally as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Surge (Nov. 26, 2025)

US Stock Market Today: Wall Street Extends Rally as Fed Rate‑Cut Bets Surge (Nov. 26, 2025)

U.S. stocks climbed again on Wednesday, November 26, 2025, with all three major indexes logging a fourth straight day of gains as investors doubled down on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December ahead of the Thanksgiving market break.Reuters+1
26 November 2025
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Canada Stock Market Today (Nov. 26, 2025): TSX Pushes Past 31,000 as Gold Miners and Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Power Early Trade

Canada Stock Market Today (Nov. 26, 2025): TSX Pushes Past 31,000 as Gold Miners and Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Power Early Trade

In the first minutes after Wednesday’s opening bell, Canada’s stock market picked up exactly where it left off. The S&P/TSX Composite Index opened higher and quickly traded above the 31,000 level for the first time ever, extending a three‑day, near‑1,000‑point surge as investors bet on interest‑rate cuts and crowd back into commodities and financials. Reuters+2MarketScreener+2
26 November 2025
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Australia Inflation Jumps to 3.8% as Energy Rebates Fade, Raising RBA Rate Hike Bets

Australia Inflation Jumps to 3.8% as Energy Rebates Fade, Raising RBA Rate Hike Bets

Australia’s inflation fight has taken a sharp and politically sensitive turn. Fresh figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show annual inflation rising to 3.8% in October 2025, up from 3.6% in September, as soaring electricity and housing costs squeeze households and upend expectations of early interest rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Australian Bureau of Statistics+1
26 November 2025
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Gold Near $4,150 as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Surge on Tame US PPI and Dovish Signals

Gold Near $4,150 as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Surge on Tame US PPI and Dovish Signals

Gold prices are back on the offensive today, 25 November 2025, after briefly stalling at the start of the week. Spot gold has traded in the $4,130–$4,175 per ounce range, not far from an intraday high above $4,140, its strongest level since 14 November, as traders ramp up bets that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. TradingView+2Reuters+2
25 November 2025
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